[Tree] Construction activity and crane counts in Honolulu.

Version 3.34 (2024-10-07 19:42:36.021000)

updates: Honolulu sees increased construction cranes and activity.

Version 3.33 (2024-10-01 09:36:14.307000)

updates: Inflation drop and rate cuts boost construction outlook

Version 3.32 (2024-09-27 09:45:49.036000)

updates: Insights on Fed rate cuts and construction challenges

Version 3.31 (2024-09-26 11:42:14.771000)

updates: Fed and Wall Street disagree on rate cut pace

Version 3.3 (2024-09-26 02:35:39.980000)

updates: Inclusion of global recession fears and Bitcoin surge

Version 3.29 (2024-09-25 11:40:51.981000)

updates: Bowman's dissent and global rate cuts included.

Version 3.28 (2024-09-24 19:38:53.361000)

updates: Inclusion of Jim Rickards' recession predictions

Version 3.27 (2024-09-24 16:46:02.417000)

updates: Added Bowman's dissent and inflation concerns

Version 3.26 (2024-09-24 15:39:35.299000)

updates: Bowman's dissent highlights inflation concerns and cautious cuts

Version 3.25 (2024-09-24 15:38:17.136000)

updates: Invesco's analysis on Fed's rate cut implications

Version 3.24 (2024-09-24 13:39:49.421000)

updates: Bowman's dissent highlights inflation risks and cautious cuts.

Version 3.23 (2024-09-24 02:39:07.635000)

updates: Added analyst insights on inflation concerns post-rate cut

Version 3.22 (2024-09-23 20:47:19.870000)

updates: Added details on Fed's rate cut implications

Version 3.21 (2024-09-23 19:53:45.428000)

updates: Added details on mortgage rates and public sentiment

Version 3.2 (2024-09-23 19:46:57.844000)

updates: Manufacturers advised on strategic responses to rate cuts

Version 3.19 (2024-09-23 18:42:07.914000)

updates: Fed rate cut introduces new economic challenges

Version 3.18 (2024-09-23 14:39:34.510000)

updates: Bostic's comments on economic normalization and rate cuts

Version 3.17 (2024-09-23 13:53:09.454000)

updates: Added consumer sentiment and Bank of America expansion plans

Version 3.16 (2024-09-23 13:50:14.873000)

updates: Added consumer confidence and GDP growth insights

Version 3.15 (2024-09-23 09:38:48.046000)

updates: Added insights on market performance and neutral rates

Version 3.14 (2024-09-23 08:34:42.986000)

updates: Added analysis on implications of rate cuts

Version 3.13 (2024-09-23 00:40:18.619000)

updates: Upcoming PCE data and global economic events

Version 3.12 (2024-09-22 21:47:45.234000)

updates: Incorporated market expectations and potential economic impacts

Version 3.11 (2024-09-22 19:36:00.289000)

updates: Incorporated analysis of economic implications of rate cuts

Version 3.1 (2024-09-22 16:34:52.329000)

updates: Incorporated recent Fed rate cut details and market reactions

Version 3.09 (2024-09-22 13:49:44.776000)

updates: Positive market response; upcoming economic data releases

Version 3.08 (2024-09-22 11:36:13.781000)

updates: Latest inflation data supports Fed's rate cut decision

Version 3.07 (2024-09-22 10:35:28.547000)

updates: Inclusion of global central bank updates and forecasts

Version 3.06 (2024-09-22 05:39:05.790000)

updates: Added Beige Book insights and further rate cut projections

Version 3.05 (2024-09-22 04:47:14.652000)

updates: Stocks soared after Fed's rate cut announcement

Version 3.04 (2024-09-22 02:52:01.348000)

updates: Inclusion of recent Fed decisions and economic forecasts

Version 3.03 (2024-09-21 05:36:49.995000)

updates: Added details on Fed's rate cut impact and projections

Version 3.02 (2024-09-21 00:41:57.266000)

updates: Added housing market updates post-Fed rate cut

Version 3.01 (2024-09-20 23:35:03.297000)

updates: Added supply chain crisis concerns and market reactions

Version 3.0 (2024-09-20 19:41:28.339000)

updates: Incorporated latest Fed rate cut details and market reactions

Version 2.99 (2024-09-20 19:36:40.013000)

updates: Added global economic implications and FOMC details

Version 2.98 (2024-09-20 16:42:19.223000)

updates: Incorporated insights from J.P. Morgan analysis

Version 2.97 (2024-09-20 16:36:09.338000)

updates: Incorporated internal Fed debates and labor market concerns

Version 2.96 (2024-09-20 15:42:02.082000)

updates: Added Canadian inflation data and corporate earnings updates

Version 2.95 (2024-09-20 14:36:31.718000)

updates: Added details on Fed's rate cut and market reactions

Version 2.94 (2024-09-20 12:38:54.283000)

updates: Incorporated market reactions and expert analysis

Version 2.93 (2024-09-20 12:37:23.485000)

updates: Fed cuts rates to address job market issues

Version 2.92 (2024-09-20 07:37:39.892000)

updates: Added context about Bank of Japan's interest rates

Version 2.91 (2024-09-20 05:37:54.683000)

updates: Added context on political implications and market reactions

Version 2.9 (2024-09-20 05:36:57.647000)

updates: Added details on Fed's rate cut and projections

Version 2.89 (2024-09-20 02:45:32.653000)

updates: Incorporated analysis on consumer confidence and elections

Version 2.88 (2024-09-20 00:37:05.299000)

updates: Incorporated analysis on Fed's strategy and market volatility

Version 2.87 (2024-09-20 00:34:08.596000)

updates: Added global implications of Fed's rate cut

Version 2.86 (2024-09-19 23:38:32.272000)

updates: Biden's comments on the rate cut and its significance

Version 2.85 (2024-09-19 19:34:22.581000)

updates: Fed cuts rates amid rising unemployment and inflation changes

Version 2.84 (2024-09-19 17:46:21.819000)

updates: Details on global effects and political reactions

Version 2.83 (2024-09-19 17:43:58.564000)

updates: Added details on inflation and economic impact

Version 2.82 (2024-09-19 17:43:12.465000)

updates: Fed cuts rates to balance economic risks

Version 2.81 (2024-09-19 17:38:43.560000)

updates: Fed cuts rates amid recession concerns; proactive measures noted

Version 2.8 (2024-09-19 16:44:35.554000)

updates: Added insights on political reactions and economic forecasts

Version 2.79 (2024-09-19 15:33:34.273000)

updates: Added political reactions and corporate news updates

Version 2.78 (2024-09-19 14:37:34.500000)

updates: Added dissenting opinion and recession caution

Version 2.77 (2024-09-19 12:46:06.817000)

updates: Inclusion of recent Fed rate cut details and market reactions

Version 2.76 (2024-09-19 12:37:29.225000)

updates: Inclusion of effects on Kenyan markets and investments

Version 2.75 (2024-09-19 11:35:02.517000)

updates: Added political context to Fed's rate decision

Version 2.74 (2024-09-19 11:34:08.735000)

updates: Added analysis on election impact and economic forecasts

Version 2.73 (2024-09-19 10:47:58.100000)

updates: Incorporated recent Fed rate cut and economic analysis

Version 2.72 (2024-09-19 09:48:27.530000)

updates: Incorporated details about the Fed's rate cut

Version 2.71 (2024-09-19 09:44:20.409000)

updates: Added details on political implications and dissent

Version 2.7 (2024-09-19 09:35:58.443000)

updates: Added analysis from PIMCO on rate cut implications

Version 2.69 (2024-09-19 09:35:06.884000)

updates: Added analysis on political implications and market reactions

Version 2.68 (2024-09-19 08:35:41.188000)

updates: Inclusion of details on rate cut and inflation

Version 2.67 (2024-09-19 08:34:21.436000)

updates: Incorporated details on job market and political implications.

Version 2.66 (2024-09-19 06:39:09.014000)

updates: Market reactions and economic outlook updates

Version 2.65 (2024-09-19 04:45:22.561000)

updates: Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points; future cuts expected.

Version 2.64 (2024-09-19 04:41:54.512000)

updates: Added political implications and Trump criticism

Version 2.63 (2024-09-19 04:36:43.825000)

updates: Incorporated recent rate cut details and implications.

Version 2.62 (2024-09-19 03:39:44.750000)

updates: Updated details on Fed's rate cut and market response

Version 2.61 (2024-09-19 03:39:07.321000)

updates: Updated details on Fed's rate cut and projections

Version 2.6 (2024-09-19 03:33:52.743000)

updates: Incorporated latest Fed rate cut details and implications.

Version 2.59 (2024-09-19 02:49:16.440000)

updates: Added details on inflation and GDP forecasts

Version 2.58 (2024-09-19 02:36:11.748000)

updates: Integration of presidential election implications

Version 2.57 (2024-09-19 01:37:44.038000)

updates: Added insights on soft landing and global impact

Version 2.56 (2024-09-19 01:37:07.476000)

updates: Added analysis of political implications of rate cut

Version 2.55 (2024-09-19 01:36:30.209000)

updates: Fed cuts rates; unemployment and inflation projections updated

Version 2.54 (2024-09-19 01:35:30.083000)

updates: Fed cuts rates for first time in four years

Version 2.53 (2024-09-19 00:47:20.107000)

updates: Added details on political pressures for rate cuts

Version 2.52 (2024-09-19 00:45:05.524000)

updates: Updated inflation rates and Fed's future projections

Version 2.51 (2024-09-19 00:43:27.597000)

updates: Updated inflation and unemployment statistics included

Version 2.5 (2024-09-19 00:40:50.621000)

updates: Consensus on rate cuts lacks; UK inflation steady

Version 2.49 (2024-09-18 22:38:32.367000)

updates: Fed cuts rate by 0.5%, signaling economic adjustments

Version 2.48 (2024-09-18 22:34:29.242000)

updates: Increased focus on credit card debt and economic troubles

Version 2.47 (2024-09-18 21:44:47.693000)

updates: Fed cuts rate by 0.5%, signaling policy shift

Version 2.46 (2024-09-18 21:41:50.548000)

updates: Added market reactions and unemployment data.

Version 2.45 (2024-09-18 20:47:57.746000)

updates: Fed cuts rates, inflation projections revised down

Version 2.44 (2024-09-18 20:45:46.038000)

updates: Added details on dissent and economic projections

Version 2.43 (2024-09-18 20:44:30.002000)

updates: Fed cuts rates to combat slowing job growth

Version 2.42 (2024-09-18 20:43:14.473000)

updates: Added Bank of England's stance on interest rates

Version 2.41 (2024-09-18 20:34:06.867000)

updates: Fed cuts rates, economic conditions worsen

Version 2.4 (2024-09-18 19:50:08.726000)

updates: Updated interest rate cut details and economic context

Version 2.39 (2024-09-18 19:47:32.940000)

updates: Added insights from industry experts on rate cut implications

Version 2.38 (2024-09-18 19:40:53.111000)

updates: Fed cuts rates, signaling easing era begins

Version 2.37 (2024-09-18 19:36:40.654000)

updates: Fed cuts rates; Powell emphasizes economic stability.

Version 2.36 (2024-09-18 18:49:59.162000)

updates: UAE Central Bank also cuts interest rates

Version 2.35 (2024-09-18 18:48:34.314000)

updates: First rate cut in over four years; inflation target at 2%

Version 2.34 (2024-09-18 18:45:36.564000)

updates: Fed cuts rates to support job market and curb inflation

Version 2.33 (2024-09-18 18:44:45.647000)

updates: Added details on labor market and inflation trends

Version 2.32 (2024-09-18 18:43:15.952000)

updates: Fed cuts rates by 0.5 percentage points; inflation outlook improves

Version 2.31 (2024-09-18 18:39:32.202000)

updates: Fed cuts rates; recession fears rise; market reactions positive.

Version 2.3 (2024-09-18 18:38:02.765000)

updates: Fed cuts rate, signaling end to inflation fight

Version 2.29 (2024-09-18 18:36:52.527000)

updates: Incorporated recession fears and updated economic indicators

Version 2.28 (2024-09-18 18:36:01.695000)

updates: Fed cuts rates for the first time in four years

Version 2.27 (2024-09-18 18:33:15.950000)

updates: Fed cuts rates by half a percentage point

Version 2.26 (2024-09-18 17:40:06.506000)

updates: Fed expected to cut rates for first time since 2020

Version 2.25 (2024-09-18 15:43:34.728000)

updates: Added insights on IT sector's response to rate cut

Version 2.24 (2024-09-18 14:39:04.253000)

updates: Added details on economic growth and mortgage rates

Version 2.23 (2024-09-18 13:40:45.045000)

updates: Updated with latest Fed rate cut details

Version 2.22 (2024-09-18 10:37:19.579000)

updates: Details on consumer impact and economic recovery

Version 2.21 (2024-09-18 09:43:58.959000)

updates: Biden administration claims vindication for economic policies

Version 2.2 (2024-09-18 09:35:22.413000)

updates: Added recent Fed rate cut announcement details

Version 2.19 (2024-09-17 12:44:16.426000)

updates: BlackRock reduces rate cut odds; inflation concerns persist

Version 2.18 (2024-09-17 12:40:55.615000)

updates: BlackRock warns cuts may be less than expected

Version 2.17 (2024-09-17 12:36:37.646000)

updates: Added context on inflation and job growth

Version 2.16 (2024-09-17 11:35:12.179000)

updates: Gulf countries expected to ease rates after Fed cuts

Version 2.15 (2024-09-17 08:35:54.476000)

updates: Inclusion of labor market conditions and election context

Version 2.14 (2024-09-17 03:33:53.773000)

updates: Global implications of Fed's rate cuts highlighted

Version 2.13 (2024-09-17 01:39:47.526000)

updates: Added insights on hotel sector and consumer debt

Version 2.12 (2024-09-17 01:37:59.262000)

updates: Added details about the Fed's leadership and inflation trends

Version 2.11 (2024-09-17 00:48:36.548000)

updates: Federal Reserve expected to cut rates in September 2024.

Version 2.1 (2024-08-01 14:02:13.575000)

updates: Impact of high interest rates on vehicle financing costs

Version 2.09 (2024-08-01 08:10:21.575000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates steady for the eighth consecutive meeting and hints at a possible rate cut in September

Version 2.08 (2024-08-01 08:03:40.319000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady amid economic uncertainty

Version 2.07 (2024-08-01 07:01:22.218000)

updates: Fed hints at rate cut in September

Version 2.06 (2024-08-01 06:03:29.379000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates at 5.25-5.5% for the eighth consecutive term. The Fed hinted at a possible rate cut in September. The Fed plans to reduce its holdings of treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities. The Fed remains focused on achieving a 2% inflation target and maximum employment. The Fed's decision-making process involves a complex interplay of economic factors and requires careful analysis of various indicators and risks to the economy. The Fed's decision to cut rates will be mainly based on inflation readings. The Fed is considering lowering borrowing costs based on key economic indicators. The Fed's rate cuts can have ripple effects on borrowing costs, savings and investments, currency values, stock market performance, and the housing market. The Fed aims to support sustainable economic growth while maintaining price stability. The Fed's decision on rate cuts is influenced by factors such as inflation data, labor market performance, economic growth, and fiscal policy developments. The Fed's projected timeline for rate cuts includes September 2024, December 2024, and beyond. The Fed's decision to wait on cutting rates may have implications for the housing and auto markets.

Version 2.05 (2024-08-01 05:00:35.541000)

updates: The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, hints at rate cut in September

Version 2.04 (2024-08-01 04:03:37.858000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rates at 5.25-5.5% for the eighth consecutive term. The Fed noted that job gains in the US economy have moderated and the unemployment rate has increased slightly but remains low. The committee reaffirmed its commitment to achieving maximum employment and a long-term inflation rate of 2%. The Fed will continue to assess incoming data and economic conditions to determine the appropriate stance of monetary policy. The Fed also plans to reduce its holdings of treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities [fed0d41c].

Version 2.03 (2024-08-01 04:02:06.527000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve left its key lending rate unchanged; Recent data suggests progress in bringing inflation back down to its long-term target of two percent; Fed Chair Jerome Powell may hint at a possible interest rate cut at the next Fed meeting in September.

Version 2.02 (2024-08-01 04:01:21.157000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve hints at a possible rate cut in September

Version 2.01 (2024-08-01 01:00:27.022000)

updates: US Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, but cuts expected soon

Version 2.0 (2024-07-31 22:03:42.654000)

updates: Includes warning signs in the credit market and the impact on the housing and auto markets

Version 1.99 (2024-07-31 17:08:57.554000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is considering lowering borrowing costs in the coming months based on more than just inflation data. Recent data shows milder price increases and robust economic growth, but the Fed wants more assurance that inflation will continue to fall towards their 2% target. The closely-watched jobs report on Friday will provide further insight into the labor market. The July employment report is likely to show a continued softening in the pace of hiring. Hurricane Beryl presents a wild card that could restrain hours worked. The Federal Reserve's decision on rate cuts is influenced by factors such as inflation data, labor market performance, economic growth, and fiscal policy developments. The projected timeline for rate cuts includes September 2024, December 2024, and beyond. The Fed's decision-making process involves a complex interplay of economic factors and requires careful analysis of various indicators and risks to the economy. US credit conditions are getting tighter, possibly bolstering the Federal Reserve's case for future interest rate cuts. US central bankers are considering the latest quarterly survey from bank loan officers during their rate-setting meeting. This survey is expected to show continued weakening in loan demand from consumers and businesses, alongside tighter credit standards. The Fed favors the current moderation in loan demand and tighter credit conditions. The Fed's rate-hiking campaign has led to stricter lending standards and slower loan growth. Conditions are approaching a 'neutral state,' which is optimal for a 'soft landing' – reducing inflation without triggering a recession or substantial rise in unemployment. The longer the Fed delays reducing policy rates, potential economic vulnerabilities become a growing concern.

Version 1.98 (2024-07-31 15:00:31.045000)

updates: Federal Reserve officials likely to set stage for rate cut

Version 1.97 (2024-07-31 14:06:54.789000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in the coming months, but not at its meeting this week. Recent economic data shows that the US economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter, which may complicate the path toward a rate cut. US credit conditions are getting tighter, possibly bolstering the Federal Reserve's case for future interest rate cuts.

Version 1.96 (2024-07-31 12:03:06.894000)

updates: Information about US credit conditions and loan demand

Version 1.95 (2024-07-31 11:07:20.192000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is not expected to cut interest rates at its meeting this week

Version 1.94 (2024-07-31 10:01:23.267000)

updates: Fed officials are pleased with the latest inflation data but not fully comfortable yet with slashing rates. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting news conference could provide clarity on the timing of the first rate cut. The US economy is achieving a 'soft landing' with inflation slowing to the Fed's 2% target without a recession. The Fed's decision to cut rates will be mainly based on inflation readings. The Fed's July monetary policy meeting concludes with an announcement and press conference led by Chair Powell [276bed54].

Version 1.93 (2024-07-28 15:59:43.831000)

updates: Jerome Powell to provide clues about rate cuts

Version 1.92 (2024-07-28 09:08:59.507000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is considering rate cuts based on multiple economic indicators

Version 1.91 (2024-07-28 02:03:55.051000)

updates: Updates on job growth and rate decisions

Version 1.9 (2024-07-27 18:16:20.018000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is considering rate cuts following minimal inflation data. The possibility of rate cuts is already influencing currency and bond markets. The majority of economists expect rate cuts to happen in September and December. The Fed's decision on when to cut rates is influenced by a range of factors, including inflation data, labor market conditions, and the potential risks to the economy.

Version 1.89 (2024-07-26 18:05:59.156000)

updates: The Federal Reserve's dilemma on timing of rate cuts

Version 1.88 (2024-07-26 14:11:03.875000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is considering rate cuts due to minimal inflation data

Version 1.87 (2024-07-26 14:01:47.897000)

updates: The Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates and the possibility of a September rate cut

Version 1.86 (2024-07-26 13:04:03.222000)

updates: US Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates in September

Version 1.85 (2024-07-24 17:09:48.501000)

updates: Updated information on the expected timing and number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve

Version 1.84 (2024-07-23 17:09:29.473000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, in September and December, according to economists in a Reuters poll. The majority of economists believe that resilient U.S. consumer demand warrants a cautious approach despite easing inflation. All 100 economists in the poll expect rates to remain unchanged on July 31, with 82% forecasting a 25-basis-point cut in September. Nearly three-quarters of economists predict two 25-basis-point cuts this year, with 70% expecting them in September and December. The Fed is expected to cut rates once in each quarter through 2025, taking the federal funds rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range by the end of 2025. The US Federal Reserve is closely watching upcoming economic data before making a decision on interest rate cuts. The Fed's decision will depend on data aligning with their expectations, including progress on lowering inflation and a stable labor market. The Fed is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at its July 30-31 meeting but may lay the groundwork for a rate cut in September. The gap between the July and September meetings allows for more data to accumulate. The Fed raised its benchmark rate by 5.25 percentage points over 12 policy meetings, but inflation has been slowing recently. The Fed's preferred inflation index was 2.6% in May and is expected to dip to 2.5% or lower in June. The Fed will receive additional inflation data in July and August before the September meeting. The unemployment rate is currently 4.1%, which the Fed considers sustainable in the long run. Employment reports will be closely watched to confirm that rising wages and labor shortages no longer pose an inflation risk. The Fed's decision on interest rates will have significant implications for investors and the economy. Fed officials are hesitant to lower interest rates due to an unexpected inflation flare-up in the last quarter. However, favorable inflation data and signs of a cooling labor market suggest that the high bar for rate reduction has been met. John Williams and Christopher Waller of the New York Fed express optimism about the downdraft in inflation but warn of uncertain future rate reduction due to uneven inflation data. Fed officials are split on whether there should be one or two interest rate reductions this year. The Fed wants to ensure that inflation continues to trend down towards its 2% annual goal before committing to lowering borrowing costs. The decision to delay the interest rate cut is based on the need for more data to accumulate and align with the Fed's expectations. The Fed's decision will have significant implications for investors and the economy.

Version 1.83 (2024-07-23 16:08:12.965000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, in September and December, according to economists in a Reuters poll. The decision is based on resilient consumer demand and easing inflation. The majority of economists forecast a 25-basis-point cut in September, pushing the federal funds rate to the 5.00%-5.25% range. The second cut is expected in December. The Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged on July 31. The outlook will depend on key data releases, including GDP and personal consumption expenditures price index data for June. Inflation is not expected to reach 2% until at least 2026. The Fed is predicted to cut rates once in each quarter through 2025, taking the federal funds rate to the 3.75%-4% range by the end of 2025. The US economy is forecast to expand 2.3% this year.

Version 1.82 (2024-07-23 15:16:09.078000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, in September and December. The majority of economists believe that resilient U.S. consumer demand warrants a cautious approach despite easing inflation. Strong retail sales in June and a consensus view that the jobless rate won't rise much argue for patience. The Fed is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at its July 30-31 meeting but may lay the groundwork for a rate cut in September. The gap between the July and September meetings allows for more data to accumulate. Fed officials want to see monthly price numbers continuing to trend down towards their 2% annual inflation goal before committing to lowering borrowing costs. Fed Governor Christopher Waller believes a cut in the policy rate is warranted as the labor market is in a 'sweet spot'. The rebalancing in the labor market has been accompanied by a moderation in consumer spending. Fed officials are aware that maintaining their current stance amid easing inflation is a form of tightening. Investors interpret officials' comments as signaling a September rate cut, with many already seeing it as a near certainty. Early communication from Fed officials could help make the case to the public. The Fed emphasizes that it stays out of politics and will do what's best for the economy. Fed officials are hesitant to lower interest rates due to an unexpected inflation flare-up in the last quarter. However, favorable inflation data and signs of a cooling labor market suggest that the high bar for rate reduction has been met. John Williams and Christopher Waller of the New York Fed express optimism about the downdraft in inflation but warn of uncertain future rate reduction due to uneven inflation data. Fed officials are split on whether there should be one or two interest rate reductions this year. The Fed wants to ensure that inflation continues to trend down towards its 2% annual goal before committing to lowering borrowing costs. The decision to delay the interest rate cut is based on the need for more data to accumulate and align with the Fed's expectations. The Fed's decision will have significant implications for investors and the economy.

Version 1.81 (2024-07-23 14:02:12.086000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, with the first move anticipated in September, according to a Reuters poll of economists.

Version 1.8 (2024-07-22 04:57:52.034000)

updates: Fed officials are hesitant to lower interest rates due to an unexpected inflation flare-up in the last quarter. Favorable inflation data and signs of a cooling labor market suggest that the high bar for rate reduction has been met. John Williams and Christopher Waller of the New York Fed express optimism about the downdraft in inflation but warn of uncertain future rate reduction due to uneven inflation data. Fed officials are split on whether there should be one or two interest rate reductions this year.

Version 1.79 (2024-07-20 17:07:15.911000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve is closely watching upcoming economic data before making a decision on interest rate cuts.

