[Tree] Bond market trends and investment insights
Version 1.3 (2024-08-26 06:38:46.476000)
updates: Increased foreign investment and market volatility insights
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Version 1.29 (2024-08-03 05:02:19.975000)
updates: Local bond market trends amid moderating US economy
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Version 1.28 (2024-07-03 00:58:22.568000)
updates: Information on Malaysia's government bond supply in the second half of 2024
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Version 1.27 (2024-06-24 08:59:23.330000)
updates: Maybank's outlook on MGS amid resilient domestic demand
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Version 1.26 (2024-05-09 03:52:36.515000)
updates: Kenanga Research's optimistic outlook for Malaysian financial assets and the expectation of rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve
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Version 1.25 (2024-04-30 00:58:12.008000)
updates: Expert observers tune down optimism about Fed rate cuts
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Version 1.24 (2024-04-02 02:20:57.536000)
updates: The analyst from Hong Leong Investment Bank Bhd (HLIB) expects the ringgit to remain weak in the near term before resuming its appreciation path in the second half of 2024 (2H24), with expectations to end the year at 4.45 US dollar-ringgit (average: 4.65). HLIB expects US dollar strength to eventually subside, likely around mid-year when it becomes more apparent that a pivot is forthcoming, bearing in mind the presidential elections in Nov. HLIB added that taking this a step further, an eventual rate cut administered by the Fed would narrow the FFR-OPR spread and further aid in the ringgit's reprieve. HLIB also stated that following the pedestrian gross domestic product (GDP) showing in 2023, which saw an increase of 3.7 percent year-on-year (YoY), it projects this to normalize upwards to 4.8 percent in 2024. It said this is driven by a rebound in exports and continued growth in domestic expenditure. HLIB also reckoned that the FBM KLCI will likely take a breather in 2Q24 before resuming its uptrend in 2H24 on the back of the Fed's rate inflection, alongside favorable domestic conditions. HLIB maintained a KLCI target of 1,630 for the year. Malaysia remains under-owned by foreigners, with their shareholding near record lows. HLIB continues to favor themes on tourism recovery, energy transition, and Johor's reinvigoration.
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Version 1.23 (2024-03-27 10:23:41.201000)
updates: US Federal Reserve's pause in rate cuts expected to support Malaysian bond market and ringgit
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Version 1.22 (2024-03-25 04:21:40.131000)
updates: Integration of information about the impact on the Malaysian bond market
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Version 1.21 (2024-03-24 20:19:15.169000)
updates: Bond traders cautiously reload wagers on rate cuts
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Version 1.2 (2024-03-24 17:18:59.134000)
updates: The head of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, stated that the Fed 'can and will' begin cutting its key lending rate over the course of this year 'if the economy evolves over that path.' Cleveland Fed president Loretta Mester cautioned against cutting rates too soon.
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Version 1.19 (2024-03-23 10:17:37.138000)
updates: The Financial Express report on the likely timing of the first rate cut in June
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Version 1.18 (2024-03-23 08:17:44.140000)
updates: US Federal Reserve signals three rate cuts, contrary to market expectations
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Version 1.17 (2024-03-22 13:20:43.222000)
updates: Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady, opinions from Seeking Alpha analysts
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Version 1.16 (2024-03-22 00:20:13.228000)
updates: US Federal Reserve holds steady, expects fewer rate cuts in 2024
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Version 1.15 (2024-03-21 23:18:01.891000)
updates: Incorporated new information about the Fed's quarterly economic projections and statements from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
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Version 1.14 (2024-03-21 18:17:11.687000)
updates: Confirmation of three rate cuts in 2024, market response
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Version 1.13 (2024-03-21 11:22:22.954000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve plans three rate cuts in 2024 and expects a shallow easing path. The Fed's projections indicate continued improvements in supply chains and labor availability, and the first rate cut is expected in June. The updated projections also show a slightly shallower pace of easing, indicating a subtle endorsement of broader strength in the economy.
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Version 1.12 (2024-03-21 11:20:36.482000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged but signaled cuts later this year
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Version 1.11 (2024-03-21 09:20:19.526000)
updates: The story now includes criticism of the Fed's decision to delay rate cuts as inflation moderates
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Version 1.1 (2024-03-21 08:19:23.655000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, defying expectations of a rate cut
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Version 1.09 (2024-03-21 06:19:17.569000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve maintains its plan for three rate cuts in 2024 despite elevated inflation
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Version 1.08 (2024-03-21 03:18:58.567000)
updates: Fed expects three rate cuts in 2024, maintains cautious approach
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Version 1.06 (2024-03-21 01:21:54.014000)
updates: Fed officials anticipate fewer rate cuts in the coming years compared to previous estimates
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Version 1.05 (2024-03-21 00:24:12.983000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve maintains key interest rate, plans three rate cuts in 2024
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Version 1.04 (2024-03-20 23:24:33.572000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve plans three rate cuts in 2024
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Version 1.02 (2024-03-20 23:19:18.984000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve maintains its key interest rate and signals future cuts based on subsiding inflationary pressures. Fed officials release new economic projections with fewer expected rate cuts and anticipate higher economic growth and 'core' inflation. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasizes a slow and measured approach.
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Version 1.01 (2024-03-20 23:17:05.893000)
updates: The Fed's decision to hold rates steady reflects its cautious approach as it assesses the state of the economy and inflationary pressures
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Version 1.0 (2024-03-20 22:18:20.420000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, but signals future cuts
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Version 0.99 (2024-03-20 21:24:08.476000)
updates: Fed's economic projections indicate fewer rate cuts
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Version 0.98 (2024-03-20 20:18:33.680000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve has decided to hold its key interest rate steady for the fifth consecutive meeting
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Version 0.97 (2024-03-20 19:20:01.774000)
updates: Federal Reserve maintains plan to cut interest rates by 75 basis points in 2024
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Version 0.96 (2024-03-20 19:19:44.047000)
updates: Updated information on US Federal Reserve's decision to hold key rate steady and plan three rate cuts in 2024
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Version 0.95 (2024-03-20 19:17:14.484000)
updates: Federal Reserve foresees fewer rate cuts in 2025
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Version 0.94 (2024-03-20 17:21:44.456000)
updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady. Some economists see signs that inflation is becoming lodged at levels too far above the Fed's 2% target to ignore, while others expect an upcoming slowdown in economic growth and hiring to keep price pressures muted and warrant rate cuts soon. Major investment firms have scaled back their rate cut expectations for this year. The US job market remains strong, but the housing market has slowed due to rising mortgage rates. A recent CNBC survey suggests that the US economy is expected to continue growing, and the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates fewer times than previously anticipated. The survey also predicts a modest economic slowdown, with GDP growth forecasted at 1.6% this year. Signs of financial distress among the most economically vulnerable are mounting enough to believe the Fed is ready to cut rates as soon as the data allow. The Federal Reserve faces a conundrum when it comes to rate policy, with inflation remaining stubbornly above 3% while consumer and small business delinquencies are high and rising. The Fed's decisions on interest rates and inflation will be closely watched as they have significant implications for the trajectory of economic recovery and growth. [4d09f27b]
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Version 0.93 (2024-03-20 16:17:20.902000)
updates: New information about signs of financial distress and rising delinquencies
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Version 0.92 (2024-03-20 15:21:00.238000)
updates: Uncertainty about inflation and rate cuts, fresh economic projections
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Version 0.91 (2024-03-20 13:18:08.149000)
updates: Fed Chair Powell likely to reiterate wait-and-see mode; Investors watching for updated economic projections; US economy's strength may hinder inflation improvement; Fed's decision on rates to be announced at 2 pm ET
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Version 0.9 (2024-03-20 12:21:14.512000)
updates: Updates on the Federal Reserve's expected decision on interest rates and inflation
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Version 0.89 (2024-03-20 12:18:40.826000)
updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at its meeting. The Fed aims to lower borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, potentially stimulating economic activity. The U.S. job market has exceeded expectations, with the addition of 275,000 jobs in February. The housing market has slowed significantly due to rising mortgage rates.
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Version 0.88 (2024-03-20 11:17:55.825000)
updates: The article discusses how stubborn US inflation will influence the Federal Reserve's views on the timing of rate cuts.
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Version 0.87 (2024-03-20 09:23:03.500000)
updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates as inflation hits a rough patch. The Fed aims to lower borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, potentially stimulating economic activity. The U.S. job market has exceeded expectations, but the housing market has slowed due to rising mortgage rates. The Fed remains committed to lowering inflation to its goal of 2%. [40eddf4d]
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Version 0.86 (2024-03-20 00:18:07.931000)
updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep its key federal funds interest rate unchanged at about 5.5% as it continues to fight persistent inflation. Bankrate analysts believe inflation remains entrenched, and the Fed will only be able to make two interest-rate cuts this year. Factors that could keep inflation subdued include booming labor productivity and a surge in immigration, which increases the supply of workers and puts downward pressure on wage growth. Economists see June as the cutoff date for an initial interest-rate cut. The Fed wants to deliver on its goals of low inflation and full employment without being seen as influencing the general election in November. [1d2613ed]
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Version 0.85 (2024-03-19 20:21:03.776000)
updates: The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates twice this year, according to economist David Doyle. The Bank of Canada may also cut rates sooner than expected due to a cooling economy and lower-than-expected inflation rate. The Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates will have significant implications for the trajectory of economic recovery and growth.
