[Tree] UK inflation and its economic impact

Version 1.11 (2024-11-20 14:01:52.679000)

updates: Inflation rises to 2.3%, affecting cost of living

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Version 1.1 (2024-11-20 11:42:19.050000)

updates: Inflation rise, economic concerns, and policy responses

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Version 1.09 (2024-11-20 08:37:04.217000)

updates: Inflation rose to 2.3%, exceeding forecasts.

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Version 1.08 (2024-11-19 11:53:31.687000)

updates: Incorporated BOE's cautious stance on rate cuts.

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Version 1.07 (2024-11-16 22:40:29.959000)

updates: UK inflation rises, affecting BOE's rate strategy

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Version 1.06 (2024-11-10 10:49:36.854000)

updates: UK rates cut; inflation drops; housing prices rise

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Version 1.05 (2024-11-02 08:43:52.633000)

updates: Interest rate cut anticipated; inflation drops to 1.7%

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Version 1.04 (2024-09-18 09:52:08.456000)

updates: Inflation steady at 2.2%, rate cuts expected

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Version 1.03 (2024-08-14 15:13:24.528000)

updates: Updates on UK government borrowing costs and services inflation

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Version 1.02 (2024-08-13 15:05:14.729000)

updates: The Reuters poll suggests that the market has overestimated the probability of a recession and that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates as much as anticipated.

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Version 1.01 (2024-08-12 08:03:34.672000)

updates: Updated information on Treasury yields and inflation data

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Version 1.0 (2024-08-09 15:03:54.075000)

updates: Updated information on U.S. Treasury yields and upcoming inflation data

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Version 0.99 (2024-08-09 13:16:26.033000)

updates: Updated information on Treasury yields and job market data

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Version 0.98 (2024-08-09 11:08:45.676000)

updates: U.S. Treasury yields dip as traders assess state of the economy after latest data

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Version 0.97 (2024-08-08 20:03:07.515000)

updates: Yields rise on better-than-expected jobless claims data

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Version 0.96 (2024-08-08 19:03:00.576000)

updates: U.S. Treasury yields rose after jobless claims were lower than expected, indicating a stronger economy. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 17,000 to 233,000, the largest drop in 11 months. The data suggests that the rise in the unemployment rate is due to new entrants into the labor force rather than significant layoffs. The odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at its next policy meeting fell to 57%, with a 25 basis point cut seen as having a 43% probability. Yields on interest rate sensitive two-year notes were up 7.4 basis points at 4.075%. Benchmark 10-year note yields rose 3.8 basis points to 4.005%. The yield curve between two- and 10-year Treasury notes flattened 5 basis points to minus 7 basis points. The Treasury Department will sell $25 billion in 30-year bonds on Thursday. The next major U.S. economic release will be consumer price inflation for July on Aug. 14.

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Version 0.95 (2024-08-08 18:02:52.685000)

updates: Yields rose on better-than-expected jobless claims data

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Version 0.94 (2024-08-08 17:04:17.399000)

updates: U.S. Treasury yields rose after jobless claims were lower than expected; Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 17,000 to 233,000; Yields rebounded as fears about the economy were overdone; Odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points fell to 57%; Yields on interest rate sensitive two-year notes were last up 7.4 basis points at 4.075%; Benchmark 10-year note yields rose 3.8 basis points to 4.005%; The yield curve between two- and 10-year Treasury notes flattened 5 basis points to minus 7 basis points; The Treasury Department will sell $25 billion in 30-year bonds on Thursday

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Version 0.93 (2024-08-08 15:02:34.736000)

updates: Incorporated information about solid job market data and the rise in Treasury yields

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Version 0.92 (2024-08-08 12:06:15.629000)

updates: Added information about Treasuries gaining and investor concerns about the US economy

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Version 0.91 (2024-08-08 11:02:45.173000)

updates: The market is stabilizing, reducing demand for U.S. debt; Solid demand for three-year notes; Rising geopolitical tensions may increase demand for U.S. Treasuries

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Version 0.9 (2024-08-08 04:58:54.095000)

updates: Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could also increase demand for U.S. Treasuries.

