In a comprehensive analysis published on December 17, 2024, Andrew S. Erickson examines China's ongoing military operations around Taiwan, marking the largest maritime exercise in three decades. The article highlights that these operations are under intense scrutiny, particularly in light of President Xi Jinping's assertive military posture [5c61fd31].
The analysis draws from the Naval War College's volume titled 'Chinese Amphibious Warfare: Prospects for a Cross-Strait Invasion,' which underscores the complexities and challenges associated with executing a large-scale amphibious invasion. Historically, the last major opposed amphibious landing occurred in 1950 at Inchon, and China currently lacks substantial experience in large-scale wartime operations [5c61fd31].
Erickson points out that the People's Liberation Army (PLA)'s logistics support will be critical for any potential invasion's success. Analysts suggest that China may focus on targeting Taiwanese ports for amphibious assaults, leveraging Taiwan's geographical features that offer defensive advantages [5c61fd31].
Moreover, the article discusses the likelihood of a blockade or quarantine campaign as a military pressure scenario, emphasizing that the outcomes of such strategies depend on unpredictable factors. This evolving situation underscores the urgency for Taiwan to prioritize its defense capabilities in light of the increasing military threats from China [5c61fd31].
In conjunction with these developments, a previous report highlighted the enhanced capabilities of the PLAN and its joint amphibious forces, which are designed to exert pressure on Taiwan and signal readiness for potential military operations [e187f263]. The combination of advanced electronic warfare capabilities and the growing proficiency of China's amphibious forces presents a formidable challenge for U.S. military operations in the region, altering the dynamics of any potential conflict over Taiwan [10519eef][e187f263].
This analysis serves as a critical reminder for policymakers and military strategists regarding the potential for military operations in the region, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive understanding of China's evolving military strategies and their implications for U.S. interests and allies in East Asia [e187f263].