[Tree] Macroeconomic trends and forecasts for 2025

Version 1.39 (2024-12-17 15:50:41.020000)

updates: Increased tariffs, tax hikes, and geopolitical risks highlighted

Version 1.38 (2024-12-09 15:36:45.365000)

updates: Integration of strategic planning scenarios and economic forecasts

Version 1.37 (2024-12-08 11:36:14.712000)

updates: Incorporated insights from Curtis Dubay on economic growth.

Version 1.36 (2024-12-05 20:36:11.414000)

updates: Incorporated NYC economic outlook and federal policy impacts.

Version 1.35 (2024-12-04 14:50:02.852000)

updates: Türkiye's growth outpaces global forecasts for 2024

Version 1.34 (2024-12-03 15:36:28.705000)

updates: Goldman Sachs predicts 2.5% GDP growth for 2025

Version 1.33 (2024-12-03 14:36:36.702000)

updates: Goldman Sachs predicts stronger GDP growth for 2025

Version 1.32 (2024-12-02 22:36:17.094000)

updates: Incorporated recent productivity insights and forecasts.

Version 1.31 (2024-11-28 18:36:10.134000)

updates: Increased optimism for 2025 economic forecasts

Version 1.3 (2024-11-28 04:36:41.537000)

updates: Added details on GDP growth and inflation

Version 1.29 (2024-11-28 03:38:23.030000)

updates: Updated GDP growth rate and consumer spending figures

Version 1.28 (2024-11-28 02:36:32.612000)

updates: Incorporated latest GDP and consumer spending data

Version 1.27 (2024-11-28 01:39:34.138000)

updates: Added details on GDP and consumer spending

Version 1.26 (2024-11-28 00:36:14.519000)

updates: Updated GDP growth rate and inflation figures

Version 1.25 (2024-11-27 18:36:17.048000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation statistics

Version 1.24 (2024-11-27 17:38:44.355000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation figures

Version 1.23 (2024-11-27 16:36:15.826000)

updates: Rising inflation complicates economic growth outlook

Version 1.22 (2024-11-27 15:44:17.523000)

updates: Updated GDP growth rate and consumer spending details

Version 1.21 (2024-11-27 14:51:15.130000)

updates: Added details on GDP growth and consumer spending

Version 1.2 (2024-11-27 14:36:18.141000)

updates: Incorporated latest GDP growth and consumer spending data

Version 1.19 (2024-11-25 18:36:49.827000)

updates: Increased consumer confidence and GDP growth reported.

Version 1.18 (2024-11-25 18:35:59.491000)

updates: Incorporated recent productivity trends and analysis.

Version 1.17 (2024-11-25 12:36:07.449000)

updates: Consumer sentiment improves; GDP and housing market insights

Version 1.16 (2024-11-25 09:45:04.598000)

updates: Incorporated geopolitical risks and market forecasts.

Version 1.15 (2024-11-25 07:36:37.667000)

updates: US GDP growth forecast revised; inflation concerns rise

Version 1.14 (2024-11-23 13:35:55.679000)

updates: Incorporated latest economic evaluations and projections

Version 1.13 (2024-11-22 06:36:25.472000)

updates: Projected GDP growth revised downward through 2026

Version 1.12 (2024-11-21 18:37:47.547000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and inflation forecasts

Version 1.11 (2024-11-20 07:51:47.644000)

updates: Incorporated global market predictions and metal price trends.

Version 1.1 (2024-11-19 21:37:28.563000)

updates: Increased consumer spending forecast and economic projections

Version 1.09 (2024-11-18 11:35:37)

updates: Updated growth forecasts and housing market challenges

Version 1.08 (2024-11-15 19:35:59.303000)

updates: Added insights on GDP, employment, and national debt

Version 1.07 (2024-11-15 16:35:41.059000)

updates: Updated forecasts and job gain projections included

Version 1.06 (2024-11-14 22:35:48.554000)

updates: Incorporated future growth predictions and Fed policies

Version 1.05 (2024-11-11 16:37:27.273000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and public sentiment post-election

Version 1.04 (2024-11-07 17:35:33.728000)

updates: Updated job gains and holiday sales projections

Version 1.03 (2024-11-07 00:35:10.222000)

updates: Incorporated skepticism about economic growth and inequality

Version 1.02 (2024-11-05 10:51:46.734000)

updates: Job gains sharply declined; skepticism over economic figures rises

Version 1.01 (2024-11-04 22:35:48.570000)

updates: Incorporated insights on wealth gap and public debt

Version 1.0 (2024-11-04 00:52:02.142000)

updates: Incorporated latest economic data and election context

Version 0.99 (2024-11-03 22:51:17.177000)

updates: Latest data on consumer spending and inflation

Version 0.98 (2024-11-01 00:37:07.700000)

updates: Added details on GDP growth and consumer confidence

Version 0.97 (2024-10-31 22:45:12.794000)

updates: Added insights on consumer pessimism despite growth

Version 0.96 (2024-10-31 20:37:43.989000)

updates: Inflation tamed, consumer spending up, housing challenges persist

Version 0.95 (2024-10-31 19:34:51.377000)

updates: Updated GDP growth and consumer spending data

Version 0.94 (2024-10-31 11:52:53.737000)

updates: Updated GDP growth, job numbers, and consumer confidence

Version 0.93 (2024-10-31 11:38:06.161000)

updates: Incorporated latest PCE inflation and job data updates

Version 0.92 (2024-08-17 07:03:06.745000)

updates: Added information about Austan Goolsbee's comments on the US economy and restrictive policy. Added information about Japan's foreign trade regulations on chipmaking equipment and the impact on the Nikkei share average.

Version 0.91 (2024-08-16 12:59:35.023000)

updates: Updates on US economy, Fed rate cut expectations, and stock market performance

Version 0.9 (2024-08-16 07:05:40.598000)

updates: Positive economic data fuels stock market rally

Version 0.89 (2024-08-16 04:01:26.112000)

updates: Updated information on US stock market rally and expectations for interest rate cut

Version 0.88 (2024-08-16 01:03:34.905000)

updates: Asian stocks expected to rise after positive US jobs and spending data

Version 0.87 (2024-08-15 22:08:17.452000)

updates: Global stocks rise as retail sales data dispels US growth worries

Version 0.86 (2024-08-15 20:06:33.570000)

updates: Global markets rise as fears of American recession fade

Version 0.85 (2024-08-15 18:13:15.571000)

updates: Stocks rally as retail sales data boosts confidence in US economy

Version 0.84 (2024-08-15 18:08:30.025000)

updates: Retail sales data boosts confidence in US economy

Version 0.83 (2024-08-15 18:07:03.437000)

updates: Stocks surged on Thursday as Wall Street responded to signs of a robust US consumer and labor market. The Nasdaq jumped over 2%, while the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones each gained approximately 1.2%. Retail sales in the United States soared past analyst expectations in July, climbing by 1.0 percent. [b5872d80]

Version 0.82 (2024-08-15 15:14:13.664000)

updates: Stock markets mostly rose Thursday, with strong retail sales data dispelling worries about the strength of the US economy. Retail sales in the United States soared past analyst expectations in July, climbing by 1.0 percent.

Version 0.81 (2024-08-15 15:11:18.217000)

updates: Retail sales data shows strong performance of US economy

Version 0.8 (2024-08-15 15:07:27.591000)

updates: Retail sales figures for July beat expectations

Version 0.79 (2024-08-15 13:10:18.436000)

updates: Retail sales figures for July beat expectations; initial jobless claims improve

Version 0.79 (2024-08-15 13:10:18.436000)

updates: Retail sales figures for July beat expectations; initial jobless claims improve

Version 0.78 (2024-08-15 12:05:59.653000)

updates: US stocks expected to rise as retail sales figures awaited

Version 0.77 (2024-08-15 10:59:23.111000)

updates: US futures rise slightly on CPI data

Version 0.76 (2024-08-15 10:12:07.793000)

updates: European stocks and US futures rise as traders await more economic data that could support a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month. Shares in Bavarian Nordic A/S rise 17% after WHO declares a global public health emergency.

