[Tree] Hong Kong's Christmas preparations and economic outlook
Version 0.97 (2024-11-17 10:47:58.208000)
updates: Retail sales decline persists; tourism shows recovery signs
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.96 (2024-11-15 12:49:18.511000)
updates: GDP forecast revised; retail sales decline; tourism recovery
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.95 (2024-11-15 10:50:02.811000)
updates: GDP forecast downgraded; retail sales continue to decline
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.94 (2024-11-01 09:41:43.879000)
updates: Retail sales fall for seventh month; government response planned
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.92 (2024-10-31 05:37:16.330000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.91 (2024-10-31 03:36:45.819000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.9 (2024-10-31 03:34:52.651000)
updates: Added details on consumer confidence and housing market
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.89 (2024-10-31 02:35:16.577000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and job market statistics
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.88 (2024-10-31 01:36:24.233000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation data included
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.87 (2024-10-31 00:39:56.417000)
updates: Increased debt-to-GDP ratio and durable goods spending
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.86 (2024-10-31 00:37:41.571000)
updates: Incorporated new poll data and inflation rates
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.85 (2024-10-30 22:37:44.078000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending data
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.84 (2024-10-30 22:36:24.223000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation data included
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.83 (2024-10-30 21:35:30.372000)
updates: Updated GDP growth, consumer spending, and job market insights
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.82 (2024-10-30 20:41:35.288000)
updates: Added insights on immigration's role in economy
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.81 (2024-10-30 19:43:15.345000)
updates: Updated GDP figures and election implications
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.8 (2024-10-30 19:42:31.759000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation figures; election context
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.79 (2024-10-30 19:41:52.699000)
updates: GDP growth lower than expected; inflation concerns persist
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.77 (2024-10-30 18:37:06.284000)
updates: Updated GDP growth rate and consumer spending data
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.76 (2024-10-30 17:50:52.978000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.75 (2024-10-30 17:49:34.761000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer confidence details
- ➔
Version 0.74 (2024-10-30 17:36:50.174000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details
- ➔
Version 0.73 (2024-10-30 16:51:55.448000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer sentiment details
- ➔
Version 0.72 (2024-10-30 16:47:19.050000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.71 (2024-10-30 16:44:51.530000)
updates: GDP growth lower than expected; personal savings down
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.7 (2024-10-30 16:40:24.353000)
updates: Increased consumer spending and GDP growth reported
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.69 (2024-10-30 16:35:00.614000)
updates: Updated GDP growth, consumer spending, and inflation data
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.68 (2024-10-30 15:49:33.077000)
updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation data
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.67 (2024-10-30 14:56:28.850000)
updates: Incorporated RBC's forecast on rate cuts and growth.
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.66 (2024-10-30 14:53:15.192000)
updates: Incorporated latest GDP growth and consumer spending data
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.65 (2024-10-30 14:50:53.024000)
updates: Updated GDP figures and job market expectations
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.64 (2024-10-30 14:47:05.831000)
updates: GDP growth below expectations; political implications highlighted
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.63 (2024-10-30 14:39:14.458000)
updates: Incorporated public sentiment and election concerns
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.62 (2024-10-30 13:56:37.769000)
updates: Added details on consumer spending and investment trends
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.61 (2024-10-30 13:52:26.938000)
updates: Updated GDP growth rate and economic context
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.6 (2024-10-30 11:41:11.211000)
updates: Updated GDP forecasts and Eurozone growth data
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.59 (2024-10-25 14:43:35.986000)
updates: Durable goods orders decline; core orders increase
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.58 (2024-10-25 13:38:13.542000)
updates: Core capital goods orders exceed expectations in September
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.57 (2024-10-24 22:38:55.786000)
updates: Added market movements and updated economic indicators
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.56 (2024-10-24 14:41:03.592000)
updates: Increased business activity and easing inflation pressures
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.55 (2024-10-23 20:39:00.353000)
updates: Lower profit margins and election uncertainty highlighted
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.54 (2024-10-23 19:49:20.059000)
updates: Increased hiring and inflation pressures moderating noted
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.53 (2024-10-23 19:39:42.548000)
updates: Latest Beige Book shows flat growth and election uncertainty
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.52 (2024-09-05 17:49:56.469000)
updates: Latest Beige Book shows weakening economy and recession signs
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.51 (2024-07-18 20:58:09.440000)
updates: Beige Book reports slight to modest growth, soft demand for loans, and slower growth expectations
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.5 (2024-07-18 19:59:35.293000)
updates: Beige Book report for July indicates more areas reporting flat or declining economic activity
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.49 (2024-07-17 20:05:56.838000)
updates: Survey reveals signs of economic recovery and soaring labor and market activity
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.48 (2024-07-17 18:59:54.382000)
updates: US economic growth is slowing, concerns about supply chain disruptions and labor shortages
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.47 (2024-05-30 22:54:55.504000)
updates: Firms grow more pessimistic about the economy
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.46 (2024-05-30 06:55:27.555000)
updates: Updated information on US economic activity and prices from the Beige Book
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.45 (2024-05-29 18:54:08.292000)
updates: US stocks remain lower after Beige Book release
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.44 (2024-05-29 18:53:00.295000)
updates: Incorporated latest Beige Book findings and analysis on district sentiment
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.43 (2024-05-29 18:52:23.854000)
updates: Incorporated the latest Beige Book report on the US economy
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.42 (2024-04-21 21:18:19.560000)
updates: Integration of Beige Book analysis on district sentiment's predictive potential
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.41 (2024-04-20 04:20:15.415000)
updates: US economic activity grows slightly since late February
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.4 (2024-04-18 11:18:07.791000)
updates: The Beige Book report highlights the resilience of the US economy amid supply disruptions
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.39 (2024-04-18 09:26:44.178000)
updates: Updated information on the US economy's slight expansion in March and the findings of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book survey
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.38 (2024-04-18 02:18:23.132000)
updates: New information on US economic activity and inflation
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.37 (2024-04-18 01:21:49.958000)
updates: Gloomy outlook for the US economy, concerns over Bidenflation and labor shortages
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.36 (2024-04-18 00:19:06.977000)
updates: Updated information on the US economy's growth and prices from the Federal Reserve's Beige Book report
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.35 (2024-04-17 19:19:02.062000)
updates: The Federal Reserve's Beige Book report states that the overall U.S. economic activity has expanded slightly since late February. Ten out of twelve Fed districts experienced slight or modest economic growth. Consumer spending has barely increased overall, with reports of mixed spending categories. Price increases were modest, with some districts noting moderate increases in energy prices and insurance rates. Firms' ability to pass cost increases on to consumers has weakened, resulting in smaller profit margins. Employment rose at a slight pace overall, with wages growing at a moderate pace in eight districts. The outlook for economic growth remains generally positive, with expectations for stronger demand and less restrictive financial conditions over the next 6 to 12 months.
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.34 (2024-04-01 16:17:43.956000)
updates: UBS managing director Jason Katz believes in an industrial market 'renaissance' in the US economy [fadf3bff]
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.33 (2024-03-13 19:23:17.364000)
updates: Integration of NAIOP's industrial demand forecast and disagreement with its outlook
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.32 (2024-03-13 16:19:35.916000)
updates: Add information from Journalist's Resource about the Beige Book survey and story ideas for reporters
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.31 (2024-03-06 23:19:21.895000)
updates: Industrials up after Beige Book survey
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.3 (2024-03-06 21:17:17.605000)
updates: US economic activity shows slight increase, inflation and jobs market signals are conflicting
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.29 (2024-03-06 21:17:03.784000)
updates: US economy expands at a modest pace, consumer sensitivity to rising prices
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.28 (2024-03-06 20:19:59.655000)
updates: Recent observations reveal nuanced economic activities across the U.S., highlighting labor market adjustments and consumer behavior trends.
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.27 (2024-03-06 20:17:02.050000)
updates: Incorporated information from a survey conducted by the US Federal Reserve
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.26 (2024-03-06 20:16:46.299000)
updates: Updated information on economic activity and inflation
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.25 (2024-03-06 20:16:33.512000)
updates: US economy accelerates slightly, Beige Book survey shows
- ➔
Version 0.24 (2024-03-01 15:18:52.089000)
updates: Revised GDP growth rate, consumer spending, inflation projections
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.23 (2024-03-01 14:16:49.203000)
updates: Revised GDP growth rate for Q4 2023, additional information on consumer spending and inflation, IMF forecast for 2024, voter sentiment
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.22 (2024-02-29 21:18:19.941000)
updates: Revised GDP growth rate, moderate inflation, strong consumer spending
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.21 (2024-02-29 04:17:39.595000)
updates: Incorporated information about the 3.2% Q4 GDP growth and Boston Fed President Susan Collins' comments on low inflation
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.2 (2024-02-28 18:17:22.578000)
updates: Updated information on US GDP growth and monetary policy
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.19 (2024-02-27 15:18:43.057000)
updates: US economy expected to experience sluggish growth, not near recession
- ➔
Version 0.18 (2024-02-27 12:19:58.587000)
updates: The strong US economy is seen as an asset rather than a risk to the Fed's rate cut plans. Forecasts indicate lower GDP growth in 2024, but recent data suggests the economy is on track to grow faster than expected in Q1. Consensus forecasts now have the Fed cutting rates three times in 2024. Debate on whether the stock market is an indicator of the underlying economic fundamentals.
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.17 (2024-02-27 11:16:40.129000)
updates: Updates on US economy's growth and its impact on Fed's rate cut plans
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.16 (2024-02-23 04:19:06.966000)
updates: Federal Reserve warns of unanticipated exogenous shocks and emphasizes adaptability in monetary policy
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.15 (2024-02-12 22:21:27.120000)
updates: Growing skepticism of Federal Reserve's monetary policies
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.14 (2024-02-12 16:22:55.356000)
updates: New information on skepticism of Federal Reserve's monetary policies and the possibility of an interest rate cut by May
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.13 (2024-02-12 12:20:44.025000)
updates: Prediction of Fed rate cuts in 2024 by Scott Ladner
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.12 (2024-02-08 13:11:54.492000)
updates: Updated information on the US economy's resilience and growth concerns
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.11 (2024-02-02 08:26:28.341000)
updates: New information on the possibility of a recession in the US and the impact of tight monetary conditions
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.1 (2024-01-29 17:26:00.047000)
updates: New information on the possibility of a recession in the US and the impact of tight monetary conditions
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.09 (2024-01-27 21:53:31.155000)
updates: Added information about job cuts and softer spending as warning signs for US economy
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.08 (2024-01-20 10:42:14.873000)
updates: Expert forecast predicts US economy will hold up well in 2024
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.07 (2024-01-20 03:43:44.485000)
updates: Contrasting view on US economy's outlook amid recession concerns
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.06 (2023-12-12 13:24:35.730000)
updates: Added information from Pimco's Crescenzi about the US economy's ability to handle the new interest rate regime and the prediction of declining inflation in 2024
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.05 (2023-12-04 17:34:31.970000)
updates: Pimco economist warns of underpriced risk of US recession
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.04 (2023-11-30 18:04:22.042000)
updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to hesitate in cutting interest rates next year due to fears of a rebound in inflation, which could reduce the chances of a U.S. economic soft landing. Vanguard predicts a mild U.S. recession in 2024, prompting the Fed to start cutting interest rates in the second half of next year. Vanguard expects GDP growth of 0.5% next year with one or two quarters of negative growth. The Fed is likely to cut rates by 100 to 150 basis points.
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.03 (2023-11-30 12:28:13.482000)
updates: Inclusion of Eastspring Investment report on US Fed rate cut and forecast of mild recession
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.02 (2023-11-28 22:33:39.591000)
updates: Inclusion of rates traders' perspective and concerns about the Omicron variant
- ➔
- ➔
- ➔
Version 0.01 (2023-11-10 09:23:54.258000)
updates: Restructured and organized the content for clarity and impact
- ➔
- ➔