[Tree] Global economy, US economic power, stagnation, growth, economic growth, implications for humanity and the environment, steady state economy
Version 0.1 (2024-05-31 10:53:15.185000)
updates: Introduces the concept of the Steady State Economy Act and its progress
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Version 0.09 (2024-05-27 10:55:25.744000)
updates: Integration of a thought-provoking article on economic growth and its implications for humanity and the environment
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Version 0.08 (2024-05-14 14:52:12.181000)
updates: Integration of an op-ed discussing the concept of economic growth and its significance
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Version 0.07 (2024-05-06 18:54:28.011000)
updates: Incorporated insights from an article about the challenges of the US economy
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Version 0.07 (2024-05-06 18:54:28.011000)
updates: Incorporated insights from an article about the challenges of the US economy
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Version 0.06 (2024-05-05 13:51:21.538000)
updates: Turkey's halt of import and export transactions with Israel
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Version 0.05 (2024-05-05 12:55:05.790000)
updates: The global economy is at a critical juncture, with risks of stagnation and challenges that need to be addressed by policymakers and businesses.
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Version 0.04 (2024-04-29 14:51:12.164000)
updates: Incorporated new information about risks to US economy
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Version 0.03 (2024-03-08 06:20:06.750000)
updates: The US economy's ability to drive global growth in 2024 depends on three key questions: maintaining current growth momentum, resilience in the face of political divisions and geopolitical uncertainties, and securing sufficient liquidity to refinance debts. Investors and economists are optimistic, but there are challenges. The US has advantages in dynamic growth engines and future growth drivers, but also faces headwinds like weaker household balance sheets and potential monetary policy mistakes. Domestic and geopolitical uncertainties pose risks, including escalation in the Middle East, conflict in Ukraine, and tensions between China and the US. Markets also face the challenge of refinancing legacy risks. The consensus forecast is a soft landing for the US economy, but there is a 55% probability of a soft landing, 30% chance of recession, and 15% chance of positive surprises from transformative innovations. The outlook should be more nuanced than current market prices and economic forecasts suggest.
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Version 0.02 (2023-11-09 09:23:17.449000)
updates: Restructured and combined two articles on global and US economies
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Version 0.01 (2023-10-30 09:35:44.939000)
updates: Combined two articles about global and US economy
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