[Tree] Hong Kong's Christmas preparations and economic outlook

Version 0.97 (2024-11-17 10:47:58.208000)

updates: Retail sales decline persists; tourism shows recovery signs

Version 0.96 (2024-11-15 12:49:18.511000)

updates: GDP forecast revised; retail sales decline; tourism recovery

Version 0.95 (2024-11-15 10:50:02.811000)

updates: GDP forecast downgraded; retail sales continue to decline

Version 0.94 (2024-11-01 09:41:43.879000)

updates: Retail sales fall for seventh month; government response planned

Version 0.93 (2024-10-31 09:42:38.828000)

updates: Growth slows; forecasts to be revised soon

Version 0.92 (2024-10-31 05:37:16.330000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details

Version 0.91 (2024-10-31 03:36:45.819000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details

Version 0.9 (2024-10-31 03:34:52.651000)

updates: Added details on consumer confidence and housing market

Version 0.89 (2024-10-31 02:35:16.577000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and job market statistics

Version 0.88 (2024-10-31 01:36:24.233000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation data included

Version 0.87 (2024-10-31 00:39:56.417000)

updates: Increased debt-to-GDP ratio and durable goods spending

Version 0.86 (2024-10-31 00:37:41.571000)

updates: Incorporated new poll data and inflation rates

Version 0.85 (2024-10-30 22:37:44.078000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending data

Version 0.84 (2024-10-30 22:36:24.223000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation data included

Version 0.83 (2024-10-30 21:35:30.372000)

updates: Updated GDP growth, consumer spending, and job market insights

Version 0.82 (2024-10-30 20:41:35.288000)

updates: Added insights on immigration's role in economy

Version 0.81 (2024-10-30 19:43:15.345000)

updates: Updated GDP figures and election implications

Version 0.8 (2024-10-30 19:42:31.759000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation figures; election context

Version 0.79 (2024-10-30 19:41:52.699000)

updates: GDP growth lower than expected; inflation concerns persist

Version 0.78 (2024-10-30 19:37:51.599000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation data included

Version 0.77 (2024-10-30 18:37:06.284000)

updates: Updated GDP growth rate and consumer spending data

Version 0.76 (2024-10-30 17:50:52.978000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details

Version 0.75 (2024-10-30 17:49:34.761000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer confidence details

Version 0.74 (2024-10-30 17:36:50.174000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details

Version 0.73 (2024-10-30 16:51:55.448000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer sentiment details

Version 0.72 (2024-10-30 16:47:19.050000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending details

Version 0.71 (2024-10-30 16:44:51.530000)

updates: GDP growth lower than expected; personal savings down

Version 0.7 (2024-10-30 16:40:24.353000)

updates: Increased consumer spending and GDP growth reported

Version 0.69 (2024-10-30 16:35:00.614000)

updates: Updated GDP growth, consumer spending, and inflation data

Version 0.68 (2024-10-30 15:49:33.077000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation data

Version 0.67 (2024-10-30 14:56:28.850000)

updates: Incorporated RBC's forecast on rate cuts and growth.

Version 0.66 (2024-10-30 14:53:15.192000)

updates: Incorporated latest GDP growth and consumer spending data

Version 0.65 (2024-10-30 14:50:53.024000)

updates: Updated GDP figures and job market expectations

Version 0.64 (2024-10-30 14:47:05.831000)

updates: GDP growth below expectations; political implications highlighted

Version 0.63 (2024-10-30 14:39:14.458000)

updates: Incorporated public sentiment and election concerns

Version 0.62 (2024-10-30 13:56:37.769000)

updates: Added details on consumer spending and investment trends

Version 0.61 (2024-10-30 13:52:26.938000)

updates: Updated GDP growth rate and economic context

Version 0.6 (2024-10-30 11:41:11.211000)

updates: Updated GDP forecasts and Eurozone growth data

Version 0.59 (2024-10-25 14:43:35.986000)

updates: Durable goods orders decline; core orders increase

Version 0.58 (2024-10-25 13:38:13.542000)

updates: Core capital goods orders exceed expectations in September

Version 0.57 (2024-10-24 22:38:55.786000)

updates: Added market movements and updated economic indicators

Version 0.56 (2024-10-24 14:41:03.592000)

updates: Increased business activity and easing inflation pressures

Version 0.55 (2024-10-23 20:39:00.353000)

updates: Lower profit margins and election uncertainty highlighted

Version 0.54 (2024-10-23 19:49:20.059000)

updates: Increased hiring and inflation pressures moderating noted

Version 0.53 (2024-10-23 19:39:42.548000)

updates: Latest Beige Book shows flat growth and election uncertainty

Version 0.52 (2024-09-05 17:49:56.469000)

updates: Latest Beige Book shows weakening economy and recession signs

Version 0.51 (2024-07-18 20:58:09.440000)

updates: Beige Book reports slight to modest growth, soft demand for loans, and slower growth expectations

Version 0.5 (2024-07-18 19:59:35.293000)

updates: Beige Book report for July indicates more areas reporting flat or declining economic activity

Version 0.49 (2024-07-17 20:05:56.838000)

updates: Survey reveals signs of economic recovery and soaring labor and market activity

Version 0.48 (2024-07-17 18:59:54.382000)

updates: US economic growth is slowing, concerns about supply chain disruptions and labor shortages

Version 0.47 (2024-05-30 22:54:55.504000)

updates: Firms grow more pessimistic about the economy

Version 0.46 (2024-05-30 06:55:27.555000)

updates: Updated information on US economic activity and prices from the Beige Book

Version 0.45 (2024-05-29 18:54:08.292000)

updates: US stocks remain lower after Beige Book release

Version 0.44 (2024-05-29 18:53:00.295000)

updates: Incorporated latest Beige Book findings and analysis on district sentiment

Version 0.43 (2024-05-29 18:52:23.854000)

updates: Incorporated the latest Beige Book report on the US economy

Version 0.42 (2024-04-21 21:18:19.560000)

updates: Integration of Beige Book analysis on district sentiment's predictive potential

Version 0.41 (2024-04-20 04:20:15.415000)

updates: US economic activity grows slightly since late February

Version 0.4 (2024-04-18 11:18:07.791000)

updates: The Beige Book report highlights the resilience of the US economy amid supply disruptions

Version 0.39 (2024-04-18 09:26:44.178000)

updates: Updated information on the US economy's slight expansion in March and the findings of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book survey

Version 0.38 (2024-04-18 02:18:23.132000)

updates: New information on US economic activity and inflation

Version 0.37 (2024-04-18 01:21:49.958000)

updates: Gloomy outlook for the US economy, concerns over Bidenflation and labor shortages

Version 0.36 (2024-04-18 00:19:06.977000)

updates: Updated information on the US economy's growth and prices from the Federal Reserve's Beige Book report

Version 0.35 (2024-04-17 19:19:02.062000)

updates: The Federal Reserve's Beige Book report states that the overall U.S. economic activity has expanded slightly since late February. Ten out of twelve Fed districts experienced slight or modest economic growth. Consumer spending has barely increased overall, with reports of mixed spending categories. Price increases were modest, with some districts noting moderate increases in energy prices and insurance rates. Firms' ability to pass cost increases on to consumers has weakened, resulting in smaller profit margins. Employment rose at a slight pace overall, with wages growing at a moderate pace in eight districts. The outlook for economic growth remains generally positive, with expectations for stronger demand and less restrictive financial conditions over the next 6 to 12 months.

Version 0.34 (2024-04-01 16:17:43.956000)

updates: UBS managing director Jason Katz believes in an industrial market 'renaissance' in the US economy [fadf3bff]

Version 0.33 (2024-03-13 19:23:17.364000)

updates: Integration of NAIOP's industrial demand forecast and disagreement with its outlook

Version 0.32 (2024-03-13 16:19:35.916000)

updates: Add information from Journalist's Resource about the Beige Book survey and story ideas for reporters

Version 0.31 (2024-03-06 23:19:21.895000)

updates: Industrials up after Beige Book survey

Version 0.3 (2024-03-06 21:17:17.605000)

updates: US economic activity shows slight increase, inflation and jobs market signals are conflicting

Version 0.29 (2024-03-06 21:17:03.784000)

updates: US economy expands at a modest pace, consumer sensitivity to rising prices

Version 0.28 (2024-03-06 20:19:59.655000)

updates: Recent observations reveal nuanced economic activities across the U.S., highlighting labor market adjustments and consumer behavior trends.

Version 0.27 (2024-03-06 20:17:02.050000)

updates: Incorporated information from a survey conducted by the US Federal Reserve

Version 0.26 (2024-03-06 20:16:46.299000)

updates: Updated information on economic activity and inflation

Version 0.25 (2024-03-06 20:16:33.512000)

updates: US economy accelerates slightly, Beige Book survey shows

Version 0.24 (2024-03-01 15:18:52.089000)

updates: Revised GDP growth rate, consumer spending, inflation projections

Version 0.23 (2024-03-01 14:16:49.203000)

updates: Revised GDP growth rate for Q4 2023, additional information on consumer spending and inflation, IMF forecast for 2024, voter sentiment

Version 0.22 (2024-02-29 21:18:19.941000)

updates: Revised GDP growth rate, moderate inflation, strong consumer spending

Version 0.21 (2024-02-29 04:17:39.595000)

updates: Incorporated information about the 3.2% Q4 GDP growth and Boston Fed President Susan Collins' comments on low inflation

Version 0.2 (2024-02-28 18:17:22.578000)

updates: Updated information on US GDP growth and monetary policy

Version 0.19 (2024-02-27 15:18:43.057000)

updates: US economy expected to experience sluggish growth, not near recession

Version 0.18 (2024-02-27 12:19:58.587000)

updates: The strong US economy is seen as an asset rather than a risk to the Fed's rate cut plans. Forecasts indicate lower GDP growth in 2024, but recent data suggests the economy is on track to grow faster than expected in Q1. Consensus forecasts now have the Fed cutting rates three times in 2024. Debate on whether the stock market is an indicator of the underlying economic fundamentals.

Version 0.17 (2024-02-27 11:16:40.129000)

updates: Updates on US economy's growth and its impact on Fed's rate cut plans

Version 0.16 (2024-02-23 04:19:06.966000)

updates: Federal Reserve warns of unanticipated exogenous shocks and emphasizes adaptability in monetary policy

Version 0.15 (2024-02-12 22:21:27.120000)

updates: Growing skepticism of Federal Reserve's monetary policies

Version 0.14 (2024-02-12 16:22:55.356000)

updates: New information on skepticism of Federal Reserve's monetary policies and the possibility of an interest rate cut by May

Version 0.13 (2024-02-12 12:20:44.025000)

updates: Prediction of Fed rate cuts in 2024 by Scott Ladner

Version 0.12 (2024-02-08 13:11:54.492000)

updates: Updated information on the US economy's resilience and growth concerns

Version 0.11 (2024-02-02 08:26:28.341000)

updates: New information on the possibility of a recession in the US and the impact of tight monetary conditions

Version 0.1 (2024-01-29 17:26:00.047000)

updates: New information on the possibility of a recession in the US and the impact of tight monetary conditions

Version 0.09 (2024-01-27 21:53:31.155000)

updates: Added information about job cuts and softer spending as warning signs for US economy

Version 0.08 (2024-01-20 10:42:14.873000)

updates: Expert forecast predicts US economy will hold up well in 2024

Version 0.07 (2024-01-20 03:43:44.485000)

updates: Contrasting view on US economy's outlook amid recession concerns

Version 0.06 (2023-12-12 13:24:35.730000)

updates: Added information from Pimco's Crescenzi about the US economy's ability to handle the new interest rate regime and the prediction of declining inflation in 2024

Version 0.05 (2023-12-04 17:34:31.970000)

updates: Pimco economist warns of underpriced risk of US recession

Version 0.04 (2023-11-30 18:04:22.042000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to hesitate in cutting interest rates next year due to fears of a rebound in inflation, which could reduce the chances of a U.S. economic soft landing. Vanguard predicts a mild U.S. recession in 2024, prompting the Fed to start cutting interest rates in the second half of next year. Vanguard expects GDP growth of 0.5% next year with one or two quarters of negative growth. The Fed is likely to cut rates by 100 to 150 basis points.

Version 0.03 (2023-11-30 12:28:13.482000)

updates: Inclusion of Eastspring Investment report on US Fed rate cut and forecast of mild recession

Version 0.02 (2023-11-28 22:33:39.591000)

updates: Inclusion of rates traders' perspective and concerns about the Omicron variant

Version 0.01 (2023-11-10 09:23:54.258000)

updates: Restructured and organized the content for clarity and impact

Version 0.0 (2023-11-10 08:23:14.310000)

updates: