[Tree] US inflation forecast and economic analysis

Version 0.8 (2024-12-21 14:45:31.165000)

updates: Incorporated QNB's forecast for US inflation in 2025

Version 0.79 (2024-10-28 00:47:09.263000)

updates: Updated inflation rates and central bank actions

Version 0.78 (2024-10-24 22:35:07.782000)

updates: IMF predicts inflation battle is almost won

Version 0.77 (2024-10-23 22:34:36.929000)

updates: IMF predicts inflation decline; U.S. growth forecast updated.

Version 0.76 (2024-10-21 12:44:00.211000)

updates: Updated inflation rates and economic indicators.

Version 0.75 (2024-10-19 12:39:43.478000)

updates: Updated inflation data and economic indicators.

Version 0.74 (2024-09-23 01:34:32.559000)

updates: Federal Reserve lowers rates; housing and food bank issues persist.

Version 0.73 (2024-07-24 06:04:03.148000)

updates: Integration of new information about the concerns regarding the capture of US shelter prices in inflation measures and the impact of lagged costs on interest rates

Version 0.73 (2024-07-24 06:04:03.148000)

updates: Integration of new information about the concerns regarding the capture of US shelter prices in inflation measures and the impact of lagged costs on interest rates

Version 0.73 (2024-07-24 06:04:03.148000)

updates: Integration of new information about the concerns regarding the capture of US shelter prices in inflation measures and the impact of lagged costs on interest rates

Version 0.72 (2024-07-11 12:55:18.959000)

updates: Integrates information about housing inflation and the slow decline due to the construction of the housing inflation index [0e673290]

Version 0.71 (2024-07-08 09:56:34.167000)

updates: Includes the role of elevator construction in housing costs

Version 0.7 (2024-06-04 16:53:14.738000)

updates: The impact of high rents on US inflation and the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve

Version 0.69 (2024-05-17 21:53:11.726000)

updates: The article from Benzinga highlights the role of housing costs in driving persistent inflation in the US.

Version 0.68 (2024-04-18 21:18:22.798000)

updates: Includes the role of the rental market in driving persistent inflation

Version 0.68 (2024-04-18 21:18:22.798000)

updates: Includes the role of the rental market in driving persistent inflation

Version 0.67 (2024-04-13 11:18:19.658000)

updates: Updated information on the role of housing shortage in driving US inflation

Version 0.66 (2024-03-15 12:18:42.092000)

updates: The article highlights the role of housing shortage in driving US inflation and the need for legislative action

Version 0.66 (2024-03-15 12:18:42.092000)

updates: The article highlights the role of housing shortage in driving US inflation and the need for legislative action

Version 0.65 (2024-03-15 09:17:35.222000)

updates: The article highlights the role of housing shortage in driving US inflation and the need for legislative action

Version 0.64 (2024-03-15 08:17:08.930000)

updates: The article highlights the role of housing shortage in driving US inflation and the need for legislative action

Version 0.63 (2024-03-14 16:18:17.391000)

updates: Integration of information about the housing shortage driving inflation in the US economy

Version 0.62 (2024-03-14 04:16:56.233000)

updates: Integration of the housing shortage as the main driver of inflation in the US economy

Version 0.61 (2024-03-13 20:18:29.336000)

updates: Integration of the role of housing shortage in driving inflation

Version 0.6 (2024-03-12 19:24:28.236000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's challenges

Version 0.59 (2024-03-12 17:31:31.534000)

updates: Rise in inflation, concerns for Federal Reserve, impact on the economy

Version 0.58 (2024-03-12 17:18:57.865000)

updates: Highlights 'last mile' challenge for the Federal Reserve

Version 0.57 (2024-03-12 16:21:54.188000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation in February 2024

Version 0.56 (2024-03-12 15:28:30.029000)

updates: Updates on core inflation and Fed's interest rate decision

Version 0.55 (2024-03-12 15:27:29.376000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation and Federal Reserve's response

Version 0.54 (2024-03-12 15:25:38.756000)

updates: Additional details on core inflation, housing costs, and the impact on the upcoming presidential election

Version 0.53 (2024-03-12 15:22:36.073000)

updates: Additional details on inflation and its impact on the US economy

Version 0.52 (2024-03-12 15:20:03.219000)

updates: The US inflation report in February 2024 exceeded expectations, with the Consumer Price Index rising by 3.2% year-on-year and core inflation at 3.8%. This rise in inflation may lower hopes of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The transport services sector experienced the highest annual growth at 9.9%, followed by shelter at 5.7% and food consumed outside the home at 4.5%. The utility gas service sector witnessed the largest annual decline, dropping by 8.8% from the previous year. The US annual inflation rate has remained above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for three consecutive years. Market predictions currently place an almost 70% chance of a rate cut by June 2024. The Federal Reserve's policymakers estimated that inflation would average 2.4% in 2023, fall to 2.1% by 2025, and finally meet the 2% target by 2026. However, with the latest inflation reports exceeding expectations, there's an emerging risk that these interest rate projections might be adjusted upwards.

Version 0.51 (2024-03-12 14:24:53.821000)

updates: Higher inflation rate than expected in February

Version 0.5 (2024-03-12 14:24:30.595000)

updates: Incorporated new information about US CPI inflation in February and its potential impact on the June Fed interest rate cut

Version 0.49 (2024-03-12 14:24:02.923000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation in February

Version 0.48 (2024-03-12 14:23:05.093000)

updates: Updated information on inflation rates and Federal Reserve's considerations

Version 0.47 (2024-03-12 14:22:00.830000)

updates: Updated information on US core inflation exceeding expectations

Version 0.46 (2024-03-12 14:20:00.685000)

updates: New information on US consumer inflation in February

Version 0.45 (2024-03-12 14:19:38.773000)

updates: Updated information on US inflation rate in February

Version 0.44 (2024-03-12 14:18:11.778000)

updates: Updated information on inflation rate, factors driving inflation, and Fed's approach to rate cuts

Version 0.43 (2024-03-12 14:17:48.288000)

updates: Updated information on inflation and its impact on the US economy

Version 0.42 (2024-03-12 13:24:08.052000)

updates: New information on the specific drivers of inflation, including gasoline and shelter costs

Version 0.41 (2024-03-12 13:23:14.106000)

updates: Additional information on CPI inflation in February

Version 0.4 (2024-03-12 13:21:58.524000)

updates: Updated inflation figures and Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates

Version 0.39 (2024-03-12 13:20:17.220000)

updates: Updated inflation data and market sentiment on interest rates

Version 0.38 (2024-03-12 13:19:55.448000)

updates: Consumer prices rose 3.2% in February compared to a year ago, higher than economists expected. Core inflation increased 3.8% over the year ending in February. Food prices rose 2.2% and energy prices fell compared to a year earlier. Housing prices rose 5.7% over that period. Prices for grocery store staples have moderated, with biscuits and muffins rising 1.1% and bread rising 1.5% over the past year. Beef prices are up 7.4% and cracker prices have jumped 4.9%. The Federal Reserve plans to cut interest rates but wants to see inflation fall lower first. The economy has largely defied expectations of a slowdown, with job gains exceeding expectations and the S&P 500 reaching a record high. Consumer sentiment has improved, but consumer spending fell sharply in January and the housing market has slowed due to soaring mortgage rates. The Fed remains committed to lowering inflation to its goal of 2%.

Version 0.37 (2024-03-12 13:18:35.254000)

updates: Inflation rises to 3.2% in February, exceeding expectations

Version 0.36 (2024-03-12 13:17:27.250000)

updates: Updated inflation data, Biden's re-election bid, Trump's criticism

Version 0.35 (2024-03-12 11:25:56.495000)

updates: Consumer prices expected to remain unchanged in February

Version 0.34 (2024-03-12 11:17:09.481000)

updates: New details on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report and its impact on housing and insurance costs

Version 0.33 (2024-03-12 04:29:18.583000)

updates: Updates on US inflation data and its impact on the Federal Reserve and the presidential election

Version 0.32 (2024-03-11 01:17:54.331000)

updates: Integrates new information about US inflation data and its impact on Donald Trump's fate

Version 0.31 (2024-03-10 12:16:57.143000)

updates: Incorporated information about the Federal Reserve's concerns about rising costs of services and the potential impact on inflation

Version 0.3 (2024-03-10 08:22:59.536000)

updates: Updates on US inflation easing gradually and Fed's patience for rate cuts

Version 0.29 (2024-03-05 16:21:41.502000)

updates: Incorporated insights from National Retail Federation Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz

Version 0.28 (2024-03-01 21:19:48.003000)

updates: Incorporated information about the Federal Reserve's efforts to control inflation and its impact on consumer shopping habits

Version 0.27 (2024-03-01 13:24:39.457000)

updates: Integration of the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady and Apollo Global Management's adjusted outlook

Version 0.26 (2024-03-01 05:21:08.637000)

updates: Inclusion of new information about the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge and the cautious approach to interest rate cuts

Version 0.25 (2024-03-01 00:20:04.837000)

updates: Integration of new information on core inflation and potential delay in interest rate cut

Version 0.24 (2024-02-29 17:25:24.389000)

updates: New information on US inflation rate and Federal Reserve's target

Version 0.23 (2024-02-23 04:23:18.052000)

updates: Inclusion of an article from Mint expressing concerns about a second wave of inflation and the potential impact on interest rates

Version 0.22 (2024-02-22 23:22:19.385000)

updates: Inclusion of a warning about the potentially inflationary effect of over-consumption by a senior Federal Reserve official

Version 0.21 (2024-02-22 23:21:34.868000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's views on inflation and rate cuts

Version 0.2 (2024-02-22 22:23:42.723000)

updates: Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's view on inflation and rate cuts

Version 0.19 (2024-02-15 00:16:54.982000)

updates: Federal Reserve Vice Chair expresses confidence in path to 2% inflation

Version 0.18 (2024-02-08 05:12:15.311000)

updates: JP Morgan economist adds to doubts about reaching 2% inflation target

Version 0.17 (2024-01-26 06:56:45.523000)

updates: US Treasury Secretary Yellen comments on US inflation situation

Version 0.16 (2024-01-18 22:53:26.452000)

updates: Doubts about US reaching 2% inflation target, concerns about prolonged low growth, insights from asset manager James Soloway

Version 0.15 (2024-01-16 21:22:21.827000)

updates: Global inflation projected to decline to 4.8% in 2024 [75e2ff6c]

Version 0.14 (2024-01-16 17:39:17.576000)

updates: Updated information on global inflation projections for 2024

Version 0.13 (2024-01-12 20:17:16.437000)

updates: Inclusion of an economist's perspective on inflation until 2025

Version 0.12 (2024-01-11 23:15:48.728000)

updates: Incorporated information about inflation in the Midwest

Version 0.11 (2024-01-08 04:19:46.642000)

updates: Includes information about global inflation expectations for 2024

Version 0.1 (2023-12-31 02:59:36.959000)

updates: Incorporation of local residents' sentiment and expectations regarding inflation and economic conditions in 2024

Version 0.09 (2023-12-30 18:06:19.105000)

updates: Economist predicts a 'new normal' in 2024 for the US economy

Version 0.08 (2023-12-29 17:00:28.838000)

updates: Integration of information about the US economy's quest for normalization

Version 0.07 (2023-12-26 10:03:51.960000)

updates: Inflation outlook for Puerto Rico in 2024

Version 0.06 (2023-12-24 10:59:21.857000)

updates: Updates on inflation outlook for 2024 and its impact on major economies

Version 0.05 (2023-12-14 17:54:25.752000)

updates: Updates on the current state of inflation and rate cut expectations

Version 0.04 (2023-12-12 02:47:33.341000)

updates: Includes information about the recent drop in inflation and the expectations of rate cuts in the eurozone, US, and UK

Version 0.03 (2023-12-10 14:57:12.304000)

updates: Comparison of inflation and interest rates in the UK, US, and Europe

Version 0.02 (2023-12-03 00:34:32.127000)

updates: Added information about the drivers of inflation in the US, Eurozone, and UK

Version 0.01 (2023-12-01 20:45:01.007000)

updates: Updates on inflation rates in the U.S., Eurozone, and Japan

Version 0.0 (2023-11-26 12:36:56.813000)

updates: