[Tree] Federal Reserve's interest rate forecasts, dot plot, monetary policy stance, borrowing costs, rate projections, easing plans, Bank of Japan, inflation data, economic forecasting, uncertainty

Version 1.4 (2024-06-20 18:58:05.060000)

updates: Minneapolis Fed President criticizes the dot plot for failing to capture uncertainty

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.39 (2024-06-12 22:52:48.732000)

updates: The Federal Reserve's dot plot provides insights into interest rate projections

  • ➔
Version 1.38 (2024-06-09 04:54:28.033000)

updates: Investors await the release of the Federal Reserve's interest rate forecasts

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.37 (2024-06-09 03:53:30.484000)

updates: US Federal Reserve likely to keep rates unchanged and reduce rate cut expectations

  • ➔
Version 1.36 (2024-06-08 20:52:46.344000)

updates: New information about the US job market and its impact on interest rate predictions

  • ➔
Version 1.35 (2024-06-07 15:56:38.583000)

updates: Inclusion of concerns about US inflation and its impact on the developing world

  • ➔
Version 1.34 (2024-06-07 11:53:31.103000)

updates: Warnings from Citi's Kaiser about weaker economy's impact on US stocks

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.33 (2024-06-07 09:54:44.890000)

updates: Bank of America strategist warns of potential trouble for the economy if Fed cuts rates

  • ➔
Version 1.32 (2024-06-07 08:52:37.996000)

updates: Bank of America warns of potential trouble for the economy if Fed cuts rates

  • ➔
Version 1.31 (2024-05-28 16:58:17.857000)

updates: Updates on the hawkish US Fed policy stance and rate cut expectations

  • ➔
Version 1.3 (2024-05-26 16:54:38.924000)

updates: Updates on US Federal Reserve's cautious approach and ECB's dovish stance

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.29 (2024-05-24 17:55:03.321000)

updates: US Federal Reserve holds interest rates despite positive economic data

  • ➔
Version 1.28 (2024-05-22 17:55:22.800000)

updates: Includes information about UK inflation data, impact on GBP, and commodity prices

  • ➔
Version 1.27 (2024-05-22 15:54:19.504000)

updates: EUR/USD drops ahead of FOMC minutes

  • ➔
Version 1.26 (2024-05-22 09:57:58.307000)

updates: The euro consolidates around 1.0850 ahead of FOMC minutes

  • ➔
Version 1.25 (2024-05-18 08:53:43.248000)

updates: Updates on the EUR/USD rate and the divergence in rate policy between the ECB and Fed

  • ➔
Version 1.24 (2024-05-15 11:52:21.899000)

updates: Updates on Eurozone GDP and industrial production, US CPI expectations

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.23 (2024-05-14 19:53:49.610000)

updates: The dollar slipped after an unexpected rise in US producer prices

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.22 (2024-05-14 18:57:42.943000)

updates: USD/NOK reacts to US PPI and CPI data

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.21 (2024-05-14 13:56:35.125000)

updates: EUR/USD rises above 1.0800 despite sticky US PPI data

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.2 (2024-05-14 12:53:02.798000)

updates: Updates on German confidence index and GDP

  • ➔
Version 1.19 (2024-05-14 09:52:10.464000)

updates: Integration of new information about the euro stabilizing and potential rate cuts by the ECB

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.18 (2024-05-14 07:52:20.622000)

updates: Added information on inflation trajectories, monetary policies, economic divergence, and upcoming economic data

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.17 (2024-05-14 05:53:41.052000)

updates: The euro's resistance to falling to parity with the dollar due to a rosier economic backdrop in the Eurozone

  • ➔
Version 1.16 (2024-05-13 10:52:29.710000)

updates: Updated information on EUR/USD rise and upcoming economic data

  • ➔
Version 1.15 (2024-05-13 01:51:41.906000)

updates: Updated information on EUR/USD trading and ECB rate cut speculation

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.14 (2024-05-11 05:52:56.335000)

updates: Updates on euro's performance, ECB's potential interest rate cuts, and upcoming US CPI data

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.13 (2024-05-10 18:53:08.147000)

updates: Updates on US inflation data, Bank of England rates, Japanese yen, and Chinese yuan

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.12 (2024-05-10 08:56:34.587000)

updates: Updates on gold prices, stock markets, and stronger-than-expected GDP data

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.11 (2024-05-10 07:54:14.647000)

updates: Updates on the US dollar's performance against the euro and sterling, as well as the Bank of England's hint at a possible interest rate cut

  • ➔
Version 1.1 (2024-05-10 04:53:14.994000)

updates: Integration of analysis on US CPI and USD bear case

  • ➔
Version 1.09 (2024-05-10 02:56:31.671000)

updates: US dollar retreats after soft jobs data, yen vulnerable to speculators

  • ➔
Version 1.08 (2024-05-09 06:52:31.564000)

updates: US Dollar strengthens as Fed policymakers remain hawkish

  • ➔
Version 1.07 (2024-05-09 05:54:02.742000)

updates: The dollar held tight ranges against most peers on Thursday as traders awaited key U.S. inflation data for cues on Federal Reserve policy. The dollar slowly inched up against the Japanese yen after falling more than 3% last week. The yen received a slight boost following the release of the Bank of Japan's summary of opinions from its April meeting, showing many board members saw the need to raise rates and reduce bond purchases. Last week's Fed policy meeting and downside surprise in U.S. job growth have increased bets for two rate cuts this year. The dollar index rose to 105.55, while the Japanese yen was mostly flat at 155.59 per greenback. Sterling was down at $1.2487 ahead of the Bank of England's policy decision. The euro was steady at $1.0743. Bitcoin fell to $61,436.49.

  • ➔
Version 1.06 (2024-05-09 04:52:22.058000)

updates: Integration of additional information about the US dollar's stability, anticipation of inflation data, and possible policy shifts by the Bank of Japan

  • ➔
Version 1.05 (2024-05-09 04:51:33.334000)

updates: The dollar held steady as traders await US inflation data. The yen found support in the Bank of Japan's summary of opinions, which showed board members were overwhelmingly hawkish at their April policy meeting. The Bank of England is likely to take another step towards its first interest rate cut in four years as inflation falls. China's exports and imports returned to growth in April, potentially delaying rate cuts. Bitcoin rose 0.09% to $61,618.12.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.04 (2024-05-09 02:56:04.417000)

updates: Inclusion of specific details on the stability of the US dollar, traders' anticipation of US inflation data, recent developments affecting rate cut expectations, and the Bank of England's policy decision

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.03 (2024-05-09 02:54:51.058000)

updates: Inclusion of the Bank of Japan's summary of opinions and the current exchange rates of the dollar, yen, sterling, and euro

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.02 (2024-05-09 01:52:36.449000)

updates: Integration of new information about US inflation data and rate cut hopes

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 1.01 (2024-05-09 01:51:40.835000)

updates: Updates on US inflation data and Bank of England rate cut expectations

  • ➔
Version 1.0 (2024-05-08 22:56:02.499000)

updates: Dollar gains on rate outlook, investors bet on US economy outperforming peers

  • ➔
Version 0.99 (2024-05-08 14:57:54.990000)

updates: Updates on US dollar's strength and yen's weakness

  • ➔
Version 0.98 (2024-05-08 09:53:36.570000)

updates: Added information about the recovery of the US dollar and the stall in the stock market rally

  • ➔
Version 0.97 (2024-05-08 06:55:23.413000)

updates: Updates on US dollar strength, Fed comments, Bank of Japan, EUR/USD pair, Reserve Bank of Australia, gold prices

