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Redistricting Battles Could Impact Control of US House in 2024 Elections

2024-05-24 01:54:57.260000

Republicans and Democrats are engaged in a fundraising battle as they prepare for the 2024 House elections. Democrats have a fundraising edge in swing districts, making their path to victory easier. In New York, Rep. Pat Ryan (D) raised over $602,000 in the third quarter and has $1.7 million in cash on hand. Among the six Republican incumbents being targeted by Democrats, three were out-fundraised by their opponents. In California, Republicans had a better third quarter in terms of fundraising and looked well positioned in the target seats. However, Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) was out-fundraised by her Democratic challenger. Overall, Republicans hold a slim majority in the House and are facing challenges in governing and electing a House speaker.

Legal battles over redistricting could lead to new congressional maps for the 2024 election in more than half a dozen states, potentially affecting control of the U.S. House of Representatives. Republicans currently hold a 217-213 advantage over the Democratic minority. Democrats have likely gained one seat in Alabama and in Louisiana, while Republicans are poised to flip three Democratic-held seats in North Carolina. Redistricting will not affect the battle for the Senate, where Democrats face a significant risk of losing their 51-49 majority. Here are some of the cases that could affect the campaign:

- In Ohio, Republicans are seeking to redraw the map to their advantage, potentially flipping two Democratic-held seats.
- In Texas, Republicans are aiming to solidify their control by redrawing the map in their favor.
- In Pennsylvania, Democrats are challenging the Republican-drawn map, hoping to gain an advantage in the state.
- In Michigan, a nonpartisan commission will redraw the map, potentially impacting the balance of power.

These redistricting battles add another layer of complexity to the House elections, as both parties strategize and fundraise to secure their positions. The outcome of these legal battles could ultimately determine which party controls the House in the 2024 elections.

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