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How Long-Range US Missiles Could Shift the Russia-Ukraine War Dynamics

2024-11-23 02:47:48.982000

In a dramatic escalation of the ongoing conflict, Russia has launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) at Ukraine for the first time, according to Kyiv's reports. This missile, identified as the RS-26, comes in the wake of Ukraine's recent use of U.S.-made Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACAMS) and British Storm Shadow missiles targeting Russian territory [2ffb4255]. The Russian Defense Ministry confirmed the missile launch, which is seen as a direct response to Ukraine's military actions that have intensified over the past weeks [3b3dc1d8].

The use of ATACAMS by Ukraine marks a significant development, as these long-range weapons were recently authorized by President Joe Biden, allowing Ukraine to strike deeper into Russian territory. The ATACAMS have a range of about 190 miles (305 km) and can carry a payload of up to 500 pounds (227 kg) [67b19283]. Ukrainian forces reportedly fired six ATACAMS into Russia's Bryansk region, with five missiles intercepted, while one caused a small fire [b8f9825a]. This escalation has raised concerns about the potential for a broader conflict, with Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov warning that such military actions could heighten tensions between the U.S. and Russia [3b3dc1d8].

In response to Ukraine's missile strikes, Russia has adjusted its nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for the first use of nuclear weapons, indicating a shift in its military posture amid rising tensions [2ffb4255]. This change reflects the increasingly precarious nature of the conflict, as both sides ramp up their military capabilities. Reports indicate that Ukraine has mobilized 10,000 North Korean troops and 50,000 Russian troops near Kursk, intensifying the military landscape [67b19283].

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has been vocal in his criticism of Germany's Chancellor Olaf Scholz, urging for the provision of long-range Taurus missiles to further enhance Ukraine's defense capabilities against Russian aggression [d3682446]. The geopolitical landscape is further complicated by Iran's alleged support for Russia, with accusations of supplying ballistic missiles that could be used against Ukraine [cb6d5c7b]. As the situation evolves, the interplay of these international dynamics continues to highlight the challenges faced by Ukraine in its fight for sovereignty [17943265]. Capturing Kursk is seen as crucial for Ukraine's bargaining position in potential negotiations, with the conflict expected to reach a critical point by spring to summer 2025 [67b19283].

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