Following the November 2024 presidential election, U.S. voters have re-elected Donald Trump, raising significant questions about the future of international relations, particularly concerning NATO and key allies like Poland. Trump's administration is expected to prioritize a national defense strategy that emphasizes competition with China and a reevaluation of traditional U.S. alliances [2f8d7c35]. His strong mandate and control over Congress suggest that his administration will initially focus on domestic issues, but foreign policy is likely to take a pivotal role as well [c69b0123].
In an op-ed by Collins Chong Yew Keat, Trump is portrayed as a leader capable of restoring global peace and stability through his 'America First' approach. Critics often misinterpret this stance as isolationism, but the article argues that Trump revamped trade deals like NAFTA to protect American interests and called on NATO allies to meet their defense spending commitments [8b82bd12]. Under Trump's leadership, the U.S. achieved energy independence and experienced economic growth, with record low unemployment rates [8b82bd12].
Poland, as a crucial ally in Central and Eastern Europe, is particularly concerned about ongoing threats from Russia and the growing influence of China. Analysts warn that Trump's disdain for international agreements and alliances could lead to a fragile global landscape, where the survival of nations like Ukraine and Gaza hangs in the balance [e793295e]. Trump's proposed tariffs on Chinese imports, potentially exceeding 60%, could disrupt the liberal economic order and further strain U.S.-China relations [2f8d7c35]. This economic nationalism may not only affect trade but also signal a willingness to sacrifice Ukraine to appease Russian President Vladimir Putin, raising alarms about European security [e793295e]. Additionally, Trump's stance on Taiwan may undermine U.S. credibility in Asia, fostering a sense of uncertainty among allies [e793295e].
The op-ed emphasizes that Trump's foreign policy prevented major conflicts and promoted peace through strength, contrasting his approach with the Biden administration's perceived weaknesses, particularly regarding Afghanistan [8b82bd12]. The recent BRICS summit in Kazan has emphasized the importance of multilateralism and local currencies in global trade, indicating a potential shift away from reliance on the U.S. dollar [2f8d7c35]. As the global landscape evolves, the potential for a multipolar world led by autocratic leaders like Putin and Xi Jinping looms large, with smaller states at risk of being preyed upon [e793295e].
As Trump embarks on his new term, the future of U.S. global power remains uncertain. The American economy is currently strong, but breaking international commitments could lead to a collapse of the existing international system, resulting in larger conflicts and economic constraints for Americans [e793295e]. The question remains whether the U.S. populace desires to maintain its status as a great power or if a new normal in foreign policy is on the horizon [e793295e].