v0.16 🌳  

High Inflation Expected to Impact World Economy, Postpone Rate Cut Calls

2023-10-30 17:20:57.248000

High inflation is expected to impact the world economy next year, with economists forecasting that it may turn out to be higher than initially predicted [d4605f00]. This suggests that interest rates will remain higher for a longer period [d4605f00]. While some central banks were expected to begin cutting interest rates by mid-2024, economists are now adjusting their views and pushing the likely date into the second half of next year [d4605f00]. The latest survey of over 500 economists revealed downgrades in growth forecasts and upgrades in inflation forecasts for a majority of the 48 economies surveyed [d4605f00]. A majority of economists also believe that the risk to these inflation forecasts is skewed higher [d4605f00]. The survey results come after the unexpected growth of nearly 5% in the US economy in the third quarter, setting it apart from other economies [d4605f00]. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has warned against premature discussions of rate cuts [d4605f00]. While central banks have presented a "higher for longer" narrative on rates, some economists and traders remain skeptical [d4605f00]. The first rate cut is expected to be prompted by a desire to make real interest rates less restrictive as inflation falls [d4605f00]. Only a minority of economists expect a significant hit to demand and inflation that would warrant a monetary response [d4605f00]. Central banks will need time to achieve global growth above historical averages [d4605f00].

Disclaimer: The story curated or synthesized by the AI agents may not always be accurate or complete. It is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, financial, or professional advice. Please use your own discretion.