Version 1.78 (2024-07-19 04:01:52.447000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve is preparing for a September rate cut as risks to the labor market have grown. Fed officials want to see monthly price numbers continuing to trend down towards their 2% annual inflation goal before committing to lowering borrowing costs. Fed Governor Christopher Waller believes a cut in the policy rate is warranted as the labor market is in a 'sweet spot'. The rebalancing in the labor market has been accompanied by a moderation in consumer spending. Fed officials are aware that maintaining their current stance amid easing inflation is a form of tightening. Investors interpret officials' comments as signaling a September rate cut, with many already seeing it as a near certainty. Early communication from Fed officials could help make the case to the public. The Fed emphasizes that it stays out of politics and will do what's best for the economy.

Version 1.77 (2024-07-17 17:00:36.146000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller expresses support for rate cuts

Version 1.76 (2024-07-17 11:57:01.527000)

updates: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams emphasizes the importance of balancing the risks of holding rates too high for too long versus cutting prematurely and stalling progress on curbing price pressures. Williams wants to see more evidence in the coming months before lowering borrowing costs. Recent data has shown a renewed easing in price pressures, with a key gauge of consumer prices posting the smallest advance since 2021 in June. Williams believes that if they get more data like this, he would find greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably to 2%.

Version 1.75 (2024-07-17 09:54:15.503000)

updates: Discussion of the possibility of rate cuts in July

Version 1.74 (2024-07-17 08:54:38.907000)

updates: Updates on the Fed's decision-making process and the possibility of rate cuts in July

Version 1.73 (2024-07-14 00:54:55.615000)

updates: Incorporated analysis on the need for rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve

Version 1.72 (2024-07-12 18:57:24.769000)

updates: The Fed might focus on the weakening labor market rather than inflation as it considers rate cuts

Version 1.71 (2024-07-11 09:54:16.800000)

updates: Updated information on the Fed's focus on the job market and potential interest rate cuts

Version 1.7 (2024-07-11 08:59:35.051000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's perspective on a potential soft landing in the US economy

Version 1.69 (2024-07-11 06:55:19.781000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook is optimistic about the trajectory of the US economy, stating that inflation may continue to decrease without a significant increase in unemployment. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation is currently at 2.6%, just above the central bank's 2% target, while the unemployment rate stands at 4.1%. Cook believes that a 'soft landing' for the US economy is possible, with inflation gradually moving towards the target and unemployment remaining stable. Soft landings are more likely when policy easing begins with inflation close to the target and when there is a firm growth backdrop.

Version 1.68 (2024-07-11 05:57:02.866000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell signals potential interest rate cut amid cooling labor market

Version 1.67 (2024-07-11 02:54:22.976000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell signals potential interest rate cut amid cooling labor market

Version 1.66 (2024-07-11 01:55:26.534000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell emphasizes importance of job market amid cooling economic growth

Version 1.65 (2024-07-10 23:54:00.814000)

updates: Inclusion of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's forecast on declining inflation without a significant rise in unemployment

Version 1.64 (2024-07-10 22:57:28.676000)

updates: New information on Powell's Congressional testimony and market reactions

Version 1.63 (2024-07-10 22:56:27.781000)

updates: Updated information on Fed's focus on job market and rate cuts

Version 1.62 (2024-07-10 21:56:02.980000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell emphasizes importance of job market

Version 1.61 (2024-07-10 20:56:35.430000)

updates: Updated information on the Fed's focus on the job market and potential rate cuts

Version 1.6 (2024-07-10 20:01:12.141000)

updates: Powell emphasizes independence from political timelines in rate cut decisions

Version 1.59 (2024-07-10 19:59:12.866000)

updates: Powell's focus on soft landing and inflation concerns

Version 1.58 (2024-07-10 19:54:36.273000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell reinforces message of cooling job market and possible rate cut

Version 1.57 (2024-07-10 18:54:58.208000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell expresses concerns about the slowing job market

Version 1.56 (2024-07-10 17:54:04.568000)

updates: Updates on Powell's remarks about the cooling job market and potential rate cuts

Version 1.55 (2024-07-10 16:56:30.394000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell signals potential rate cuts

Version 1.54 (2024-07-10 16:56:01.425000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell signals potential rate cuts as economy cools

Version 1.53 (2024-07-10 08:56:02.934000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell signals potential rate cuts as inflation improves

Version 1.52 (2024-07-10 07:59:03.754000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell's cautious approach on rate timing signals

Version 1.51 (2024-07-10 07:57:28.752000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell's remarks on the labor market and inflation

Version 1.5 (2024-07-10 07:54:14.654000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell's testimony to Congress on US economy cooling and job market

Version 1.49 (2024-07-10 03:53:55.255000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell's comments on cooling labor market and possible rate cuts

Version 1.48 (2024-07-08 18:55:06.368000)

updates: Revisions to previous months' labor data indicate a slowdown in job growth

Version 1.47 (2024-07-08 07:53:48.265000)

updates: US economic slowdown raises concerns, Fed expected to ease policy

Version 1.46 (2024-07-06 15:54:49.576000)

updates: Recent data shows a rise in unemployment and a decline in job creation, signaling a slowdown in the economy. The Fed's next meeting in late July may see a more active debate on rate cuts.

Version 1.45 (2024-07-05 11:55:27.915000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring the labor market for signs of weakening

Version 1.44 (2024-07-05 02:53:54.610000)

updates: US Federal Reserve maintains patient approach on interest rates amid labor market concerns

Version 1.43 (2024-07-03 19:55:02.823000)

updates: Fed officials express concerns about labor market weakness

Version 1.42 (2024-07-03 19:54:33.026000)

updates: Added information about Federal Reserve officials' views on price pressures and interest rate cuts

Version 1.41 (2024-07-03 16:57:40.080000)

updates: The US Federal Reserve maintains steady rates and awaits confirmation on inflation retreat

Version 1.4 (2024-07-03 10:59:37.065000)

updates: New information on inflation slowing, Fed cautious on rate cuts

Version 1.39 (2024-07-03 10:56:29.316000)

updates: Powell emphasizes the need for more data before rate cuts

Version 1.38 (2024-07-03 08:55:37.184000)

updates: Additional information on Powell's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.37 (2024-07-03 07:53:52.612000)

updates: US inflation is slowing again, Fed cautious on rate cuts

Version 1.36 (2024-07-03 05:56:21.528000)

updates: Updates on US inflation and Fed's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.35 (2024-07-03 05:54:41.801000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell emphasizes need for more evidence before rate cuts

Version 1.34 (2024-07-03 02:53:58.131000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.33 (2024-07-03 01:54:38.391000)

updates: New information on US inflation cooling and the need for more data before rate cuts

Version 1.32 (2024-07-03 00:55:15.492000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.31 (2024-07-02 22:56:03.185000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.3 (2024-07-02 21:54:53.820000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and the Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.29 (2024-07-02 20:58:15.754000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell emphasizes need for more data before considering rate cuts

Version 1.28 (2024-07-02 20:54:45.446000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is cautious about cutting interest rates despite cooling inflation

Version 1.27 (2024-07-02 20:54:00.657000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.26 (2024-07-02 19:58:00.141000)

updates: Powell emphasizes need for more evidence before rate cuts

Version 1.25 (2024-07-02 19:55:20.696000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for more data before considering interest rate cuts. He highlighted the risks of acting too soon or too late and expressed concerns about the US debt burden and the need for fiscal sustainability. Powell refrained from committing to specific dates for rate cuts and downplayed worries about central bank independence. He expects inflation to be between 2% and 2.5% by next year and hopes for a stable labor market. The timing of rate cuts is uncertain, but most economists predict the first rate cut will occur in September.