Version 0.75 (2024-08-15 09:59:18.299000)

updates: Updated information on stock market performance, interest rate cut expectations, and corporate earnings

Version 0.74 (2024-08-15 09:17:27.534000)

updates: Updates on stock market performance, economic data, and market expectations

Version 0.73 (2024-08-15 01:12:21.812000)

updates: US stocks close mostly higher, Alphabet weighs on Nasdaq

Version 0.72 (2024-08-15 01:11:39.172000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation data and rate cut expectations

Version 0.71 (2024-08-14 18:11:06.963000)

updates: US inflation data shows a slowdown, boosting rate cut hopes

Version 0.7 (2024-08-14 18:08:45.403000)

updates: European stocks gain on US inflation, UK inflation

Version 0.69 (2024-08-14 09:11:24.972000)

updates: Equities rally as hopes for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut are boosted by data showing US wholesale prices rose less than forecast last month

Version 0.68 (2024-08-14 08:59:35.764000)

updates: European markets rise on US and euro zone data

Version 0.67 (2024-08-14 06:58:57.028000)

updates: Traders add to BoE rate cut bets on soft UK CPI print

Version 0.66 (2024-08-14 04:13:44.779000)

updates: Added information about Asian markets extending gains based on US inflation data

Version 0.65 (2024-08-14 02:10:30.851000)

updates: US stocks hit near two-week high after producer prices data reinforces rate cut bets

Version 0.64 (2024-08-14 00:04:23.182000)

updates: Stocks rallied and bond yields fell after the latest US inflation reading reinforced speculation the Federal Reserve will be able to deploy its widely anticipated interest-rate cut in September. The easing of price pressures has bolstered confidence US officials can start lowering borrowing costs while refocusing on the labor market, which is showing greater signs of slowing. A survey conducted by 22V Research showed 52% of investors expect the reaction to Wednesday’s consumer price index to be “risk-on”. The S&P 500 saw its biggest four-day rally this year. The Nasdaq 100 climbed 2.5%. The Russell 2000 rose 1.6%. Starbucks Corp. surged 25% after ousting its chief and picking Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.’s Brian Niccol as its next leader. Bloomberg News reported that a bid to break up Alphabet Inc.’s Google is one of the options being considered by the Justice Department.

Version 0.63 (2024-08-13 22:08:35.353000)

updates: Stocks rally as US yields sink ahead of CPI data

Version 0.62 (2024-08-13 16:10:27.327000)

updates: US stocks closed mixed on Monday, producer prices ease, Starbucks appoints new CEO

Version 0.61 (2024-08-13 15:15:37.929000)

updates: Wall Street advances on softer producer prices; Starbucks soars

Version 0.6 (2024-08-13 12:15:41.360000)

updates: Inclusion of information about producer price data and Home Depot's profit forecast

Version 0.59 (2024-08-13 04:02:36.815000)

updates: Mixed trading reflects cautious sentiment as investors await key economic indicators

Version 0.58 (2024-08-13 01:01:39.585000)

updates: Merge new information with existing story

Version 0.57 (2024-08-12 23:12:01.433000)

updates: Updated information on US stocks and CPI data

Version 0.56 (2024-08-12 22:12:56.272000)

updates: US stocks await inflation data as markets remain calm

Version 0.55 (2024-08-12 22:12:20.415000)

updates: Mixed results for U.S. stocks, easing of Japanese yen, concerns about U.S. economy

Version 0.54 (2024-08-12 22:08:42.393000)

updates: Updates on Wall Street's performance and upcoming economic data

Version 0.53 (2024-08-12 21:05:52.710000)

updates: Updated information on stock market performance and upcoming economic data

Version 0.52 (2024-08-12 19:07:45.475000)

updates: Stocks struggle to maintain momentum ahead of key inflation data

Version 0.51 (2024-08-12 17:07:02.796000)

updates: Updates on KeyCorp and Hawaiian Electric stocks

Version 0.5 (2024-08-12 16:04:24.672000)

updates: Updates on Wall Street's performance and upcoming economic tests

Version 0.49 (2024-08-12 15:13:53.582000)

updates: Updates on Wall Street's performance and upcoming data releases

Version 0.48 (2024-08-12 14:01:57.519000)

updates: Integration of new information about futures and market expectations

Version 0.47 (2024-08-12 12:18:24.550000)

updates: US stock futures, key economic data, Federal Reserve, interest rates

Version 0.46 (2024-08-12 12:09:10.587000)

updates: Integration of new information about US stock market rebound and upcoming inflation and retail sales data

Version 0.45 (2024-08-12 07:01:43.017000)

updates: Integration of Dow Jones futures and inflation data

Version 0.44 (2024-08-12 02:02:14.868000)

updates: Updates on S&P 500 performance and market trends

Version 0.43 (2024-08-11 23:07:22.713000)

updates: Revised story with updates on market gains and losses, profit reports, and additional market factors

Version 0.42 (2024-08-11 01:00:26.041000)

updates: Added information about Friday's gains and trimmed losses for the week

Version 0.41 (2024-08-10 18:59:01.883000)

updates: Additional details on profit reports and market concerns

Version 0.4 (2024-08-10 09:59:58.627000)

updates: Stock market performance and economic concerns

Version 0.39 (2024-08-10 06:02:39.370000)

updates: Stock market performance and economic concerns

Version 0.38 (2024-08-10 06:01:22.082000)

updates: The story now includes additional details about the factors impacting the market, such as the strengthening of the Japanese yen and concerns about the U.S. economy. It also mentions the upcoming reports on inflation and retail sales, as well as the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve. The story now includes the stock performance of Expedia Group and Take-Two Interactive, as well as the closing numbers for the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq.

Version 0.37 (2024-08-10 05:18:41.095000)

updates: The story now includes additional details about the factors impacting the market, such as the strengthening of the Japanese yen and concerns about the U.S. economy. It also mentions the upcoming reports on inflation and retail sales, as well as the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve. The story now includes the stock performance of Expedia Group and Take-Two Interactive, as well as the closing numbers for the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq.

Version 0.36 (2024-08-10 02:59:32.242000)

updates: Reflects the modest gains and recovery from a brutal loss on Wall Street

Version 0.35 (2024-08-10 02:11:16.860000)

updates: S&P 500 ends the week with little change after a volatile start

Version 0.34 (2024-08-10 02:08:25.228000)

updates: Mixed performance in global stock markets, Expedia Group reports strong results

Version 0.33 (2024-08-10 01:07:32.783000)

updates: Includes information on Japanese stocks' worst loss since 1987

Version 0.32 (2024-08-09 21:01:22.388000)

updates: Updates on US stock market performance, tech sector, and global stock markets

Version 0.31 (2024-08-09 21:00:06.314000)

updates: Updated information on US stock market performance and key indices

Version 0.3 (2024-08-09 20:59:04.418000)

updates: Stock market ends week with slight gain, S&P 500 nearly flat

Version 0.29 (2024-08-09 19:11:27.584000)

updates: Updated information on Wall Street's performance and upcoming economic reports

Version 0.28 (2024-08-09 14:16:26.983000)

updates: Updates on Wall Street's performance and individual stock movements

Version 0.27 (2024-07-29 11:02:42.873000)

updates: Incorporated information about U.S. stock market performance, earnings reports, and economic data from London Loves Business

Version 0.26 (2024-07-26 14:04:28.520000)

updates: Stock markets rebound after heavy sell-off and US inflation cools

Version 0.25 (2024-07-26 12:01:21.165000)

updates: Stock markets rebound ahead of US inflation data

Version 0.24 (2024-07-26 12:00:41.563000)

updates: Stock markets rebound ahead of US inflation data

Version 0.23 (2024-07-26 10:11:17.919000)

updates: Stock market rebound after sell-off, US price data

Version 0.22 (2024-07-26 10:09:52.281000)

updates: Traders await key US inflation data for interest-rate cut clues

Version 0.21 (2024-07-15 09:56:49.637000)

updates: Investors faced with uncertainty are likely to seek narratives that provide a guide to the future and then express these through portfolio changes. The recent trend of large company leadership in the US markets was reversed with the Morningstar US Small Cap index rising 4.62% over the week. Lower-than-expected inflation data raised expectations of a cut in interest rates, with the probability of at least two interest rate cuts by the end of the year rising to 92.9%. Banks were especially strong, with the Morningstar US Banks index rising 2.10%. The earnings season moves up a gear with further releases from financial services firms and the earlier reports from the healthcare sector. The Morningstar US Market Index rose 1.12% for the trading week ended July 12. Real estate and utilities were the best-performing sectors, while communication services was the worst-performing sector. Yields on 10-year US Treasury notes fell to 4.18%. SunPower, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Uniti Group, and SolarEdge Technologies were among the best-performing stocks of the week, while Wingstop, Chipotle Mexican Grill, and Meta Platforms were among the worst-performing stocks of the week.

Version 0.2 (2024-06-10 22:54:48.402000)

updates: Global stock market performance and currency exchange rates

Version 0.19 (2024-04-27 02:53:51.247000)

updates: Incorporated information about major benchmarks ending a streak of losses, technology stocks driving the Nasdaq Composite Index's performance, and economic data presenting a mixed picture

Version 0.18 (2023-11-27 14:44:11.921000)

updates: Incorporated information on commodity market performance

Version 0.17 (2023-11-27 07:36:24.486000)

updates: Inclusion of specific economic data and market updates

Version 0.16 (2023-11-26 01:41:25.808000)

updates: Added information about global stock market uncertainty and mixed economic data

Version 0.15 (2023-11-25 17:41:37.613000)

updates: Weekly market recap for November 20-24

Version 0.14 (2023-11-25 09:37:26.714000)

updates: Global stock market performance during Thanksgiving weekend

Version 0.13 (2023-11-25 03:39:53.187000)

updates: Mixed global markets, Japan's consumer inflation, holiday shopping season

Version 0.12 (2023-11-24 20:36:24.892000)

updates: US PMI expands slightly, Canada wins dairy dispute, Japanese inflation rises, Singapore industrial production grows, China property risks worsen, UST 10-year yield at 4.47%, gold firm, oil prices stable, New Zealand dollar at 60.7 US cents, Bitcoin up 2.1%, FTX founder pays for haircut in prison with fish, Saudi Arabia raises $11 billion loan

Version 0.11 (2023-11-23 20:04:59.937000)

updates: Updated information on stock market performance

Version 0.1 (2023-11-23 10:10:26.572000)

updates: Stock market performance updates

Version 0.09 (2023-11-23 09:06:49.078000)

updates: Asian shares mostly lower as markets in Japan and US closed

Version 0.08 (2023-11-23 08:30:33.834000)

updates: Turkish stock market performance

Version 0.07 (2023-11-23 08:06:02.988000)

updates: Asian shares are mixed as markets in Japan and the US are closed for holidays. Oil prices fell after OPEC postponed a meeting to discuss production cuts. Troubled developer Country Garden saw its shares jump 16% amid reports of financing support.

Version 0.06 (2023-11-22 12:59:35.085000)

updates: Mixed world shares following weak Wall Street close

Version 0.05 (2023-11-22 10:58:35.422000)

updates: Updates on stock market performance, hiring of OpenAI CEO, and economic indicators

Version 0.04 (2023-11-21 18:13:24.209000)

updates: Incorporated information about the performance of the Paris stock exchange and upcoming events

Version 0.03 (2023-11-17 13:58:53.090000)

updates: Updated information on global stock market performance

Version 0.02 (2023-11-17 13:04:40.631000)

updates: Updated information on global shares and stock market performance

Version 0.01 (2023-10-29 23:24:21.368000)

updates: Added information on stock market volatility and geopolitical tensions

Version 0.0 (2023-10-27 07:03:22.859000)

updates: