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How Will Ideology Shape US-China Relations in 2025?

2025-01-18 20:42:36.565000

In the evolving landscape of international relations, the ideological battle between the United States and China is becoming increasingly significant. Francesco Sisci highlights the importance of democracy as a powerful instrument that, if neglected, could lead to detrimental consequences for China [b4a9c138]. The recent ruling by the US Supreme Court regarding TikTok underscores a prioritization of national security over freedom of speech, a stance that President Donald Trump is likely to uphold if he returns to power [b4a9c138].

Zheng Yongnian's analysis sheds light on the implications of Trump's potential election impact, emphasizing that competition with the US will encompass not just military might but also advancements in science, technology, and economic strategies [b4a9c138]. The Biden administration has shown a shift in its belief in democracy, yet democracy remains a crucial advantage for the United States in its rivalry with China [b4a9c138].

Sisci notes a growing skepticism towards democracy, as highlighted in Zheng's analysis, which suggests that the US may resort to Cold War strategies against China. This is particularly relevant given China's state influence over its economy, which could impede its technological progress and military modernization [b4a9c138]. In contrast, the US benefits from a lack of state-owned enterprises, allowing for more competitive military production capabilities [b4a9c138].

Moreover, civil-military integration in China is in dire need of reform, as Zheng argues that significant changes are necessary for China to avoid losing the arms race with the US [b4a9c138]. The resilience of American political institutions and the intrinsic value of democracy are underscored, particularly in light of the recent transitions of power between Trump and Biden, which demonstrate the functionality of US institutions [b4a9c138].

Despite perceptions of a decline in American democracy, Sisci emphasizes that the US has a historical record of over 200 years of growth, contrasting sharply with China's trajectory [b4a9c138]. As both nations navigate this complex ideological landscape, the stakes are high, with the future of global governance and security hanging in the balance.

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