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Can Demographic Changes Foster Cooperation Between the US and China?

2024-12-12 05:39:23.257000

As tensions escalate in the US-China rivalry, Dr. Jonathan Ping from the Australian Institute of International Affairs argues for a rethinking of state-to-state relations, particularly in light of significant demographic transitions. He notes that the global population has surged from 1 billion in the 1700s to a projected 10 billion by the 2080s, which presents both challenges and opportunities for cooperation in the Indo-Pacific region. Ping emphasizes the need for a common vision centered on human security and sustainable development, suggesting that historical narratives and differing development models have contributed to ongoing conflicts between the two powers.

Ping advocates for a shift in public diplomacy that prioritizes human security over traditional power struggles. He warns that the stark domestic differences between the US and China could lead to conflict, yet he believes these challenges are not insurmountable. Instead, he calls for a collaborative approach to human rights and development that could help mitigate tensions and foster a more cooperative international environment. This perspective aligns with recent discussions by Chinese officials, including Zhang Ming, who stress the importance of balancing security and development in the face of great power competition. Zhang has highlighted that prioritizing security over development could lead to detrimental outcomes, reinforcing the need for a balanced approach in US-China relations [293dce86] [69ed7c71] [8bba520a].

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