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Venezuela Bonds Set to Reenter JPMorgan Debt Indices: Implications for Emerging Markets

2024-02-23 07:17:15.575000

Venezuela's sovereign bonds and those of state oil company PDVSA are on track to regain their position in JPMorgan's emerging market bond indices. The US Treasury Department lifted the ban on US investors trading Venezuelan debt in October, paving the way for the potential restatement of these bonds. The inclusion of Venezuela bonds in JPMorgan's indices would have significant implications for the country's debt market and could attract renewed interest from global investors.

According to Al Mayadeen English, the reentry of Venezuela bonds into JPMorgan's indices will occur over a three-month period starting from the end of April. JPMorgan's EMBI indices are widely recognized as the primary global benchmarks for dollar-denominated bonds issued by developing market countries. The inclusion of Venezuela bonds in these indices would provide global investors with easier access to the country's debt, potentially increasing liquidity and attracting new investments.

The estimated weight of Venezuela bonds in JPMorgan's indices is significant, with 58 basis points in the EMBI Global Diversified and 69 in the EMBI Global. This indicates that these bonds would have a notable presence in the indices, further enhancing their visibility and appeal to investors.

The decision to include Venezuela bonds in JPMorgan's indices was reportedly made after extensive consultations with over 100 asset managers. Co-chair of the Venezuela Creditor Committee, Hans Humes, stated that JPMorgan did not have much flexibility in this decision and sought input from a wide range of market participants. This suggests that the move to include Venezuela bonds in the indices is based on careful consideration and reflects the sentiment of the investment community.

The reentry of Venezuela bonds into JPMorgan's indices comes as Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro emphasizes his nation's shift toward a new global order and strengthening alliances. Maduro has described the United States as completely unreliable, highlighting the importance of diversifying Venezuela's economic relationships and reducing dependence on any single country.

It is important to note that the inclusion of Venezuela bonds in JPMorgan's indices is still pending and has not been confirmed. However, if approved, this development would have significant implications for Venezuela's debt market and could potentially attract renewed interest from global investors.

[bloomberg]

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[almayadeen]

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