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Stocks Set for Longest Losing Streak Amid Geopolitical Turmoil and Rate Cut Concerns

2024-04-19 13:19:01.884000

This week, the US stock market is experiencing caution following a six-week streak of gains. US stock futures have slightly decreased as traders closely monitor the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and its economic projections. Expectations of rate cuts in March have decreased after last week's job market data. Additionally, investors are keeping an eye on earnings releases from Oracle and Adobe. In Europe, the Atomico State of European Tech report reveals a decline in investment in the European tech ecosystem. Professionals in the UK and Ireland are considering a company's CEO when accepting a job offer. The Mayor of London is calling for fair arts funding, and whisky cask investment offers various exit strategies. Business travelers between Singapore and London are seeking comfortable accommodations for their trips. Asian markets are reflecting Wall Street's caution, and the US dollar is weakening ahead of key data. Japan's core inflation has slipped, and British retail prices show the weakest increase since March 2022. Kansas City Fed's Schmid urges caution on interest rate cuts. [45866769]

According to a Wells Fargo analyst, there are nine potential reasons for a stock market pullback in the US. These reasons include the US economy losing momentum, weak consumer spending, contractionary manufacturing PMI, rising inflation, difficulty in estimating the Fed's pivot towards easing, sensitivity of stocks to interest rate movements, limited growth in corporate earnings estimates, narrow market breadth, high price-to-earnings multiple for the S&P 500, geopolitical risks, and cracks in the US labor market. This analysis highlights the potential risks and challenges that could lead to a pullback in the stock market. [1a385eba]

US stocks have experienced their first four-day losing streak since the beginning of January. This comes as small stocks face significant challenges, and high-speed trader Jane Street generated $4.4 billion at the start of 2024. The Vix 'fear gauge' has soared due to tensions in the Middle East and a shift in interest rates. The global economy is being impacted by the shadow of war. US stocks are experiencing a downturn, and the US deficit poses significant risks to the global economy, according to the IMF. Donald Trump is falling $75 million behind Joe Biden in the money race as his donor base shrinks. Jay Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, has stated that US inflation is taking longer than expected to hit its target. Royal Mail's owner has rejected a £4.5 billion takeover bid from Czech billionaire Daniel Křetínský. Mining billionaire Gina Rinehart is building rare-earth stakes in an effort to secure non-Chinese supply. Tesla is asking shareholders to approve a move to Texas and ratify Elon Musk's pay. Peter Mandelson's advisory firm has been valued at £30 million in a deal with an ex-Obama aide. Sex workers in the UK are denouncing banks for waging a 'war' on their jobs. US Republicans are not skilled at nationalism. Gordon Brown expresses disappointment in the backward progress the UK has made. ChatGPT essay cheats are causing problems. The rise of the chief AI officer is being observed. The FT recommends business books to read. Video games are potentially threatening the novel. US grandmaster duo surge in chess as the Candidates tournament nears its finish. Marathons have become the new 'fashion weeks' for runners. Nine brides who said yes to the very big dress. Professor Tim Spector is rethinking the way we eat. [270628c4]

Investors are pulling money out of equities as a strong US economy and sticky inflation fuel concerns that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. Bank of America Corp. strategists note that good economic news is now bad news for stocks. $21.1 billion was redeemed from stock funds in the two weeks through Wednesday, the most in a fortnight since December 2022, according to BofA. [9268c1f2]

Stocks in the US are on course for their longest losing streak in many months as geopolitical turmoil rattles Wall Street and investors slash their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates. The S&P 500 recorded a fifth consecutive decline on Thursday, and a sixth straight day of losses would be the worst run since October 2022. The slide has dragged the S&P 500 down by more than 2 percent for the week, setting it up for a fourth straight weekly decline. Worries about stubborn inflation leading the Fed to keep rates high have returned, compounded by the widening conflict in the Middle East with Israel striking Iran early on Friday. Andrew Brenner, head of international fixed income at National Alliance Securities, described the situation as 'clearly bleak.'

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