[Tree] Economic risks from Middle East conflicts
Version 0.66 (2024-10-04 10:37:43.471000)
updates: IMF warns of economic risks due to regional conflicts
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Version 0.65 (2024-05-20 15:55:08.564000)
updates: Incorporated IMF forecast for UAE economic growth in 2024
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Version 0.64 (2024-05-04 15:54:13.758000)
updates: Contradiction between World Bank and IMF forecasts for Kuwait's economic growth
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Version 0.63 (2024-05-04 05:54:15.259000)
updates: Updates on global GDP forecast for 2024, G7 and BRICS countries' growth projections
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Version 0.62 (2024-04-30 05:54:34.313000)
updates: IMF raises Asia growth forecast on China and India prospects
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Version 0.6 (2024-04-29 07:58:04.212000)
updates: IMF revises global growth forecast for 2024, Nigeria's outlook upward
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Version 0.59 (2024-04-27 06:55:32.950000)
updates: UCy forecasts pick up in Cyprus economic growth in 2025
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Version 0.58 (2024-04-23 03:21:01.183000)
updates: GCC economies' outlook and non-oil growth forecast
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Version 0.57 (2024-04-21 10:19:36.117000)
updates: Global economic growth rate slows to 2.6% in 2024, UNCTAD report highlights labor market inequality and inflation concerns, World Bank chooses Saudi Arabia for knowledge hub
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Version 0.56 (2024-04-20 08:20:02.765000)
updates: Mexico's GDP growth forecast revised down, Bangladesh's GDP growth forecast revised down
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Version 0.55 (2024-04-18 10:19:24.292000)
updates: Revised Mexico's growth forecast, upgraded global economic outlook
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Version 0.54 (2024-04-17 23:19:51.375000)
updates: IMF lowers Mexico's GDP growth forecast for 2024
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Version 0.53 (2024-04-17 23:19:19.313000)
updates: IMF raises global economic growth forecast for 2024
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Version 0.52 (2024-04-17 22:19:22.255000)
updates: IMF predicts Russia's economy to grow faster than US and other advanced economies in 2024
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Version 0.51 (2024-04-17 15:19:12.679000)
updates: IMF upgrades global GDP growth forecast for 2024, raises growth forecast for Russia and India, warns China on property crisis
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Version 0.5 (2024-04-17 10:21:50.684000)
updates: Includes IMF's warning on China's property crisis
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Version 0.49 (2024-04-17 09:18:40.152000)
updates: IMF upgrades global GDP growth forecast for 2024
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Version 0.48 (2024-04-17 06:18:33.097000)
updates: IMF upgrades India's GDP growth forecast for FY25 to 6.8%
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Version 0.47 (2024-04-17 04:21:36.502000)
updates: Includes new information about lower inflation and higher growth in Pakistan
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Version 0.46 (2024-04-17 03:18:48.136000)
updates: Revised global growth forecast, risks from China and war escalation
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Version 0.45 (2024-04-17 03:18:36.204000)
updates: IMF global growth forecast upgrade, additional information on Nigeria's growth forecast
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Version 0.44 (2024-04-17 02:24:34.722000)
updates: IMF's forecast for Nigeria falls short of CBN's prediction
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Version 0.43 (2024-04-17 01:18:58.675000)
updates: The IMF has slightly upgraded its global growth forecast for 2024, projecting a 3.2% expansion, up 0.1 percentage points from its January estimate. The IMF warns that the global economy is entering a period of slow growth, dubbing it the 'Tepid Twenties.' The US economy is expected to grow by 2.7% this year, 0.6 percentage points higher than the IMF's January forecast. The IMF downgraded its growth forecast for the eurozone to 0.8%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from its January projection. Potential downside risks to the global economy include a weakened Chinese economy, geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and prolonged high interest rates. The IMF also raises concerns about the fiscal stance of the United States, which it considers 'out of line with long-term fiscal sustainability.' Despite the challenges, IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva suggests that the decade could be remembered as the 'Transformational Twenties' if the world effectively addresses climate change and embraces AI-driven digitization [9d8f2ad5].
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Version 0.42 (2024-04-16 21:24:30.742000)
updates: IMF upgrades growth forecast for US, warns of inflation and geopolitical risks
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Version 0.41 (2024-04-16 20:22:18.731000)
updates: IMF upgrades global growth forecast, warns of inflation and geopolitical risks
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Version 0.4 (2024-04-16 19:23:46.960000)
updates: IMF raises global growth forecast for 2024, warns of US fiscal risks and challenges ahead
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Version 0.4 (2024-04-16 19:23:46.960000)
updates: IMF raises global growth forecast for 2024, warns of US fiscal risks and challenges ahead
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Version 0.39 (2024-04-16 19:23:22.908000)
updates: Inclusion of IMF's upgraded forecast for US economic growth and caution against rate cuts
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Version 0.38 (2024-04-16 19:21:15.983000)
updates: IMF raises India's GDP growth forecast to 7.8%
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Version 0.37 (2024-04-16 19:18:40.562000)
updates: IMF press conference on global financial stability report
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Version 0.36 (2024-04-16 18:21:31.883000)
updates: IMF cuts Bangladesh growth projection to 5.7%
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Version 0.35 (2024-04-16 17:19:20.918000)
updates: IMF projects steady global growth at 3.2% for 2024
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Version 0.34 (2024-03-26 14:20:56.583000)
updates: US economy grows at 3.2% in Q4 2023, Europe struggles with weak growth
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Version 0.33 (2024-02-21 17:21:59.859000)
updates: OECD reports weak growth in Q4 2023, contraction in UK, Germany, and Japan
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Version 0.32 (2024-02-08 13:11:32.029000)
updates: Inclusion of US economic growth projections and inflationary pressures from attacks on Red Sea shipping lanes
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Version 0.31 (2024-02-06 13:14:39.715000)
updates: OECD warns of Middle East risks to global economy
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Version 0.3 (2024-02-06 07:17:19.586000)
updates: Revised global growth forecast for 2024, Middle East tensions as a risk to global economy
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Version 0.28 (2024-02-06 01:15:57.019000)
updates: OECD revises global growth outlook for 2024 to 2.9%
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Version 0.27 (2024-02-06 01:15:28.749000)
updates: OECD raises global growth outlook, warns of Middle East conflict
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Version 0.26 (2024-02-05 19:12:09.763000)
updates: OECD raises global growth outlook on strength of US economy
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Version 0.24 (2024-02-05 12:12:39.006000)
updates: Revised global growth outlook for 2024, Middle East conflict risks, additional information on inflation and monetary policy
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Version 0.23 (2024-02-05 11:15:19.202000)
updates: Revised global growth outlook for 2024, warning about Middle East conflict
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Version 0.22 (2024-02-05 11:13:14.223000)
updates: OECD revises global growth forecast upwards, warns about Middle East conflict
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Version 0.21 (2024-01-24 15:55:35.626000)
updates: The Federal Reserve's dovish stance raises hopes for the U.S. economy
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Version 0.2 (2024-01-22 19:55:14.758000)
updates: Includes forecast from Wells Fargo Research Team on global economic growth in 2024
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Version 0.19 (2024-01-20 08:45:57.332000)
updates: QNB predicts no strong recovery in global trade
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Version 0.18 (2024-01-17 20:16:37.551000)
updates: Incorporated information about the slowest half-decade of GDP growth, anticipated global trade growth, borrowing costs for developing economies, and revised investor strategies
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Version 0.15 (2024-01-07 07:16:58.202000)
updates: Updated information on global macroeconomic outlook for 2024
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Version 0.14 (2024-01-06 11:21:49.307000)
updates: US job growth accelerates, global economy shows mixed signals
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Version 0.13 (2023-12-31 10:04:36.218000)
updates: Positive surprises and resilience in the global economy
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Version 0.12 (2023-12-31 00:59:53.862000)
updates: The U.S. economy's unexpected growth in 2023, factors contributing to the growth, concerns about a potential recession in 2024, the resilience of the U.S. economy, the credit for the economic miracle, the need for improvements in economic forecasting methodologies
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Version 0.11 (2023-12-30 17:01:24.888000)
updates: The year 2023 saw positive macro surprises in the US, euro area, and China, leading to better than expected global growth. The U.S. economy proved to be more robust than anticipated, with growth estimated at 2.4% despite aggressive monetary policy tightening. The euro area avoided a deep recession due to a milder energy crisis and loose fiscal policies. China fully reopened and experienced moderate growth of 5.2% after a subdued 2022. These factors contributed to the better than expected global economic performance in 2023.
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Version 0.1 (2023-12-30 02:06:15.849000)
updates: New information about the unexpected economic success of the U.S. economy in 2023 and an interview with Geoff Bennett and Roben Farzad
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Version 0.09 (2023-12-30 01:02:23.840000)
updates: Integration of an interview discussing the unexpected economic success of the U.S. economy in 2023
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Version 0.08 (2023-12-29 23:59:21.426000)
updates: The U.S. economy experienced robust growth in the third quarter of 2023, with a GDP growth rate of 5.2%. The Federal Reserve has signaled a potential end to its historic monetary policy tightening and anticipates lower borrowing costs in 2024. The U.S. economy has seen an increase in non-farm payrolls, with over 500,000 new jobs. Inflation remains strong at 6.4% year-on-year. The U.S. economy continues to defy predictions of a recession, with positive signs such as GDP growth below two percent, core inflation under three percent, and a 3.1% growth in retail sales during the holiday season. The U.S. experienced an economic miracle in 2023, with no recession, a decrease in inflation, and the addition of over 2.5 million jobs. The credit for the economic miracle is debated, with recognition given to Congress, President Donald Trump, President Biden, the Federal Reserve, corporate leaders, and workers.
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Version 0.07 (2023-12-29 12:59:32.018000)
updates: Integration of information on the U.S. economic miracle in 2023 and the debate over credit
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Version 0.06 (2023-12-29 04:59:23.045000)
updates: The U.S. economy has defied predictions of a recession in 2023, experiencing robust growth despite external challenges. Factors contributing to this growth include supply chain improvements and strong balance sheets for households, businesses, and farms. Despite external shocks such as a banking crisis, auto strikes, and geopolitical risks, the economy grew by 5% in the third quarter. Inflation has also decreased throughout the year. However, there are concerns about a potential recession in 2024, with expectations of slower GDP growth and falling inflation. The labor market remains strong, which is crucial for consumer spending and overall economic strength. The depletion of excess savings accumulated during the pandemic may impact future demand, and higher interest rates could slow down investment. The forecast for 2024 suggests below-trend growth, a slight increase in unemployment, and continued decrease in inflation. External shocks, such as wars impacting energy production, could have significant implications for the economy. The monetary policy will focus on managing inflation, with expectations of interest rates coming down in 2024 and 2025. Overall, the U.S. economy has shown resilience but is subject to various factors that could influence its trajectory.
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Version 0.05 (2023-12-28 13:01:37.479000)
updates: Discussion on the difficulty of predicting the state of the economy and the mixed feelings of the American people
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Version 0.04 (2023-12-27 07:00:06.638000)
updates: Updates on economic forecasting and potential headwinds
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Version 0.03 (2023-12-25 21:01:50.379000)
updates: Inclusion of recent data on U.S. economy's momentum and accelerated growth in 2023
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Version 0.02 (2023-12-22 16:01:27.770000)
updates: U.S. economic growth in Q3 revised down to 4.9%
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Version 0.01 (2023-12-22 12:00:41.416000)
updates: U.S. economy shows signs of regaining momentum
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