[Tree] Recession indicators, yield curve, Leading Economic Index, Federal Reserve, home sales, unemployment claims, new home construction, U.S. economy, economic warning signs, US economic indicators, recession risk, analyzing the economy, Beige Book, anecdotes

Version 0.55 (2024-05-29 22:52:51.951000)

updates: Introduces the use of anecdotes from the Beige Book to predict recessions

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Version 0.54 (2024-05-28 18:55:11.115000)

updates: Integrates new information about the importance of considering multiple metrics when analyzing the economy

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Version 0.53 (2024-05-28 13:55:11.954000)

updates: Integration of new information about US economic indicators reflecting low recession risk

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Version 0.52 (2024-05-15 21:52:17.583000)

updates: Integration of new information about the U.S. economy's growth and the importance of being mindful of economic warning signs

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Version 0.51 (2024-05-01 15:52:33.061000)

updates: Integrates information about a false alarm of a U.S. recession warning based on state economies

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Version 0.5 (2024-04-30 18:57:47.347000)

updates: Contradicts previous state-based recession warning

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Version 0.49 (2024-04-13 01:17:58.021000)

updates: Recession indicators show positive trends after flashing warning signs

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Version 0.49 (2024-04-13 01:17:58.021000)

updates: Recession indicators show positive trends after flashing warning signs

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Version 0.48 (2024-04-10 13:20:11.335000)

updates: Grant Cardone warns of recession based on Leading Economic Index

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Version 0.47 (2024-03-25 04:22:00.069000)

updates: Stock market hits record highs, positive developments in the economy

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Version 0.46 (2024-03-24 14:17:39.023000)

updates: Recession indicators fail to predict economic downturn

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Version 0.45 (2024-03-21 17:20:44.972000)

updates: Updates on the US economy's leading indicators and economic conditions

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Version 0.44 (2024-03-21 17:19:37.639000)

updates: Leading Economic Index shows first increase in two years

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Version 0.43 (2024-03-21 16:23:18.277000)

updates: The US Leading Indicator Index shows the first increase in two years, indicating signs of a fading recession. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index increased by 0.1% in February, the first increase since February 2022. The US economy is expected to continue growing and avoid a recession, despite higher interest rates. The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates this year could impact the economy's performance. The Conference Board expects US GDP growth to slow in the second and third quarters due to rising consumer debt and elevated interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 rose in response to the news.

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Version 0.42 (2024-03-21 14:19:12.415000)

updates: US Leading Indicator Index shows first increase in two years

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Version 0.41 (2024-03-21 14:18:23.175000)

updates: The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. increased by 0.1% in February, marking the first increase since February 2022. The U.S. economy is expanding at an above-average speed despite higher interest rates, and there is little sign of a pending recession. The Conference Board expects U.S. GDP growth to slow over the second to third quarter period due to rising consumer debt and elevated interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 rose in Thursday trading following the news.

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Version 0.4 (2024-03-21 14:17:33.715000)

updates: The leading indicators for the US economy rose in February for the first time in two years, indicating potential growth and avoiding a recession. The index of leading economic indicators increased by 0.1% last month, the first increase since February 2022. The US economy is expanding at an above-average speed despite higher interest rates, and there is little sign of a pending recession. The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates this year could impact the economy's performance. The Conference Board expects US GDP growth to slow over the second to third quarter period due to rising consumer debt and elevated interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 rose in Thursday trading following the news. [312c17cb]

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Version 0.39 (2024-03-05 16:19:36.400000)

updates: Inclusion of the US Redbook indicator and its implications for economic health

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Version 0.38 (2024-03-01 16:22:37.217000)

updates: Weekly Leading Economic Index signals economic expansion

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Version 0.37 (2024-02-25 15:21:49.022000)

updates: Includes analysis of stock market indicators and their relation to the potential recession

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Version 0.36 (2024-02-25 10:21:15.880000)

updates: Discussion of the Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) as a recession indicator

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Version 0.35 (2024-02-25 09:17:59.378000)

updates: Recession indicator suggests potential downturn in the US stock market

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Version 0.34 (2024-02-23 16:17:02.364000)

updates: Updates on jobless claims, unemployment rate, home sales, GDP growth, chemical industry

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Version 0.33 (2024-02-23 06:22:33.822000)

updates: Incorporated information about the Coincident Economic Index and Lagging Economic Index in January 2024

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Version 0.32 (2024-02-22 16:17:38.924000)

updates: Integration of additional information about the US Leading Economic Index and revised recession outlook

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Version 0.31 (2024-02-21 15:19:43.071000)

updates: Conference Board retracts recession prediction, signals economic resilience

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Version 0.3 (2024-02-21 07:16:01.059000)

updates: The Conference Board retracts recession prediction, positive signals of economic resilience

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Version 0.29 (2024-02-20 22:15:59.798000)

updates: Leading Economic Index no longer signals a recession

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Version 0.28 (2024-02-20 21:15:56.855000)

updates: The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index no longer signals a coming recession for the U.S. economy

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Version 0.27 (2024-02-20 18:16:53.244000)

updates: Leading Economic Index no longer signals US recession

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Version 0.26 (2024-02-20 17:16:51.553000)

updates: Conference Board report indicates no recession ahead

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Version 0.25 (2024-02-20 16:16:23.036000)

updates: New information on headwinds and positive consumer confidence

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Version 0.24 (2024-02-20 15:16:27.564000)

updates: Leading indicators decline for 22nd month, but signs of recession fade

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Version 0.23 (2024-02-20 15:16:01.136000)

updates: Updates on the decline in leading indicators and the outlook for the US economy

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Version 0.22 (2024-01-26 04:53:59.149000)

updates: Updated information on US GDP growth and leading indicators

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Version 0.21 (2024-01-23 19:58:00.931000)

updates: Integration of Wall Street and Main Street perspectives on the US economy

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Version 0.2 (2024-01-22 23:04:21.459000)

updates: Integration of Breitbart report on rising inflation as a bigger threat than recession

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Version 0.19 (2024-01-22 17:07:06.620000)

updates: Updated information on leading indicators and risk of election season recession

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Version 0.18 (2024-01-22 15:54:20.923000)

updates: Integration of new information about the decline in leading indicators and the outlook for the US economy

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Version 0.17 (2024-01-22 06:41:59.158000)

updates: Integration of financial analysts' perspective on US economy

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Version 0.16 (2024-01-22 05:42:03.005000)

updates: Economists increasingly optimistic about US economy

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Version 0.15 (2024-01-22 05:41:42.818000)

updates: Updated information on economists' views and survey results

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Version 0.14 (2024-01-20 20:43:05.188000)

updates: Economists divided on US economy and risks of recession

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Version 0.13 (2024-01-20 10:42:34.399000)

updates: Economists optimistic about US economy avoiding recession

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Version 0.12 (2024-01-16 11:16:15.004000)

updates: Recession risks decrease but still loom in 2024

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Version 0.11 (2024-01-15 03:22:03.340000)

updates: Economists reduce probability of recession, expect slower economic growth

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Version 0.1 (2024-01-14 14:18:19.394000)

updates: New information on economists' predictions, job market, leading economic indicators, and expert opinions

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Version 0.09 (2024-01-11 15:23:53.814000)

updates: Expert analysis suggests a potential recession in the US

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Version 0.08 (2024-01-03 16:16:01.534000)

updates: Integration of expert opinions on recession

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Version 0.07 (2023-12-30 00:04:06.886000)

updates: New data suggests a 'short and shallow' recession in 2024

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Version 0.06 (2023-12-27 13:07:48.164000)

updates: New data suggests a 'short and shallow' recession in 2024

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Version 0.05 (2023-12-23 23:59:23.994000)

updates: The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index declined by 0.5% in November, following drops in October and September. The index has contracted by 3.5% between May and November. The US economy is projected to grow at a slower rate and may face a 'short and shallow' recession in the first half of 2024.

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Version 0.04 (2023-12-21 16:01:05.470000)

updates: New data predicts a 'short and shallow' recession in 2024

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Version 0.03 (2023-12-21 15:59:37.956000)

updates: Leading Indicator Index edged down in November, Coincident Economic Index points to ongoing economic resilience, The Conference Board forecasts a short and shallow recession in H1 2024

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Version 0.02 (2023-12-11 21:48:27.665000)

updates: New information about the Leading Economic Index pointing to a potential US recession

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Version 0.01 (2023-11-22 20:57:03.464000)

updates: Leading indicators suggest possible recession in the US

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Version 0.0 (2023-11-14 14:14:04.343000)

updates:

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