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Version 0.89 (2024-08-07 16:02:08.602000)

updates: Information about strong demand for the 10-year note sale and potential impact of economic indicators and geopolitical tensions

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Version 0.88 (2024-08-07 16:01:36.654000)

updates: U.S. Treasury yields rise ahead of 10-year note auction

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Version 0.87 (2024-06-17 21:53:00.274000)

updates: UBS believes bond yields will end the year lower

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Version 0.86 (2024-06-01 12:53:21.628000)

updates: Market predicts soft landing for US economy

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Version 0.85 (2024-06-01 07:56:11.399000)

updates: Market predicts soft landing for US economy

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Version 0.84 (2024-05-31 13:54:09.476000)

updates: Market predicts soft landing for US economy

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Version 0.83 (2024-05-17 18:53:40.482000)

updates: Bank of America's soft-landing scenario for US economy

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Version 0.83 (2024-05-17 18:53:40.482000)

updates: Bank of America's soft-landing scenario for US economy

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Version 0.83 (2024-05-17 18:53:40.482000)

updates: Bank of America's soft-landing scenario for US economy

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Version 0.82 (2024-05-16 09:52:15.282000)

updates: UBS predicts two Fed rate cuts in 2024

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Version 0.81 (2024-05-16 03:53:25.944000)

updates: Updates on US bond rally and inflation slowing

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Version 0.8 (2024-05-15 16:54:04.420000)

updates: Updated information on US Treasury yields and market expectations of Fed rate cuts

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Version 0.79 (2024-05-14 12:54:47.323000)

updates: Bond strategists upgrade US Treasury yield forecasts

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Version 0.78 (2024-05-14 11:52:44.056000)

updates: Bond strategists upgrade US Treasury yield forecasts amid waning Fed rate cut bets

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Version 0.77 (2024-05-13 14:57:07.957000)

updates: Added information about the expected rebound in US Treasury yields based on ING Group's analysis

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Version 0.76 (2024-05-13 04:53:46.011000)

updates: Added information about UK gilt yields and their relationship to US treasury yields

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Version 0.75 (2024-05-05 16:52:59.406000)

updates: Added information about the 5-Year Treasury Rate Forecast

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Version 0.74 (2024-05-04 06:51:30.457000)

updates: US Treasury yields dip after disappointing jobs report

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Version 0.73 (2024-05-02 23:53:55.935000)

updates: Bond traders pull forward expectations for Fed rate cut to November ahead of jobs report

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Version 0.72 (2024-05-02 22:51:45.247000)

updates: Bond traders pull forward expectations for Fed rate cut to November

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Version 0.71 (2024-05-02 17:53:28.661000)

updates: Add information about 2-year Treasury yields trading cheaper to fed funds than post-July period according to Citi Research

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Version 0.7 (2024-04-18 18:19:56.789000)

updates: New information about the possibility of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve

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Version 0.69 (2024-04-15 22:19:06.933000)

updates: UBS warns of potential Fed rate hikes to 6.5%

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Version 0.68 (2024-04-15 14:24:22.038000)

updates: US Treasury yields reach new highs after strong retail sales data

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Version 0.67 (2024-04-15 09:20:59.994000)

updates: Updated information on Treasury yields and economic outlook

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Version 0.66 (2024-04-15 02:20:11.708000)

updates: Weak auctions raise concerns about selling US bonds

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Version 0.65 (2024-04-14 20:18:49.740000)

updates: Bond traders cautious amid surge in US yields and uncertain rate-cut expectations

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Version 0.64 (2024-04-12 09:22:14.288000)

updates: Treasury yields fall as investors weigh state of economy

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Version 0.63 (2024-04-11 20:20:42.080000)

updates: Information on the growing chance of no rate cuts

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Version 0.62 (2024-04-10 18:18:22.968000)

updates: US Treasury yields rise further, costly Treasury auction

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Version 0.61 (2024-04-09 16:17:55.999000)

updates: Integration of UBS report on quality bonds

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Version 0.6 (2024-04-09 15:20:13.149000)

updates: Bond strategists upgrade US Treasury yield forecasts

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Version 0.59 (2024-04-08 20:19:58.019000)

updates: The story is updated with additional details on the rise in US Treasury yields and the impact of the March jobs report.