  • ➔
Version 0.96 (2024-05-08 04:56:52.667000)

updates: Asian currencies weaken as markets rethink rate cuts

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.95 (2024-05-08 02:55:19.782000)

updates: Updates on the impact of yen struggles and the influence of Federal Reserve rate cuts

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.94 (2024-05-08 01:56:52.653000)

updates: Updates on dollar's gains, yen's struggles, and focus on Fed rate cuts

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.93 (2024-05-07 11:57:11.057000)

updates: Updates on the US dollar and Australian dollar

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.92 (2024-05-07 01:57:33.666000)

updates: Updates on yen's weakening against the dollar and Australian dollar's performance

  • ➔
Version 0.91 (2024-05-05 03:51:47.887000)

updates: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen acknowledges yen surge and cautions on currency intervention

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.9 (2024-05-05 01:52:36.004000)

updates: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's acknowledgement of yen surge and caution on currency intervention

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.89 (2024-05-05 00:54:27.887000)

updates: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's comments on yen surge and currency intervention

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.88 (2024-05-04 02:51:42.573000)

updates: Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers says currency interventions are ineffective

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.87 (2024-05-04 01:52:11.662000)

updates: Japanese yen falls to 34-year low, prompting intervention by Japan's Ministry of Finance and BoJ

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.86 (2024-05-03 06:53:25.184000)

updates: Asian currencies set for best week, yen's intervention efforts, Bank of Japan's intervention measures, Federal Reserve's wait-and-see mode

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.85 (2024-05-03 05:52:27.942000)

updates: Asian currencies set for best week in two months on intervention

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.84 (2024-05-03 02:56:38.604000)

updates: Added information about Japan's tactics in the suspected yen intervention

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.83 (2024-05-03 02:54:54.240000)

updates: Integration of Point72's Sophia Drossos' comments on Japan's intervention to support the yen

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.82 (2024-05-03 00:53:51.473000)

updates: Updates on yen's performance, Tokyo's suspected intervention, and dollar's weakness

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.81 (2024-05-02 11:55:15.072000)

updates: Tokyo intervention as USD/JPY slides, yen recovers most losses

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.8 (2024-05-02 03:53:52.501000)

updates: Japanese Yen weakens after intervention-led gains, falls below 156.00 against USD

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.79 (2024-05-01 22:52:08.220000)

updates: Yen strengthens as Fed indicates no rate hike

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.78 (2024-05-01 09:53:58.095000)

updates: The article discusses the impact of the data on the currency market.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.77 (2024-05-01 08:54:02.091000)

updates: Updates on dollar approaching year high, yen slipping, US labor cost data, and Fed interest rate projections

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.76 (2024-04-30 19:58:06.018000)

updates: Updates on USD/JPY pair, Japanese trade balance, inflation data, Bank of Japan, US GDP data, intervention threats, US labor costs, Federal Reserve

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.75 (2024-04-30 09:53:30.494000)

updates: The yen eased from its highs after suspected intervention by Japanese authorities. Gold prices slipped due to a firmer dollar and signs of a ceasefire in the fighting in Gaza. Major earnings reports from companies like Amazon, AMD, Coca-Cola, and McDonald's are expected. The S&P 500's first-quarter earnings growth is forecast at 5.6% year-over-year. The euro struggled to hold onto the $1.07 handle despite signs of Eurozone growth rebounding. The ECB is still expected to cut rates in June.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.74 (2024-04-30 07:58:20.953000)

updates: The yen fell against the dollar after suspected intervention. The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest target unchanged. The Japanese government may wait for the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision before intervening. US GDP numbers for Q1 2024 and weekly jobless claims figures are in focus. The yen dropped against the dollar on Tuesday, giving up some of its sharp gains from the previous day.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.73 (2024-04-30 04:56:44.367000)

updates: Updates on yen's struggle to hold gains after suspected intervention

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.72 (2024-04-30 03:53:59.880000)

updates: USD/JPY plummets after speculation of FX intervention

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.71 (2024-04-25 08:52:09.259000)

updates: Updates on US Q1 GDP and Price Index

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.7 (2024-04-25 00:52:45.506000)

updates: Updates on Bank of Japan's monetary policy decision and intervention threats

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.69 (2024-04-24 01:19:48.014000)

updates: Inclusion of USD/JPY forecast and upcoming events

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.68 (2024-04-23 16:19:55.289000)

updates: USD/JPY dip buyers remain confident despite weaker US Dollar

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.67 (2024-04-23 02:23:11.271000)

updates: Added information about the rebound of the Japanese Yen from a multi-decade low against the USD and the limited upside potential due to the difference in interest rates between the US and Japan

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.66 (2024-04-18 02:20:19.569000)

updates: USD/JPY extends losses amid weaker US Dollar and Japan's trade balance surplus

  • ➔
Version 0.65 (2024-04-12 01:22:15.395000)

updates: Inclusion of information about the impact of consumer confidence and BoJ intervention dynamics on the USD/JPY pair

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.64 (2024-04-09 03:19:33.584000)

updates: Integration of information about rising US Treasury yields and Japanese officials' efforts to defend the yen

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.63 (2024-04-05 00:22:51.583000)

updates: Incorporated information about household spending surge and its potential impact on Bank of Japan's stance

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.62 (2024-03-29 12:20:36.222000)

updates: Updates on USD/JPY momentum, BoJ's cautious approach, and upcoming economic data

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.61 (2024-03-29 08:22:26.777000)

updates: Updated information on BoJ's cautious approach and US economic indicators

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.6 (2024-03-28 01:18:19.534000)

updates: Updated information on intervention threats and BoJ Summary of Opinions

  • ➔
Version 0.59 (2024-03-01 13:31:56.132000)

updates: Integration of USD/JPY outlook, Japan Core CPI, and PMI readings

  • ➔
Version 0.58 (2024-02-23 13:20:34.161000)

updates: USD/JPY analysis, US dollar remains fundamentally supported against JPY

  • ➔
Version 0.57 (2024-02-15 05:19:05.082000)

updates: Japan and Australia's disappointing economic data impact yen and AUD

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.57 (2024-02-15 05:19:05.082000)

updates: Japan and Australia's disappointing economic data impact yen and AUD

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.56 (2024-02-15 00:28:36.049000)

updates: Updates on Japan's economy and Bank of Japan policy, Philippines' central bank decision

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.55 (2024-02-15 00:17:29.882000)

updates: USD/JPY forecast and analysis, impact of US economic data on Bank of Japan policy, Japanese GDP data, warnings from Japan's finance minister

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.54 (2024-02-14 23:22:31.578000)

updates: Japan's Q4 GDP figures to be released, Australian unemployment data and Philippines interest rate decision also expected

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.53 (2024-02-14 22:18:41.955000)

updates: Japan's GDP data and its impact on the yen and Asian markets

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.52 (2024-02-08 06:18:09.838000)

updates: Bank of Japan's Uchida emphasizes future rate path dependent on economic and price developments

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.51 (2024-01-29 06:11:19.329000)

updates: Morgan Stanley predicts resilient inflation trend in Japan's economy

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.5 (2024-01-24 11:54:27.534000)

updates: The USD/JPY pair is pegged back below 148.00 on higher JGB yields. Economists at Société Générale analyze the pair’s outlook. JGB yields stay higher across the curve, diverging from softer yields in the US and Europe. The increase by 5 bps in 2y yields to 0.72% reflects greater speculation that the central bank could adjust policy in March or April. Our economists are having second thoughts about a policy change this soon and think the bank will not be confident of achieving its 2% price target sustainably and stably. This year's base pay rise is likely to be insufficient to achieve the 2% target. Moreover, there is a growing feeling that the rate of increase in service prices has already peaked. Our economists therefore do not expect the BoJ to abolish YCC and negative rates in April, the first meeting of the new fiscal year. This keeps the onus on the US economy and the Fed for downside in USD/JPY to gain traction. [c6194be0]

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.49 (2024-01-24 01:03:36.319000)

updates: Updates on Bank of Japan's policy decision and economic projections

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.48 (2024-01-23 10:02:09.961000)

updates: Yen rebounds as Bank of Japan hints at policy shift; US dollar weakens on China stimulus plan

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.47 (2024-01-23 05:54:05.691000)

updates: Asian currencies subdued; BOJ maintains ultra-dovish course

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.46 (2024-01-23 01:58:53.235000)

updates: Updates on BOJ policy decision, RBNZ inflation reading

  • ➔
Version 0.45 (2024-01-23 01:02:30.867000)

updates: Updates on central bank policy meetings in Japan and Europe

  • ➔
Version 0.44 (2024-01-22 21:55:44.167000)

updates: Updates on central bank policy meetings in Japan and Europe

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.43 (2024-01-22 20:54:46.031000)

updates: Updates on the recovery of the US dollar and the diminishing chances of a Federal Reserve rate cut

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.42 (2024-01-22 17:57:19.874000)

updates: The US dollar's rally this year has been tentative as investors try to gauge when the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates. Short-term interest rate futures show that traders are now betting on rate cuts to begin in May, with the probability of a rate cut in March dropping below 50% from nearly 80% in early January. Treasury yields have been rising as central bank officials push back against market expectations of a quick shift to lower rates.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.41 (2024-01-22 13:54:51.896000)

updates: Updates on central bank meetings and US GDP data

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.4 (2024-01-22 13:02:46.196000)

updates: Integrates new information about the Bank of Japan and European Central Bank meetings, as well as market expectations for rate cuts

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.39 (2024-01-22 09:39:01.323000)

updates: The US dollar struggled to keep its gains as the odds of a rate cut in March decreased. The Bank of Japan's meeting raised expectations for an exit from negative rates, leading to a pause in the dollar's rally. The Japanese yen rebounded from its one-month low. The dollar's trade-weighted index was down 0.07% at 103.19 and remained flat against the euro at $1.0898. Short-term interest rate futures show that traders are now betting on rate cuts to begin in May, with the probability of a rate cut in March dropping below 50% from nearly 80% in early January. Treasury yields have been rising as central bank officials push back against market expectations of a quick shift to lower rates. This week, markets will also focus on the European Central Bank and Turkey's policy meetings, as well as a busy earnings season and global trade disruptions in the Red Sea. [89750d80] The yen's moves were driven by the expiry of a large amount of currency options this week. The dollar's trade-weighted index was down 0.09% at 103.19 and the greenback was flat against the euro. The European Central Bank and Canada and Turkey's policy meetings are also scheduled this week. [1c6c551a]

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.38 (2024-01-22 06:50:29.751000)

updates: Updates on the Bank of Japan meeting and yen's movement

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.37 (2024-01-22 05:50:15.052000)

updates: Updates on Asian currencies and Bank of Japan meeting

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.36 (2024-01-22 04:47:30.999000)

updates: The US dollar is struggling to maintain its gains as the odds of a rate cut in March decrease. The Japanese yen has been hit the hardest against the dollar this year, falling about 5%. The Bank of Japan's two-day meeting begins on Monday, and expectations for an exit from negative rates have decreased. The dollar's trade-weighted index is down 0.07% at 103.19 and flat against the euro at $1.0898. The Federal Reserve's key inflation indicator, the core personal consumption expenditures price index, will be released later this week and is expected to impact the USD's relationship with rate cut probabilities. Short-term interest rate futures show traders are betting on rate cuts starting in May, with the probability of a March cut dropping below 50%. The European Central Bank and Turkiye policy meetings are also scheduled for this week, along with a busy earnings season and turmoil in the Red Sea. US stocks have been rising, with the S&P 500 confirming it has been in a bull market since October 2022.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.35 (2024-01-22 02:47:05.075000)

updates: Added information about the challenges faced by the US dollar and the upcoming central bank decisions in Japan and Europe

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.34 (2024-01-22 02:43:11.256000)

updates: Updates on the US dollar's struggle to maintain gains and the decreasing odds of a rate cut in March

  • ➔
Version 0.33 (2024-01-22 01:44:04.394000)

updates: Update on the dollar's struggle to retain gains and the decrease in rate cut odds for March

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.32 (2024-01-20 15:41:56.963000)

updates: Updates on stock market performance and global market divergence

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.31 (2024-01-19 14:48:29.224000)

updates: Updated information on dollar's weekly gain, U.S. retail sales, U.K. retail sales, Bank of England's rate cuts, Japanese consumer inflation, China's Q4 GDP growth, Australian and New Zealand dollars' weekly gains, market pricing of U.S. rate cut, Bank of Japan's rate hike plans, European central bankers' stance, British inflation, Asian currencies' performance, concerns over China's economic growth and PBOC's action

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.3 (2024-01-19 10:44:19.322000)

updates: The dollar is set to rise for a second straight week as signs of resilience in the U.S. economy and pushback from central bankers have caused traders to lower expectations of swift and sharp interest rate cuts. The euro has fallen 0.6% this week, contributing to a 0.9% gain in the dollar index. The yen has been the biggest loser, down around 5% for the year so far. Investors now expect 140 basis points of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year, down from 165 basis points a week earlier. Two-year Treasury yields are up 21 basis points this week to 4.348%. Bitcoin hit a five-week low at $40,484 following the U.S. approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.29 (2024-01-19 09:59:35.869000)

updates: The dollar is on track to rise for a second straight week as signs of resilience in the U.S. economy and pushback from central bankers have caused traders to dial down expectations of swift and sharp falls in interest rates. The euro has fallen 0.6% this week, helping push the dollar index to a 0.9% gain. Japan's yen has been the biggest loser, down around 5% for the year so far. Investors now expect 140 bps of interest rate cuts from the Fed this year, down from 165 bps a week earlier. They also see a roughly 54% chance the first cut comes in March. U.S. labor market data released on Thursday was strong, with weekly jobless claims dropping to their lowest level in nearly 1-1/2 years. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the U.S. economy's strength gives policymakers flexibility to move "carefully and slowly", which traders took as pushing back at pricing for a speedy fall in rates. Deepening malaise in China's property markets rattled investors, who sold mainland shares to multi-year lows and the yuan currency to an almost two-month low of 7.197 per dollar. Bitcoin hit a five-week low at $40,484 overnight as traders have taken profits following the U.S. approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.28 (2024-01-19 09:44:44.876000)

updates: Updated information on dollar's weekly gain and retail sales impact on sterling

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.27 (2024-01-19 05:42:17.935000)

updates: Added information about Asian currencies heading for losses amid rate-cut doubts

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.26 (2024-01-19 05:41:53.304000)

updates: Added details about the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar gains, Bank of Japan's rate hike plans being questioned, Japan's core inflation slowing, Australian dollar receiving support from iron ore prices, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's comments on the strength of the U.S. economy, European central bankers' hawkish stance, and British inflation rising unexpectedly

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.25 (2024-01-19 03:43:24.511000)

updates: Updated information on dollar gains, rate cut expectations, currency movements, and central bank stances

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.24 (2024-01-19 02:45:46.772000)

updates: Updates on dollar's gains, market sentiment, central bank stances, and currency movements

  • ➔
Version 0.23 (2024-01-19 02:42:43.914000)

updates: Updated information on rate cut expectations and currency movements

  • ➔
Version 0.22 (2024-01-19 00:42:44.367000)

updates: Updates on dollar's weekly gain, Japanese inflation, currency moves

  • ➔
Version 0.21 (2024-01-18 10:50:03.393000)

updates: Updated information on dollar's performance and economic resilience

  • ➔
Version 0.2 (2024-01-18 05:44:43.784000)

updates: Updates on China's economic growth, stock market, Pakistan's attack on terrorists inside Iran, ECB rate cut predictions, US dollar's dominance threatened by Bitcoin and CBDCs, PBOC's USD/CNY reference rate, Goldman Sachs CEO's inflation prediction, Australian jobs report, US military strikes, UK RICS data, Japan machinery orders, another ECB official's pushback against rate cuts, HSBC's prediction on US dollar performance, New Zealand Food Price Index, oil inventory, falling population in China, Bitcoin's decline, EUR/USD forecast, Empire Fed survey

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.19 (2024-01-18 04:48:42.488000)

updates: Asian currencies remain muted, dollar falls slightly from one-month high

  • ➔
Version 0.18 (2024-01-17 05:18:57.166000)

updates: Asian currencies weaken on weak China GDP and rate-cut doubts as dollar hits one-month high

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.17 (2024-01-16 15:24:23.879000)

updates: Investors positioning for rate cuts by moving into riskier assets

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.16 (2024-01-16 11:25:40.802000)

updates: The dollar hit a one-month high as Treasury yields climbed on growing speculation that the Federal Reserve may be reticent about cutting interest rates as early as March.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.15 (2024-01-16 10:19:26.393000)

updates: Integration of new information about the rise of the dollar, concerns of rate cut delays, and risk aversion

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.14 (2024-01-16 04:17:29.322000)

updates: Asian currencies weaken as dollar rises amidst anticipation of Fed rate cuts

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.13 (2024-01-15 23:19:44.836000)

updates: Includes information on the negative impact of Chinese depression on the Australian dollar

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.12 (2024-01-15 04:19:55.827000)

updates: The U.S. dollar recently experienced fluctuations, while the Chinese yuan cautiously held its ground in anticipation of a significant release of economic data from China. The global market is eagerly awaiting the comprehensive economic data release from China, which will provide crucial insights into the economic health of the country and influence currency valuations and financial strategies. The market's reaction to the yuan's stance and the dollar's instability demonstrates the interconnected nature of global economies. Despite the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising more than expected, the dollar's support remained unaffected, and gold prices rose amidst the strong CPI numbers.

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.11 (2024-01-15 03:22:22.420000)

updates: Updates on the performance of Asian currencies, anticipation of rate cuts, and Chinese economic data

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.1 (2024-01-15 02:17:16.294000)

updates: Updates on the Chinese yuan, economic data, and UK inflation

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.09 (2024-01-12 08:21:08.137000)

updates: New information on the performance of Asian currencies and expectations of rate cuts

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.08 (2024-01-12 06:16:28.536000)

updates: Inclusion of information about weekly losses in Asian currencies and market performance

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.07 (2024-01-12 05:22:42.892000)

updates: Traders anticipate rate cuts despite strong inflation

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.06 (2024-01-04 06:22:35.960000)

updates: Dollar rebounds to 3-week high, Fitch downgrades Chinese asset managers

  • ➔
Version 0.05 (2024-01-04 05:18:29.295000)

updates: Includes specific details about the dollar's performance and investor reassessment

  • ➔
Version 0.04 (2024-01-04 02:16:05.215000)

updates: The dollar rebounded as traders reconsidered Fed rate cut expectations

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.03 (2023-12-26 05:02:11.901000)

updates: Integration of new information about the dollar, soft inflation, and rate cut bets

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.02 (2023-12-21 06:00:53.134000)

updates: Updates on the stability of Asian currencies and the recovery of the dollar

  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.01 (2023-12-11 05:03:47.593000)

updates: Asian currencies fall due to China disinflation concerns

  • ➔
  • ➔
  • ➔
Version 0.0 (2023-11-29 02:38:07.416000)

updates:

  • ➔
  • ➔