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Version 0.84 (2024-03-19 18:19:53.178000)
updates: Morgan Stanley economist expects Fed to maintain three rate cuts
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Version 0.83 (2024-03-19 18:18:17.131000)
updates: Updated information on the Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts and inflation
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Version 0.82 (2024-03-19 12:18:42.798000)
updates: The CNBC survey indicates that the economy is expected to keep growing and rate cuts could be fewer than previously anticipated. The survey also provides insights into GDP growth, inflation, and the unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve's cautious approach to interest rates and inflation is highlighted.
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Version 0.81 (2024-03-19 10:19:54.853000)
updates: Discussion of the Federal Reserve's meeting and concerns about inflation progress
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Version 0.8 (2024-03-19 09:17:25.031000)
updates: New information about the Federal Reserve meeting and concerns of inflation progress stalling
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Version 0.79 (2024-03-19 03:17:24.890000)
updates: Market-Fed alignment signals fewer rate cuts expected
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Version 0.78 (2024-03-15 21:18:39.890000)
updates: Survey suggests recent inflation pickup won't affect Fed's policy
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Version 0.77 (2024-03-12 14:17:23.373000)
updates: The story now includes a warning about celebrating a Fed victory over inflation as premature
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Version 0.76 (2024-03-07 19:17:36.725000)
updates: Cleveland Fed's Mester calls for more data points on inflation
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Version 0.75 (2024-03-03 09:17:37.132000)
updates: Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler expressed optimism about achieving disinflation without significant job losses in the U.S. economy.
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Version 0.74 (2024-03-02 13:16:47.278000)
updates: New information on the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and inflation indicators
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Version 0.73 (2024-03-01 21:31:20.203000)
updates: The Federal Reserve warns of financial sector vulnerabilities as the economy dodges a wage price spiral
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Version 0.72 (2024-03-01 17:24:30.012000)
updates: The Fed warns of vulnerabilities in the financial sector
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Version 0.71 (2024-02-22 19:19:49.498000)
updates: The Fed's challenge of balancing inflation and recession risks
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Version 0.7 (2024-02-22 18:19:20.141000)
updates: Federal Reserve official warns of inflationary risk of over-consumption
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Version 0.69 (2024-02-22 16:21:18.847000)
updates: Federal Reserve official expects rate cuts later this year
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Version 0.68 (2024-02-22 13:27:44.174000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials express concern about moving too quickly to ease policy
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Version 0.67 (2024-02-22 07:24:54.317000)
updates: Fed officials express concern about cutting rates too soon
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Version 0.67 (2024-02-22 07:24:54.317000)
updates: Fed officials express concern about cutting rates too soon
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Version 0.66 (2024-02-22 07:20:31.755000)
updates: The US Federal Reserve officials expressed uncertainty about when they will begin cutting interest rates, although most warned against starting too soon, according to the minutes from their January 30-31 meeting. Fed Chairman Powell also ruled out cutting US interest rates in March, saying the Fed needs to see more data. The FOMC holds its next meeting on March 19-20, when it is expected to leave rates unchanged and release its latest economic projections. Fed officials also discussed continuing to reduce the size of the Fed's balance sheet and slowing the pace of run-off in light of continuing reductions in use of their reverse repo facility.
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Version 0.65 (2024-02-22 06:28:07.081000)
updates: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates in March
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Version 0.64 (2024-02-22 03:19:08.200000)
updates: Updated information on the Federal Reserve's concerns about cutting rates too soon
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Version 0.63 (2024-02-22 00:22:10.195000)
updates: The minutes from the Federal Reserve's January meeting confirm that no rate cuts are imminent
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Version 0.62 (2024-02-22 00:18:12.846000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials remain cautious on rate cuts
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Version 0.61 (2024-02-21 23:19:03.012000)
updates: The Federal Reserve's cautious approach to balancing inflation concerns and economic stability
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Version 0.6 (2024-02-21 23:18:31.890000)
updates: The Federal Reserve is addressing the delicate balance between curbing inflation and sustaining economic growth. The January meeting revealed a cautious approach, with officials maintaining the benchmark interest rate at about 5.4%. The Fed acknowledges the progress in curbing inflation, reducing it from 9.1% in June 2022 to 3.1% in January. However, there are concerns that strong spending and hiring growth could disrupt this progress. The Fed is cautious about cutting rates prematurely before inflation sustainably returns to the 2% target. Challenges include the possibility of increased aggregate demand outpacing supply chain improvements and geopolitical tensions. The Fed aims to strike a balance between a cautious approach and fostering economic resilience. The decisions made in the coming months will be pivotal, as the Fed navigates the uncertain economic landscape and determines the timing and magnitude of potential rate cuts later in the year. The focus is on ensuring that any future policy adjustments are timely and judicious.
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Version 0.59 (2024-02-21 21:28:33.043000)
updates: Updated information on Federal Reserve's concerns about cutting interest rates too soon
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Version 0.58 (2024-02-21 21:23:58.263000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials express concerns about risks of cutting rates too quickly
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Version 0.57 (2024-02-21 21:23:27.632000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials remain cautious about cutting interest rates
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Version 0.56 (2024-02-21 21:18:51.171000)
updates: The Federal Reserve officials expressed concern about inflation staying high during their policy meeting last month. Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back on expectations of a rate cut in the spring. The Consumer Price Index for January showed a 3.1% increase in prices, lower than December's 3.4% rate and a significant drop from the 6.4% increase in January 2023. Investors now expect the first rate cut to come around the middle of the year.
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Version 0.55 (2024-02-21 21:18:24.921000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials express concerns about inflation progress
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Version 0.54 (2024-02-21 20:26:52.288000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials divided on risks of rate cuts
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Version 0.53 (2024-02-21 20:25:29.684000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials cautious about rate cuts, inflation progress
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Version 0.52 (2024-02-21 20:23:22.806000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials express caution about lowering rates too quickly
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Version 0.51 (2024-02-21 20:18:22.105000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials express caution about quick rate cuts
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Version 0.5 (2024-02-18 12:19:34.606000)
updates: Investors await Federal Reserve meeting minutes for insights on rate cut expectations
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Version 0.49 (2024-02-17 02:20:46.860000)
updates: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly urges patience with rate cuts
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Version 0.48 (2024-02-17 00:17:31.394000)
updates: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly urges patience with rate cuts
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Version 0.47 (2024-02-16 21:20:22.341000)
updates: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly urges patience with rate cuts
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Version 0.46 (2024-02-16 13:18:20.068000)
updates: Rate cuts likely to be delayed due to strong economy [2b302f9f]
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Version 0.45 (2024-02-15 22:21:57.863000)
updates: The Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts due to strong economic growth [69b4c668]
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Version 0.44 (2024-02-15 17:18:44.866000)
updates: Updated information on the US Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates on hold, indications of a delay in rate cuts due to strong consumer spending and market momentum, and the impact of inflation on the rate cut timeline
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Version 0.43 (2024-02-15 04:17:04.171000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials cautious about rate cuts amid inflation concerns
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Version 0.42 (2024-02-14 22:18:11.456000)
updates: The Federal Reserve missed its inflation target for January, causing rate cuts to be delayed until at least June
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Version 0.41 (2024-02-14 08:50:18.584000)
updates: Inflation in the US rose to 3.1% in January, exceeding expectations and leaving doubts over whether the Federal Reserve will resort to rate cuts
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Version 0.4 (2024-02-14 07:53:33.946000)
updates: New information about US inflation exceeding expectations
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Version 0.39 (2024-02-14 05:49:47.547000)
updates: New information on US inflation exceeding expectations and raising doubts over Fed rate cuts
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Version 0.38 (2024-02-14 04:52:36.093000)
updates: Inflation in the US rose to 3.1% in January, exceeding expectations and leaving doubts over whether the Federal Reserve will resort to rate cuts. The Fed had previously halted rate hikes in November 2023 after a year-long fight to rein in price pressures on the economy. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's goal has been to rein in inflation at 2% before starting rate cuts, but inflation has stabilized at 3%. Increased spending by US citizens during Thanksgiving, particularly on online platforms, contributed to the rise in inflation. The consumer price index for January was 3.1%, higher than the predicted 2.9%. This disappointed investors who were hoping for rate cuts. The expectation of rate cuts had fueled a rally in stocks, but the inflation report suggests that Fed officials are dismissive of these expectations. Some officials believe that the pace of improvement in containing price pressures might be overstated. As a result, interest-rate futures now suggest a June start date for rate cuts instead of May.
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Version 0.37 (2024-02-14 03:49:23.079000)
updates: US inflation exceeds expectations, raising doubts over rate cuts
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Version 0.36 (2024-02-13 15:21:56.762000)
updates: Investors scale back rate cut expectations in May
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Version 0.35 (2024-02-11 19:53:50.258000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials signal no rush to cut interest rates despite inflation pressure
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Version 0.34 (2024-02-08 02:13:02.445000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials signal no rush to cut interest rates
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Version 0.33 (2024-02-07 21:16:32.231000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials indicate patience on interest rate cuts
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Version 0.32 (2024-02-07 20:13:40.570000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials indicate patience on interest rate cuts
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Version 0.31 (2024-02-07 17:13:09.840000)
updates: Discussion of the possibility of raising interest rates before cutting them
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Version 0.3 (2024-02-06 18:12:06.368000)
updates: Federal Reserve remains committed to interest rate cuts despite strong labor market
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Version 0.29 (2024-02-04 07:14:38.412000)
updates: Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady amid robust jobs report
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Version 0.28 (2024-02-02 01:25:48.358000)
updates: Analysts revise interest rate targets following Fed meeting
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Version 0.27 (2024-02-01 00:30:49.486000)
updates: New information on the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged and the timeline for rate cuts
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Version 0.26 (2024-02-01 00:29:26.927000)
updates: Powell says March rate cut unlikely
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Version 0.25 (2024-01-31 22:26:47.144000)
updates: Federal Reserve officials hint at rate cuts, but not in March
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Version 0.24 (2024-01-31 21:28:01.225000)
updates: Fed rules out rate cut in March, waiting for comfort on inflation and jobs
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Version 0.23 (2024-01-31 21:27:34.237000)
updates: The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates steady and signaled openness to cutting them. Powell stated that a rate cut in March is unlikely, causing the Dow to drop by 0.6%.
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Version 0.22 (2024-01-31 20:28:48.023000)
updates: Fed holds interest rates steady, signals openness to rate cuts
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Version 0.21 (2024-01-31 20:27:27.275000)
updates: Updates on the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates steady and its outlook on rate cuts
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Version 0.2 (2024-01-31 19:26:03.587000)
updates: Federal Reserve keeps interest rates steady at 5.25-5.50% as inflation falls
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Version 0.19 (2024-01-31 19:25:22.300000)
updates: Federal Reserve signals potential rate cuts later in the year
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Version 0.18 (2024-01-31 15:25:45.551000)
updates: Added details about the Federal Reserve meeting and its impact on rate cuts
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Version 0.17 (2024-01-31 13:28:57.101000)
updates: Federal Reserve holds interest rates, additional news updates
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Version 0.16 (2024-01-31 12:25:33.829000)
updates: Federal Reserve considering rate cut despite strong US economy
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Version 0.15 (2024-01-28 12:54:40.385000)
updates: Updates on upcoming Fed meeting and economic data
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Version 0.14 (2024-01-27 21:52:58.709000)
updates: Investors await Fed rate decision as prelude to possible March cut
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Version 0.13 (2024-01-22 10:55:34.364000)
updates: Market expectations for rate cuts in March have decreased
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Version 0.12 (2024-01-22 03:44:45.444000)
updates: Traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates on hold in March
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Version 0.11 (2024-01-21 12:41:51.822000)
updates: Updates on Fed officials' stance on rate cuts
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Version 0.1 (2024-01-19 20:45:39.808000)
updates: Mixed signals on March rate cut, US dollar recovery, Chinese equities selloff
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Version 0.09 (2024-01-19 08:43:54.143000)
updates: Updates on US economic data and rate cut expectations
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Version 0.08 (2024-01-18 07:44:47.266000)
updates: Integration of new information on economic data and market sentiment
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Version 0.07 (2024-01-18 06:54:14.954000)
updates: Investors trimming rate cut expectations, strong US economic data
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Version 0.06 (2024-01-15 12:16:18.192000)
updates: Investors anticipate a March rate cut as producer prices soften
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Version 0.05 (2024-01-14 04:18:02.256000)
updates: Inclusion of expert opinion on the setup for capital goods companies and potential consumption revival
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Version 0.04 (2024-01-13 13:16:45.623000)
updates: New information on the possibility of a March rate cut by the Federal Reserve and the latest reading on consumer spending
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Version 0.03 (2024-01-08 08:16:14.701000)
updates: Traders reconsidering bets on Fed rate cuts amid mixed economic data
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Version 0.02 (2024-01-05 23:18:52.321000)
updates: Traders revise bets on Fed rate cuts after U.S. jobs report
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Version 0.01 (2023-11-20 18:06:46.248000)
updates: Added information about Wall Street advising diversification into commodities amid expectations of interest rate cuts
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