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Version 0.58 (2024-04-08 16:21:07.705000)

updates: US Treasury yields surge to new highs following strong March jobs report

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Version 0.57 (2024-04-07 23:23:25.982000)

updates: Bond traders await CPI report as rates approach 4.5%

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Version 0.56 (2024-04-05 10:19:26.136000)

updates: Traders await jobs data to adjust rate cut expectations

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Version 0.55 (2024-04-04 16:19:15.228000)

updates: BlackRock's analysis suggests higher yields will persist despite rate cuts

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Version 0.54 (2024-04-04 13:18:21.013000)

updates: The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note slumped to 4.34% after touching a four-month high of 4.38% earlier in the session. Initial jobless claims surged to a two-month high in the end of March, while the Challenger report showed that job cuts were the highest in 14 months. Data from the ISM showed that inflation for services providers slowed to a 4-year low, in addition to a moderation of growth in the sector. About 40% of the market expects the Fed to hold rates unchanged beyond June due to the broad resilience of the US economy to restrictive borrowing costs.

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Version 0.53 (2024-04-04 09:17:52.138000)

updates: Updates on Treasury yields and investor expectations for rate cuts

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Version 0.52 (2024-04-03 20:21:32.172000)

updates: Updates on long-term Treasury yields and Powell's economic outlook

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Version 0.51 (2024-03-19 14:35:10.905000)

updates: The article provides analysis and opinions on the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June. It mentions the recent economic data and rising yields, as well as the views of market forecaster Jim Bianco and swap traders. [73862119] [28d1ea41] [73e59307] [1a7164d8] [a4146438]

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Version 0.5 (2024-03-19 13:22:10.327000)

updates: Inclusion of analysis on the possibility of a rate cut in June and skepticism from analysts

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Version 0.49 (2024-03-19 00:21:47.787000)

updates: Information about swap contracts predicting less than 50% chance of a rate cut in June by the US Federal Reserve

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Version 0.48 (2024-03-19 00:19:43.105000)

updates: Includes market forecaster Jim Bianco's warning about time running out for interest rate cuts

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Version 0.47 (2024-03-15 23:20:35.494000)

updates: Limited room for meaningful increase in Treasury yields

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Version 0.46 (2024-03-15 17:20:59.633000)

updates: Continued rise in Treasury yields, reduced rate cut expectations

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Version 0.45 (2024-03-14 17:20:19.011000)

updates: Yields surge on hot PPI and mixed retail sales

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Version 0.44 (2024-03-14 02:17:23.644000)

updates: Janet Yellen's statement on interest rates

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Version 0.43 (2024-03-14 00:25:15.804000)

updates: Janet Yellen's statement on interest rates

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Version 0.42 (2024-03-13 18:29:50.192000)

updates: No significant changes in yields despite slightly higher inflation data

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Version 0.41 (2024-03-13 11:31:54.450000)

updates: Updated information on Treasury yields and rate cut expectations

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Version 0.4 (2024-03-11 10:16:43.136000)

updates: Updated information on jobs data and investor sentiment

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Version 0.39 (2024-03-08 11:57:55.619000)

updates: Integration of bond market's anticipation of jobs data

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Version 0.38 (2024-03-07 02:19:20.965000)

updates: US dollar falls as traders anticipate rate cuts

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Version 0.37 (2024-03-06 22:22:13.304000)

updates: Powell assures rate cuts, Wall Street closes higher

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Version 0.36 (2024-03-05 10:17:02.535000)

updates: The story now includes the fluctuations in Treasury yields and the anticipation of economic data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. It also highlights investors' hope for insights into the state of the economy and potential interest rate cuts.

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Version 0.35 (2024-03-04 10:19:20.279000)

updates: US Treasury yields rise as investors look ahead to Powell testimony and jobs data

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Version 0.34 (2024-03-01 09:16:42.407000)

updates: Mixed Treasury yields as investors consider economic outlook

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Version 0.33 (2024-02-29 14:21:55.074000)

updates: US 10-year Treasury yields pare some gains after PCE inflation report

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Version 0.32 (2024-02-28 12:16:24.919000)

updates: US Treasury yields hold steady ahead of GDP revision

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Version 0.31 (2024-02-27 10:21:53.659000)

updates: US Treasury yields dip amid economic uncertainty

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Version 0.3 (2024-02-26 10:20:24.303000)

updates: The story now includes additional information on market focus, investor sentiment, and the broader economic outlook

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Version 0.29 (2024-02-26 10:18:58.835000)

updates: New information on investors awaiting key economic data

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Version 0.28 (2024-02-20 12:18:15.164000)

updates: US Treasury yields decline amid inflation concerns and economic uncertainty

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Version 0.27 (2024-02-19 15:16:24.280000)

updates: Market participants anticipate four rate cuts by the Fed, with an initial rate cut in July followed by two additional cuts in the fall.

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Version 0.26 (2024-02-14 20:20:44.919000)

updates: US Treasury yields fall after Fed comments and CPI-fueled jump

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Version 0.25 (2024-02-07 19:12:48.733000)

updates: US Treasury auctions biggest-ever 10-year notes with solid demand

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Version 0.24 (2024-02-06 21:14:37.472000)

updates: Updates on Treasury yields, auction of three-year notes

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Version 0.23 (2024-02-06 17:13:19.216000)

updates: Discussion of rate normalization and return of risk in financial markets

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Version 0.22 (2024-02-06 10:11:50.395000)

updates: Update on US Treasury yields and rate cut outlook

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Version 0.21 (2024-02-06 00:15:34.882000)

updates: Bond market experiences worst 2-day rout since October

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Version 0.2 (2024-02-05 03:16:49.296000)

updates: Government bond yields expected to rise following uptick in US Treasury yields

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Version 0.19 (2024-01-31 16:28:55.060000)

updates: US Treasury yields experience sharp decline on weaker economic data and bank concerns

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Version 0.18 (2024-01-30 04:30:03.127000)

updates: Inflation risks and underestimation of inflation risks

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Version 0.17 (2024-01-29 20:30:09.546000)

updates: US Treasury yields fell ahead of Treasury announcement and Fed decision

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Version 0.16 (2024-01-29 17:30:35.124000)

updates: US Treasury yields fell ahead of Fed decision and payrolls

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Version 0.15 (2024-01-25 18:59:43.048000)

updates: US Treasury yields fell on slower inflation in Treasury-GDP report

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Version 0.14 (2024-01-25 07:53:27.299000)

updates: US Treasury bond yields fall ahead of economic growth numbers

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Version 0.13 (2024-01-23 11:58:26.856000)

updates: Updated information on bond yields and upcoming economic data

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Version 0.12 (2024-01-19 20:48:57.539000)

updates: Recent data suggests US economy remains resilient

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Version 0.11 (2024-01-19 17:45:47.448000)

updates: US Treasury bond yields reach highest levels of the year

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Version 0.1 (2023-12-21 17:59:31.900000)

updates: Weaker GDP data leads to bond rally and decrease in Treasury yields

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Version 0.09 (2023-11-30 10:37:00.637000)

updates: US Treasury yields at lowest in two months, heading for biggest monthly drop since 2008. Market expectations shift towards interest-rate cuts. Shorter-dated yields drop, punishing the dollar. S&P 500 has strongest monthly performance since July 2022. Robinhood expands brokerage services to UK. Euro zone inflation drops to 2.4% in November. QuantumScape challenges Tesla in EV battery market.

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Version 0.08 (2023-11-17 11:59:11.007000)

updates: Updated information on Treasury yields, economic data, and Walmart CEO comments

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Version 0.07 (2023-11-16 21:45:26.499000)

updates: Updated information on Treasury yields, economic data, and Walmart CEO's comments on deflation

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Version 0.06 (2023-11-16 19:42:25.974000)

updates: Updated information on Treasury yields, economic data, and Walmart CEO's comments on deflation

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Version 0.05 (2023-11-15 11:45:25.522000)

updates: US Treasury yields expected to fall, 10-year yield near seven-week lows

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Version 0.04 (2023-11-15 05:42:19.923000)

updates: Bear-steepening trend in US Treasury yields, discussion of recent Treasury auctions and lack of appeal for duration in the bond market, mention of rise in inflation expectations and potential impact of US credit rating downgrade

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Version 0.03 (2023-11-14 12:12:40.582000)

updates: US Treasury yields expected to fall; 10-year note yield may have peaked

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Version 0.02 (2023-11-13 21:19:32.905000)

updates: Merged information from another source

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Version 0.01 (2023-11-10 14:26:54.569000)

updates: Restructured and clarified the narrative

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Version 0.0 (2023-11-10 12:28:28.480000)

updates:

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