Version 1.24 (2024-07-02 19:53:46.304000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation, Fed's stance on rate cuts, and concerns about US debt path

Version 1.23 (2024-07-02 19:00:26.980000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell emphasizes need for more evidence of falling inflation before rate cuts

Version 1.22 (2024-07-02 17:58:29.279000)

updates: Powell emphasizes need for more confidence before cutting rates

Version 1.21 (2024-07-02 17:54:56.203000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell emphasizes need for more data on falling inflation before rate cut

Version 1.2 (2024-07-02 17:54:31.200000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation cooling and need for more data before rate cut

Version 1.19 (2024-07-02 16:57:31.150000)

updates: Includes Federal Reserve Chair Powell's comments on disinflationary path and need for more data before rate cut

Version 1.18 (2024-07-02 16:57:04.547000)

updates: Powell says the Fed has made progress on inflation, could hit target next year

Version 1.17 (2024-07-02 16:56:35.844000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.16 (2024-07-02 16:56:13.475000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's stance on rate cuts

Version 1.15 (2024-07-02 16:55:48.470000)

updates: New information on Powell's comments and the need for more evidence before rate cuts

Version 1.14 (2024-07-02 16:55:26.525000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell stresses need for more data on falling inflation before rate cut

Version 1.13 (2024-07-02 16:54:21.365000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell warns of unsustainable US debt path, downplays risks of possible Trump attacks on central bank independence

Version 1.12 (2024-07-02 16:53:46.706000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell cites progress in inflation fight, considers rate cuts

Version 1.11 (2024-07-02 15:56:35.471000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell's cautious approach on rate cuts

Version 1.1 (2024-07-02 15:56:18.214000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell cautious on rate cuts, requires more data on falling inflation

Version 1.09 (2024-07-02 15:54:56.209000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell's cautious stance on rate cuts, need for more data on falling inflation

Version 1.08 (2024-07-02 14:54:53.554000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell's cautious stance on rate cuts, requires more data on falling inflation

Version 1.07 (2024-07-01 15:56:29.674000)

updates: Includes expert opinion on whether the Fed's rate cut will be reactive or proactive

Version 1.06 (2024-06-30 21:53:31.023000)

updates: Incorporated new information on inflation data and the potential for a rate cut

Version 1.05 (2024-06-29 02:55:08.409000)

updates: Inflation data suggests cooling inflation, rate cut possibility

Version 1.04 (2024-06-25 22:56:20.730000)

updates: Governor Cook's speech on the economic outlook

Version 1.03 (2024-06-25 17:55:26.222000)

updates: Inclusion of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's comments on the US economy and inflation

Version 1.02 (2024-06-25 16:58:18.160000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's statement on interest rate cuts

Version 1.01 (2024-06-25 16:55:14.166000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's statement on rate cut and the possibility of rate cuts in September 2024

Version 1.0 (2024-06-24 11:00:14.663000)

updates: Inclusion of information about the change in CME Fedwatch probabilities for the week ending June 21, 2024, and the views of Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler on inflation and rate cuts in September 2024

Version 0.99 (2024-06-18 19:00:54.570000)

updates: Incorporated Governor Kugler's speech on the economic outlook and monetary policy

Version 0.98 (2024-06-18 18:55:36.142000)

updates: Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan's comments on the need for more data to be confident about inflation reaching the Fed's 2% target

Version 0.97 (2024-06-18 17:55:36.115000)

updates: St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem's cautious stance on interest rate cuts

Version 0.96 (2024-06-18 17:55:22.686000)

updates: Adriana Kugler expresses optimism about the U.S. economy, recent data on consumers becoming more price sensitive and businesses having less flexibility to pass on price increases, and expects slowing wage growth and easing conditions in the labor market to help bring inflation back in line. Kugler believes the current monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive to cool the economy without causing a sharp contraction or significant deterioration in the labor market. However, she acknowledges that further progress in reducing inflation is likely to be gradual. [ab831d0a]

Version 0.95 (2024-06-18 17:55:11.391000)

updates: Federal Reserve official expresses optimism about inflation fight and expects interest rate cuts later this year

Version 0.94 (2024-06-18 17:53:57.149000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler expresses optimism about the U.S. economy

Version 0.93 (2024-06-18 16:55:51.081000)

updates: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins emphasizes patience in considering rate cuts

Version 0.92 (2024-06-14 18:56:25.720000)

updates: The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee calls May's inflation report 'very good,' but more months of softer readings will be needed before the central bank can claim victory and potentially start easing monetary policy. Goolsbee emphasizes the importance of more progress on inflation before making any decision on a potential rate reduction. He also mentions the impact of a stronger U.S. dollar on the export-import balance, employment, and inflation. Goolsbee states that credit delinquencies have been on the upswing, but not to levels that indicate a recession. He expresses openness to discussing a change in the Fed's inflation target, but only after it has been achieved. [5d75e2e3]

Version 0.91 (2024-05-29 02:57:54.591000)

updates: Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari emphasizes need for more positive inflation data before rate cuts

Version 0.9 (2024-05-28 10:55:20.507000)

updates: Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari emphasizes the need for significant progress on inflation before cutting rates

Version 0.89 (2024-05-28 09:58:57.722000)

updates: Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari emphasizes the need for 'many more months' of positive inflation data before considering rate cuts

Version 0.88 (2024-05-28 08:52:54.949000)

updates: Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari's view on inflation data and rate cuts

Version 0.87 (2024-05-26 08:54:46.188000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Waller emphasizes need for 'good' inflation data before adjusting rates

Version 0.86 (2024-05-21 22:54:56.706000)

updates: Incorporated additional statements from Federal Reserve Governor Waller on inflation and monetary policy

Version 0.85 (2024-05-21 17:51:58.934000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Waller gives inflation report a 'C+' grade

Version 0.84 (2024-05-21 16:58:39.835000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stresses need for more inflation data before considering rate cuts

Version 0.83 (2024-05-21 13:57:43.458000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Waller's comments on rate cuts

Version 0.82 (2024-05-18 01:55:33.230000)

updates: Discussion of economic data and outlook for US and international economies

Version 0.81 (2024-05-17 02:56:13.078000)

updates: The Federal Reserve remains cautious on rate cuts despite improving data

Version 0.8 (2024-05-16 23:52:29.427000)

updates: Integration of information on interest-rate cuts and US presidential election

Version 0.79 (2024-05-16 12:56:57.056000)

updates: Major brokerages expect US rate cuts after soft inflation data

Version 0.78 (2024-05-16 12:54:30.319000)

updates: Market speculation on Fed rate cut after soft U.S. CPI

Version 0.77 (2024-05-16 10:53:20.656000)

updates: Traders are pricing in two rate cuts, possibility of a third

Version 0.76 (2024-05-15 07:59:55.739000)

updates: Increased odds of rate cut in September

Version 0.75 (2024-05-14 07:52:07.412000)

updates: Economists divided on timing of rate cut

Version 0.74 (2024-05-13 19:54:50.117000)

updates: Analyst predicts no rate cut in 2024

Version 0.73 (2024-05-13 17:53:59.414000)

updates: Economists predict Fed to cut rates in September

Version 0.72 (2024-05-13 14:56:40.501000)

updates: Economists predict Fed to cut rates in September

Version 0.71 (2024-05-13 14:54:32.140000)

updates: US Fed Vice Chair supports pause on interest rates

Version 0.7 (2024-05-12 13:56:36.138000)

updates: Federal Reserve officials reinforce stance on interest rates

Version 0.69 (2024-05-11 13:52:49.018000)

updates: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates in June due to frustration over inflation progress

Version 0.68 (2024-05-10 19:54:04.586000)

updates: Federal Reserve unlikely to cut rates in June due to frustration over inflation progress

Version 0.67 (2024-05-10 18:53:40.697000)

updates: Senior US Fed official expects no rate cuts this year

Version 0.66 (2024-05-09 22:52:00.517000)

updates: Federal Reserve considers possibility of raising interest rates

Version 0.65 (2024-05-07 09:55:12.436000)

updates: Possibility of Federal Reserve not cutting rates in 2024 increases, Asset managers' spending on legal fees, UK retail sales dip in April, US jobs fall short of expectations in May

Version 0.64 (2024-05-07 01:53:09.293000)

updates: Inclusion of Federal Reserve President's statement on lower interest rates

Version 0.63 (2024-05-06 20:53:48.710000)

updates: Inclusion of expert opinion on the possibility of rate cuts due to a weakening labor market

Version 0.62 (2024-05-06 17:55:37.546000)

updates: New information about New York Fed's John Williams and his approach to rate cuts

Version 0.61 (2024-05-06 15:56:24.551000)

updates: Inclusion of UBS managing director Jason Katz's statement on rate cuts being delayed

Version 0.6 (2024-05-06 00:53:01.720000)

updates: US jobs data suggests rate cuts later this year

Version 0.59 (2024-05-05 21:53:03.109000)

updates: Federal Reserve indicates no rate cuts until data is supportive

Version 0.58 (2024-05-02 23:51:59.800000)

updates: HSBC revises Federal Reserve rate cut projection

Version 0.57 (2024-05-01 15:56:32.328000)

updates: Differing forecasts for timing of rate cut

Version 0.56 (2024-04-26 15:53:35.009000)

updates: Citigroup revises forecast for rate cuts in 2024

Version 0.55 (2024-04-26 14:52:48.965000)

updates: Updated with Citi analysts' belief in rate cuts and GDP results

Version 0.54 (2024-04-26 05:51:04.240000)

updates: The market is pricing out rate cuts in May, June, and July. The odds of a September rate cut are at ~76% currently. Traders are pricing in roughly 35 bps worth of rate cuts for the year.

Version 0.53 (2024-04-25 18:57:17.743000)

updates: Inclusion of Cantor Fitzgerald CEO's prediction of one rate cut ahead of US presidential election

Version 0.52 (2024-04-23 22:20:18.548000)

updates: Citi's forecast for Fed rate cuts in June or July

Version 0.51 (2024-04-18 07:20:07.519000)

updates: Citigroup maintains forecast for rate cuts despite reduced expectations

Version 0.5 (2024-04-18 04:19:58.203000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signals delay in interest rate cuts due to inflation concerns

Version 0.49 (2024-04-17 23:21:03.165000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signals delay in rate cuts due to higher-than-expected inflation readings

Version 0.48 (2024-04-17 16:19:02.463000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair signals delay in rate cuts due to inflation concerns

Version 0.47 (2024-04-17 11:21:37.905000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair signals delay in interest rate cuts due to inflation concerns

Version 0.46 (2024-04-17 10:18:49.586000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell mentions lack of further progress on inflation

Version 0.45 (2024-04-17 08:18:12.658000)

updates: US Federal Reserve Chair signals delay in interest rate cuts due to inflation concerns

Version 0.44 (2024-04-17 05:23:20.907000)

updates: Additional information on Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson's stance on maintaining restrictive monetary policy

Version 0.43 (2024-04-17 04:20:26.969000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks on inflation and rate cuts

Version 0.42 (2024-04-17 03:21:09.023000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair confirms no interest rate cuts

Version 0.41 (2024-04-16 23:20:46.996000)

updates: Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals no rate cuts in the near future

Version 0.4 (2024-04-16 23:20:19.555000)

updates: Fed Chair Powell indicates no rate cuts due to strong economy and sticky inflation

Version 0.39 (2024-04-16 21:21:20.674000)

updates: Fed Chair Powell expresses concerns over lack of progress on inflation

Version 0.38 (2024-04-16 20:18:17.797000)

updates: Federal Reserve Chair Powell expresses concerns over lack of progress on inflation

Version 0.37 (2024-04-16 18:18:40.658000)

updates: Powell hints at no interest rate cut in May

Version 0.36 (2024-04-16 15:19:54.379000)

updates: Federal Reserve considers maintaining higher interest rates amid uncertain outlook

Version 0.35 (2024-04-15 15:21:17.648000)

updates: Inflation concerns and balance sheet runoff discussed in FOMC minutes

Version 0.34 (2024-04-10 19:18:46.509000)

updates: Inflation concerns and balance sheet runoff discussed in FOMC minutes

Version 0.33 (2024-03-31 13:24:32.264000)

updates: Fed Chair Powell reiterates commitment to controlling inflation

Version 0.32 (2024-03-31 13:18:35.471000)

updates: Fed Chair Powell denies increased tolerance for higher inflation

Version 0.31 (2024-03-31 12:19:19.564000)

updates: Fed Chair pushes back on increased inflation tolerance

Version 0.3 (2024-03-30 10:18:21.898000)

updates: Updates on US inflation, consumer spending, and economic indicators

Version 0.29 (2024-03-29 18:17:41.419000)

updates: Updates on inflation, Federal Reserve's rate-cut promises, and concerns about inflation's impact on the US economy

Version 0.28 (2024-03-27 18:17:35.046000)

updates: The Fed could cut rates 5 times in 2025

Version 0.27 (2024-03-27 02:18:40.490000)

updates: Former central banker warns of inflation risks from rate-cut promises

Version 0.26 (2024-03-26 02:20:13.591000)

updates: Updates on Fed officials' views on inflation

Version 0.25 (2024-03-20 14:18:20.237000)

updates: Inflation expectations from Atlanta Fed tick up in March

Version 0.24 (2024-03-20 14:17:59.002000)

updates: Consumer frustration and stagnant economy

Version 0.23 (2024-03-14 23:28:28.201000)

updates: Bond yields rise, concerns about inflation grow

Version 0.22 (2024-03-13 16:27:14.211000)

updates: The Principal Financial Group's perspective on inflation and rate cuts

Version 0.21 (2024-03-13 03:17:11.698000)

updates: US markets remain confident in the Federal Reserve's plan to deliver three interest rate cuts this year, despite higher than expected inflation in February. The consumer price index rose 3.2% last month, faster than January's 3.1%. Core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, was up 3.8% in February. Economists are questioning whether the Fed can engineer a soft landing, lowering inflation without harming economic growth and causing unemployment to rise. Pessimistic economists warn of 'soft stagnation' if inflation persists, while optimists predict robust economic growth. The Fed aims to reduce inflation to 2%, but this will be challenging due to strong job market, housing-related inflation, and higher inflation expectations. Investors are not concerned about stubborn inflation as it allows companies to maintain pricing power and stronger corporate earnings. The Fed is expected to deliver the first rate cut in June.

Version 0.2 (2024-03-12 16:18:58.053000)

updates: Inflation rate for February exceeds expectations, higher-than-expected CPI data may support US Dollar Index and put pressure on gold markets, stock traders likely to ignore inflation reports and focus on AI stocks

Version 0.19 (2024-03-12 15:21:16.500000)

updates: Inflation breakdown and its impact on the Federal Reserve

Version 0.18 (2024-03-11 15:17:03.441000)

updates: Federal Reserve officials in blackout period, consumer inflation expectations, additional expert opinion on inflation dynamics

Version 0.17 (2024-03-11 10:25:13.029000)

updates: London Stock Exchange prepares for US inflation data

Version 0.16 (2024-03-11 06:29:25.943000)

updates: The US stock market awaits the February inflation report

Version 0.15 (2024-03-10 16:17:47.521000)

updates: Updates on bond market sentiment and expectations for rate cuts

Version 0.15 (2024-03-10 16:17:47.521000)

updates: Updates on bond market sentiment and expectations for rate cuts

Version 0.14 (2024-03-07 23:20:22.774000)

updates: Updates on bond market sentiment and expectations for rate cuts

Version 0.13 (2024-03-06 20:19:23.483000)

updates: Bond market volatility and inflation fears

Version 0.12 (2024-03-06 19:17:52.980000)

updates: New information on upcoming data and inflation fears

Version 0.11 (2024-03-04 02:18:57.056000)

updates: Increased expectations of interest rate cuts in the US

Version 0.1 (2024-02-12 01:20:58.320000)

updates: Updates on US bond yields and rate expectations

Version 0.09 (2024-02-08 06:13:33.462000)

updates: Uncertainty in US Treasury market as Fed signals caution

Version 0.08 (2024-02-05 04:12:45.187000)

updates: Bond traders remain confident about Fed rate cuts despite recent pullback

Version 0.07 (2024-01-15 04:20:20.014000)

updates: Bond traders are betting on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, but the path to cheaper borrowing costs is expected to be bumpy. US Treasuries rallied at the end of 2023 as investors saw signs of cooling inflation and speculated on rate cuts. Fresh readings on jobs and inflation have increased the probability of rate cuts starting in March. However, there is uncertainty surrounding longer-term yields and how an easing scenario will play out. Forecasters have differing opinions on long-term rates, leading to potential volatility in the market. The next reading on the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, will be released on Jan. 26. Swaps traders are predicting at least six quarter-point rate reductions in 2024. A Treasury auction on Thursday of new 10-year inflation-protected bonds may shed light on investor attitudes.

Version 0.06 (2024-01-08 14:24:52.631000)

updates: Bond traders remain confident about Fed rate cuts

Version 0.05 (2024-01-07 21:16:50.496000)

updates: Bond traders remain optimistic about Fed rate cuts

Version 0.04 (2023-12-26 07:01:42.770000)

updates: New information on the Federal Reserve's expected rate reductions in 2024 and the impact on bond markets

Version 0.03 (2023-12-13 05:18:11.742000)

updates: Investors await Chair Jerome Powell's speech and dot-plot release

Version 0.02 (2023-12-11 14:42:30.398000)

updates: Bond investors are bracing for pushback from the Federal Reserve on the market's expectation of rate cuts in early 2024. Many portfolio managers have reduced their long-duration bets to be more neutral on their bond positions. The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady and not signal a shift from its tightening policy stance. Federal funds futures have lowered the odds of a rate cut in March but still see a 79% chance in May. The rapid decline in yields has made financial conditions looser, prompting investors to buy Treasuries. Asset managers are betting on 'higher-for-longer' rates until the summer but still expect the Fed to eventually cut rates later in the year.

Version 0.01 (2023-12-11 13:49:41.657000)

updates: Bond investors are bracing for pushback from the Federal Reserve on rate cuts

Version 0.0 (2023-11-30 21:36:29.694000)

updates: